I wouldn't say that. In baseball its never over till its over... to quote the great Yogi.
All he needs to do is to keep his production at current levels for the next six years and he gets 3000. Or he could keep it at current levels for the next four years (age 37) and then play sub-par until...
I was thinking about Beltre getting # 3000 and then this came to mind...
If Nick Markakis got 3000 hits and 600 doubles should he be a Hall of famer?
It is possible, if he can be consistent until 40 years old.
https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/markani01.shtml
I know this is a big bump.
So i finally got this graded some five years later. Here it is. http://imgur.com/a/KsIoK
Also someone else found one and put it up for auction...
I have recently made it my goal to get most of the HOF rookies (including errors and variations) from this era, this thread will show the cards as I upload them. The junk era is not just junk, rather, the sets that were produced each hold hidden gems that are really exciting once you get that...
This is one that sold recently
http://www.ebay.com/itm/2017-BOWMAN-CHROME-AARON-JUDGE-YANKEES-GREEN-REFRACTOR-AUTO-RC-REDEMPTION-99-/263056142629?hash=item3d3f5e3125:g:CZAAAOSwFJBZT8~h