Please don't adblock plus me bro

User Tag List

Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast
Results 1 to 15 of 38

Thread: What are the odds on making money on a box?

  1. #1
    Junior Member RagingAcid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2017
    Location
    Markham, ON
    Posts
    373
     RagingAcid
     @RagingAcid
    Mentioned
    4 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)

    What are the odds on making money on a box?

    I mean. It has to be 1%. Even good cards are worth $10 give or take. Maybe up to $50. A box for $150 and you get two good hits, which is unlikley, you lose money. Why is this, why doesn't the market regulate to reasonable prices? Thanks!

    Also a question - What was the most expensive card you pulled. I once got a Mother's Day Joe Panik auto, which was awesome to get, very fun to pull a player you know of.

  2. #2
    Junior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2016
    Posts
    123
    Mentioned
    1 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by RagingAcid View Post
    I mean. It has to be 1%. Even good cards are worth $10 give or take. Maybe up to $50. A box for $150 and you get two good hits, which is unlikley, you lose money. Why is this, why doesn't the market regulate to reasonable prices? Thanks!

    Also a question - What was the most expensive card you pulled. I once got a Mother's Day Joe Panik auto, which was awesome to get, very fun to pull a player you know of.
    You are correct probably. I like a few others open boxes for the sheer thrill of it and do not worry about money. I will sell but only to buy more cards. The reason the prices are high is the gambling aspect of it because when you can pull a card that can net you money for a car prices go up. Its not like a raffle where its all or nothing sometimes, you get something for your money. I understand the frustration of people because of the recent prices but thats the nature of it now.

    Sent from my SM-T350 using Tapatalk

  3. #3
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Posts
    8,784
    Mentioned
    197 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)

  4. #4
    Super Moderator
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Location
    Near Philly, PA
    Posts
    23,024
    Mentioned
    77 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Those odds are very low, and that's coming from a guy who really enjoys checking out plain base cards...
    Don't forget to use the FCB Link when buying on eBay!

  5. #5
    Senior Member tramers's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Location
    hickory nc
    Posts
    17,728
     tramersfoulball
    Mentioned
    168 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    let me sell you some commons - only 750,000 in stock

  6. #6
    Senior Member death2redemptions's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    The Carolina on the Southern side
    Posts
    8,607
     ddavisaz
    Mentioned
    75 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Depends on how you plan to sell the cards you pull. For example, with Bowman products you could pull an auto worth $15-$20 at the time of your rip but if you hold for a couple years it could be in the $100+ range. Take Judge for example, a base auto in 2013 sold for $15-$20 but now it's a $1k card. I'd say Bowman gives you the best chance of making your money back, even if it's a simple rip and flip. From my experience when ripping/flipping a hobby case of Bowman (12 boxes) there will 1 or 2 boxes that will, at the very least, make your money back. Based on this I'd put the odds at 10-15% (with hobby). I'd say this seems to hold true with similar lower/mid-end products like franchise Topps (S1/S2/Update) & Heritage. There will generally be one or two boxes out of a case that will yield a return (or make your money back).

    Please note: It's been 4 years since I regularly busted cases so it's possible it's become tougher to break even with the increasing price of wax. I'm basing those odds from when I ripped during 2010-2013. I still pick up a couple cases a year but back in the day I'd go through that much in a month so I paid more attention to the money spent.
    Look, I'm gonna be honest with you. I really need a job. And I will take any position, as long as it doesn't involve having sex with old ladies for money or bear traps. Those are my two bugaboos. While mulling over my resume feel free to check out my baseball card collection, it's small and simple, kinda like me - >>>>> http://s822.photobucket.com/user/JDf...ds%20n%20stuff


  7. #7
    Senior Member death2redemptions's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    The Carolina on the Southern side
    Posts
    8,607
     ddavisaz
    Mentioned
    75 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    And the most expensive card I've ever pulled was this back in 2006:



    It feels like all the most expensive cards I've pulled were back in 2005-2008. You got much better returns from your wax back in those days.
    Look, I'm gonna be honest with you. I really need a job. And I will take any position, as long as it doesn't involve having sex with old ladies for money or bear traps. Those are my two bugaboos. While mulling over my resume feel free to check out my baseball card collection, it's small and simple, kinda like me - >>>>> http://s822.photobucket.com/user/JDf...ds%20n%20stuff


  8. #8
    Member mrmopar's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    2,393
    Mentioned
    91 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Now you see why Las Vegas exists! The thrill of the gamble and the CHANCE at the big hit that beats the odds, but the house always wins in the end!

