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2018 Bowman Production Period

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Letch77

Well-known member
Jan 28, 2018
1,608
353
Midwest
A few fun questions to ponder:
How long do you think they will continue printing and packaging 2018 Bowman?

Do you guys think that the Ohtani superfractor has been inserted into a pack/box/case yet?

If so, do you think it's shipped out or still sitting in Topps' order-fulfillment warehouse?

I speculate that they haven't inserted the Ohtani superfractor into a pack yet...they know that when it's found, there will be a big drop in sales of 2018 Bowman.
 

death2redemptions

New member
Feb 4, 2016
12,488
0
The Carolina on the Southern side
I doubt there will be any drop in sales of 2018 Bowman when the Ohtani superfractor auto is pulled. Nobody realistically expects to pull it but as long as raw base autos are still selling for $1,200-$1,500 & thousands for refractor autos, people will continue ripping wax. Now, a season ending injury to Ohtani will certainly have an effect on prices of wax, as he's the main reason 2018 Bowman is so overpriced. The next best prospect autos can't carry the product at it's current selling price. At least, not until one of them has a breakout season or major league impact.
 

David K.

Active member
Aug 26, 2008
1,338
12
Fresno, CA
They probably inserted into the last few cases.......I agree with u that once the big hit has been pulled.......prices will go down. Best regards, David
 

Letch77

Well-known member
Jan 28, 2018
1,608
353
Midwest
I doubt there will be any drop in sales of 2018 Bowman when the Ohtani superfractor auto is pulled. Nobody realistically expects to pull it but as long as raw base autos are still selling for $1,200-$1,500 & thousands for refractor autos, people will continue ripping wax.

My counter-argument is, nobody realistically expects to win the Powerball, but sales increase exponentially the higher the jackpot gets. Then, when someone wins and the pot falls back to a measly $40M, ticket sales drop quite a bit.
 

UMich92

Well-known member
Sep 18, 2008
1,870
42
My counter-argument is, nobody realistically expects to win the Powerball, but sales increase exponentially the higher the jackpot gets. Then, when someone wins and the pot falls back to a measly $40M, ticket sales drop quite a bit.

But I can buy a powerball ticket at almost any gas station or convenience store. To buy hobby packs of Bowman, you have to more actively seek out a seller.
 

smapdi

Well-known member
Aug 7, 2008
4,397
221
That and lotteries only have 1 jackpot and a few various smaller prizes. I think the Texas lottery has about 9 different ways to win out of 3.8 billion number combinations, with the overall odds of winning anything at 1:57 or so. If only 1 out of 57 Bowman boxes contained anything besides air, the pulling of the Ohtani super would blunt sales quite a bit, I expect. But there are more cards than just the Ohtani super to be found, including many, many cards worth the price of a box, let alone a single pack, so sales stay strong. Similarly, if lotteries paid off at least the ticket price or more for matching, say, one number, sales would continually be high.
 

Letch77

Well-known member
Jan 28, 2018
1,608
353
Midwest
You can't buy Powerball tickets online, but you can buy Bowman boxes online.
It's not a direct 1:1 PB:Bowman comparison because, obviously, PB deals in greater volume. However, it's what people can win/pull that makes them buy either one, and when the big prize is gone, sales decline.
It's simple risk/reward economics: the higher the reward, the more risk people are willing to take. When the largest reward is gone, you lose a lot of buyers as the risk/reward gap closes.
 

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