Top 50 active career hits: Who gets 3,000?

Below is a list of the active leaders in career hits
Who will reach 3,000, besides Jeter, of course?

I think ARod, obviously, along with Damon (possibly), Ichiro, Pujols, Cabrera, Reyes and maybe Cano. Crawford too, if he makes a full recovery, because he's still young.

(Age is in parenthesis.)

1.Derek Jeter (38) 3279
2.Alex Rodriguez (36) 2880
3.Omar Vizquel (45) 2870
4.Johnny Damon (38) 2769
5.Chipper Jones (40) 2714
6.Vladimir Guerrero (37) 2590
7.Ichiro Suzuki (38) 2577
8.Manny Ramirez (40) 2574
9.Bobby Abreu (38) 2434
10.Todd Helton (38) 2420
11.Miguel Tejada (38) 2362
12.Jim Thome (41) 2320
13.Carlos Lee (36) 2257
14.Albert Pujols (32) 2224
15.Michael Young (35) 2202
16.Adrian Beltre (33) 2201
17.Jason Kendall (38) 2195
18.Paul Konerko (36) 2166
19.Juan Pierre (34) 2126
20.Scott Rolen (37) 2066
21.Carlos Beltran (35) 2044
21b. Placido Polanco (36) 2044
23.Jimmy Rollins (33) 2003
24.Jason Giambi (41) 1968
25.Torii Hunter (36) 1957
26.Aramis Ramirez (34) 1934
27.Andruw Jones (35) 1931
28.Alfonso Soriano (36) 1876
29.Raul Ibanez (40) 1868
30.David Ortiz (36) 1863
31.Lance Berkman (36) 1843
32.Rafael Furcal (34) 1811
33.Miguel Cabrera (29) 1771
34.Mark Kotsay (36) 1749
35.Aubrey Huff (35) 1694
36.Vernon Wells (33) 1684
37.Carl Crawford (30) 1642
38.A.J. Pierzynski (35) 1630
39.Mark Teixeira (32) 1579
40.Matt Holliday (32) 1506
41.Adam Kennedy (36) 1488
42.Jose Reyes (29) 1458
43.Robinson Cano (29) 1425
44.Adam Dunn (32) 1410
45.David Wright (29) 1405
46.Alex Gonzalez (35) 1393
47.Eric Chavez (34) 1388
48.Brian Roberts (34) 1386
49.Alex Rios (31) 1341
50.Ramon Hernandez (36) 1334

Arod, Ichiro, Pujols......

Arod, Pujols, Beltre and Miggy have the most definitive chances at 3,000.

Crawford and Reyes would have had a shot if not for all their nagging injuries.

It's a shame that Vizquel is so close, but won't make it.

And Vlad, who was a near shoo-in for 3,000 hits and 500 homers, won't reach either milestone because no team wants him.

Albert, Ichiro, Arod

ARod is basically a lock unless he has a career ending injury
I think Ichiro will stick around long enough to get there
Pujols is almost a lock as long as he avoids injury
Beltre has a good shot especially with the way his last few years have gone
Cabrera is going to end up with 3500+

I'm confident these guys will get there (Miggy has to stay healthy though and despite his weight, he hasn't shown why he can't)

2.Alex Rodriguez (36) 2880
7.Ichiro Suzuki (38) 2577
14.Albert Pujols (32) 2224
33.Miguel Cabrera (29) 1771


These guys have outside chances or there are other factors that have to come into play.

15. Michael Young (35) 2202 - He could be a Paul Molitor type player for a team if he hits above .300 (he's having his worse year this year, but he can bounce back, he's still a very good hitter).
16.Adrian Beltre (33) 2201 - He's very young for having 2,200 hits. If he players another 6 years, which he easily could, he'll get there.
42.Jose Reyes (29) 1458 - Health is the key for him. Can he play 10 more years and average 150 hits? Possible.
43.Robinson Cano (29) 1425 - I actually think he will do it but he still has a long ways to go. He has the purest swing I've seen for a lefty since Griffey. I really don't think he'll be a Yankee and some team will sign him for an absurd contract.

Austin said:

It's a shame that Vizquel is so close, but won't make it.

And Vlad, who was a near shoo-in for 3,000 hits and 500 homers, won't reach either milestone because no team wants him.

Click to expand...

I was just gonna say this, i cannot believe Vlad a sure fire hofer cannot get a job!! Wow....

Here, go to town: http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/billjames

All The Hype said:

ARod is basically a lock unless he has a career ending injury
I think Ichiro will stick around long enough to get there
Pujols is almost a lock as long as he avoids injury
Beltre has a good shot especially with the way his last few years have gone
Cabrera is going to end up with 3500+

Click to expand...

Agree on all. For some reason I think Cabrera is not going to age well. Just a feeling, nothing else.

tpeichel said:

Agree on all. For some reason I think Cabrera is not going to age well. Just a feeling, nothing else.

Click to expand...

Cabrera is that thick cheerleader that was cute in high school. She went to college and comes back home +15 pounds. Nothing terrible, but over time she continues to pack on pounds and by the times she's 30 you wonder what went wrong.

markakis8 said:

43.Robinson Cano (29) 1425 - I actually think he will do it but he still has a long ways to go. He has the purest swing I've seen for a lefty since Griffey. I really don't think he'll be a Yankee and some team will sign him for an absurd contract.

Click to expand...

I believe a lot of diehard Yankee fans think this may happen. He changed agents, moving to Boras, he's an elite player at a premium position and plays great defense. He's going to get $22-24M/yr, probably 7 years. At a position were longevity isn't exactly commonplace. With the Yanks looking to cut the budget by 2014, they have some decisions to make. If it's me, I let Granderson walk, hope Jeter is taking a discount those last few years, and make any of the kids in the minors (Slade Heathcott, Ramon Flores, Mason Williams) can be that CF.

I don't see the Yankees not paying enough for Robinson Cano. Money is never an issue with the Yankees. They know what they have in Cano.

He probably has the best arm at 2nd ever.

I had high hopes for Rollins after his MVP season, but that ended up being his career year with a .296 batting average. Even since he's hit about .255, plus he had one season where he was injured and only had 85 hits, so he reached his 2000th hit about a year later than I projected. He's still good enough with the glove that I expect he'll play into his late thirties, but I think he'll end up in the 2700-2800 hit range. (At this point they really need to move him down to 6th or 7th in the order.)

jbhofmann said:

Cabrera is that thick cheerleader that was cute in high school. She went to college and comes back home +15 pounds. Nothing terrible, but over time she continues to pack on pounds and by the times she's 30 you wonder what went wrong.

Click to expand...

People talk about him aging poorly, but he's never been injury prone, and is actually smaller this season. Is he going to stick at 3B his whole career? No, but he doesn't need to. Fielder will be the DH in a few years, and Cabrera will play 1B.

Cabrera isn't really all that different than Pujols size wise.

Pujols: 6'3 230
Cabrera: 6'4 240

Omar Vizquel is STILL playing? Haha

Anyways, cool thread, great read

i'm the first to mention david wright ? i think he has a much better chance than a carl crawford.

DaveH said:

i'm the first to mention david wright ? i think he has a much better chance than a carl crawford.

Click to expand...

Wright? He won't even have 1,500 hits by the time he turns 30...how long do you expect him to play?

he's only 20 hits behind cano, and i could see him plaing as long as Chipper.

Here's my list; I used to think Ichiro was a lock but I think he'll hang it up just short:


1.Derek Jeter (38) 3279
2.Alex Rodriguez (36) 2880
14.Albert Pujols (32) 2224
16.Adrian Beltre (33) 2201
33.Miguel Cabrera (29) 1771