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2012 Bowman Draft Picks - HOBBY & JUMBO WRAPPER ODDS

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Jaypers

Well-known member
Aug 7, 2008
48,898
1,378
IL
Someone on BO busted 9 hobby boxes already.

Here's what he's posted.

refractor 1:4
blue refractor 1:26
gold refractor 1:128
orange refractor 1:256
red refractor 1:1,267
superfractor 1:6,325

auto 1:41
refractor auto 1:90
blue auto 1:299
gold auto 1:893
orange auto 1:1,788
purple auto 1:4,459
red auto 1:8,950
super auto 1;42,750

printing plate 1:11,250
bowman black auto 1:2,850
bbest die cuts - ref 1;288, xfractor 1:1,144, atomic 1:29,000
futures relic 1:345
futures patch 1:3,415


There are more odds he hasn't posted yet, but he said he had to leave.

Time for you math majors to stand up & be heard.
 
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joey12508

Well-known member
Aug 7, 2008
38,452
16,111
Winterfell
Someone on BO busted 9 hobby boxes already.

Here's what he's posted.

refractor 1:4
blue refractor 1:26
gold refractor 1:128
orange refractor 1:256
red refractor 1:1,267
superfractor 1:6,325

auto 1:41
refractor auto 1:90
blue auto 1:299
gold auto 1:893
orange auto 1:1,788
purple auto 1:4,459
red auto 1:8,950
super auto 1;42,750

printing plate 1:11,250
bowman black auto 1:2,850
bbest die cuts - ref 1;288, xfractor 1:1,144, atomic 1:29,000
futures relic 1:345
futures patch 1:3,415


There are more odds he hasn't posted yet, but he said he had to leave.

Time for you math majors to stand up & be heard.
autos fall i in 41 packs??
 

jbmm161

Active member
Dec 19, 2010
1,377
1
Ft Worth
2012 Bowman Draft Picks - HOBBY WRAPPER ODDS

I think those would be retail odd. Shouldn't the odds be less than 1 per # of total packs per box since boxes may have 2 autos?
 

BowmanChromeAddict

New member
Aug 8, 2008
4,202
0
Downingtown, PA
Interesting. Gives you a pretty good idea of what Boomo should hit in his 50 cases. Based upon those odds....that Superfractor Auction is REALLY freaking high. He should hit 2 non-auto supers and has a 33% chance of hitting an auto super.

Also makes it clear that the base autos (assuming no short prints) should be about 8 to 9 chrome autos per player, 4 refractor autos, a blue, and a 40% chance at a gold.
 

Jaypers

Well-known member
Aug 7, 2008
48,898
1,378
IL
I think those would be retail odd. Shouldn't the odds be less than 1 per # of total packs per box since boxes may have 2 autos?

No retail this year.

Thanks to Ajax1723, here are this year's odds compared to last year's (2011 in bold).


refractor 1:4 1:4
blue refractor 1:26 1:41
gold refractor 1:128 1:162
orange refractor 1:256 1:256
red refractor 1:1,267 1:1,620
superfractor 1:6,325 1:7,410

auto 1:41 1:37
refractor auto 1:90 1:101
blue auto 1:299 1:337
gold auto 1:893 1:1,004
orange auto 1:1,788 1:2,008
purple auto 1:4,459 1:5,050
red auto 1:8,950 1:10,150
super auto 1;42,750 1:47,200
 

BowmanChromeAddict

New member
Aug 8, 2008
4,202
0
Downingtown, PA
No retail this year.

Thanks to Ajax1723, here are this year's odds compared to last year's (2011 in bold).


refractor 1:4 1:4
blue refractor 1:26 1:41
gold refractor 1:128 1:162
orange refractor 1:256 1:256
red refractor 1:1,267 1:1,620
superfractor 1:6,325 1:7,410

auto 1:41 1:37
refractor auto 1:90 1:101
blue auto 1:299 1:337
gold auto 1:893 1:1,004
orange auto 1:1,788 1:2,008
purple auto 1:4,459 1:5,050
red auto 1:8,950 1:10,150
super auto 1;42,750 1:47,200

Wow...pretty stellar improvements all around.
 

mredsox89

New member
Aug 29, 2008
8,724
0
Miami/Boston
Interesting. Gives you a pretty good idea of what Boomo should hit in his 50 cases. Based upon those odds....that Superfractor Auction is REALLY freaking high. He should hit 2 non-auto supers and has a 33% chance of hitting an auto super.

Also makes it clear that the base autos (assuming no short prints) should be about 8 to 9 chrome autos per player, 4 refractor autos, a blue, and a 40% chance at a gold.

That makes it a bit easier to judge what to snipe some of the lots at. Still tough though, especially on players that aren't highly touted
 
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WaxPax

Active member
No retail this year.

Thanks to Ajax1723, here are this year's odds compared to last year's (2011 in bold).


refractor 1:4 1:4
blue refractor 1:26 1:41
gold refractor 1:128 1:162
orange refractor 1:256 1:256
red refractor 1:1,267 1:1,620
superfractor 1:6,325 1:7,410

auto 1:41 1:37
refractor auto 1:90 1:101
blue auto 1:299 1:337
gold auto 1:893 1:1,004
orange auto 1:1,788 1:2,008
purple auto 1:4,459 1:5,050
red auto 1:8,950 1:10,150
super auto 1;42,750 1:47,200

Interesting how the base auto odds went up 10%, yet color has a roughly 10% improvement over LY....I would be curious to see Jumbo if he has those too...
 
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koal

New member
Aug 7, 2008
872
0
what about the aflac cards? are they signed?

edit: just found this

AFLAC, Perfect Game & Under Armour Autographs Set Checklist
Featuring players from past High School All-American Games; Serial Numbered

1 Lucas Sims
2 David Dahl
3 Addison Russell
4 Lucas Giolito
5 Joey Gallo
6 Keon Barnum
7 Max Fried
8 Courtney Hawkins
9 Ty Hensley
10 Gavin Cecchini
11 Stryker Trahan
12 Byron Buxton
13 Carlos Correa
14 Kevin Gausman
15 Michael Zunino
 
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