    Quote Originally Posted by RagingAcid View Post
    I mean. It has to be 1%. Even good cards are worth $10 give or take. Maybe up to $50. A box for $150 and you get two good hits, which is unlikley, you lose money. Why is this, why doesn't the market regulate to reasonable prices? Thanks!

    Also a question - What was the most expensive card you pulled. I once got a Mother's Day Joe Panik auto, which was awesome to get, very fun to pull a player you know of.

  9. #9
    Junior Member RagingAcid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2017
    Location
    Markham, ON
    Posts
    373
     RagingAcid
     @RagingAcid
    Mentioned
    4 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by mrmopar View Post
    Now you see why Las Vegas exists! The thrill of the gamble and the CHANCE at the big hit that beats the odds, but the house always wins in the end!

    Vegas you lose 97% or something every spin. on average

  10. #10
    Senior Member RStadlerASU22's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2013
    Posts
    8,858
    Mentioned
    161 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by RagingAcid View Post
    Vegas you lose 97% or something every spin. on average
    Correct , but like he said, that doesn't stop people. Same w playing the lottery. A lot of wax is broken for the chance, nothing more.

    Ryan
    Will Clark / Mike Brown Collector
    ALWAYS LOOKING FOR ODDBALL, REGIONAL, TEAM ISSUED, VARIATIONS, AND TOUGH CARDS OF WILL CLARK AND MIKE BROWN



  11. #11
    Senior Member rebelpawn's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Location
    La Jolla. CA
    Posts
    2,486
     rebelpawn
    Mentioned
    25 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Some people also collect cards for fun and not for profit too....

  12. #12
    Senior Member death2redemptions's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    The Carolina on the Southern side
    Posts
    8,607
     ddavisaz
    Mentioned
    75 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by rebelpawn View Post
    Some people also collect cards for fun and not for profit too....
    Unheard of...
    Look, I'm gonna be honest with you. I really need a job. And I will take any position, as long as it doesn't involve having sex with old ladies for money or bear traps. Those are my two bugaboos. While mulling over my resume feel free to check out my baseball card collection, it's small and simple, kinda like me - >>>>> http://s822.photobucket.com/user/JDf...ds%20n%20stuff


  13. #13
    Senior Member AnthonyCorona's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Location
    Modesto, CA
    Posts
    7,357
     Bwoodcollector
     @anthonyscorona
    Mentioned
    73 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by rebelpawn View Post
    Some people also collect cards for fun and not for profit too....
    Yeah....nerds!

    Bring me your Bickford, Ryan McMahon, Senzatela and Peter Lambert cards
    Please note: Card collecting is my hobby, not my life. I don't take it that serious and like to keep it fun.

  14. #14
    Administrator cgilmo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Location
    Alpharetta, Georgia, United States
    Posts
    36,121
     fcbsportscards
    Mentioned
    502 Post(s)
    Tagged
    1 Thread(s)
    With cards, unlike vegas if you open a critical mass it levels out.

    There is a reason Brent Williams makes the money doing this he does.
    Check out the FCB Community Sports Card Podcast
    Wanna host? PM Me! We would love to have YOU on the podcast.

  15. #15
    Senior Member death2redemptions's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    The Carolina on the Southern side
    Posts
    8,607
     ddavisaz
    Mentioned
    75 Post(s)
    Tagged
    0 Thread(s)
    Quote Originally Posted by cgilmo View Post
    With cards, unlike vegas if you open a critical mass it levels out.

    There is a reason Brent Williams makes the money doing this he does.
    Especially with Bowman
    Look, I'm gonna be honest with you. I really need a job. And I will take any position, as long as it doesn't involve having sex with old ladies for money or bear traps. Those are my two bugaboos. While mulling over my resume feel free to check out my baseball card collection, it's small and simple, kinda like me - >>>>> http://s822.photobucket.com/user/JDf...ds%20n%20stuff


Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •