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All The Hype
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I've stocked up on guys from time to time, but this is a prospect stash I'm especially pleased with. I always enjoy reading about other prospector's strategies and discussing why to invest in a certain player and so forth, so I thought I'd share. Thoughts welcome!
Name: C.J. Edwards
Organization: Chicago Cubs
Age: 22 Height: 6'2" Weight: 160
2013 Key Stats: 8-2 W/L, 1.63 ERA, 155 K, 41 BB, .182 BAA, 1.41 GO/AO, 116.1 IP
What drew me to Edwards as a prospect: Absolute dominance on the mound since turning pro. He strikes out 12/9IP. He doesn't give up homeruns (only 1 HR surrendered in his entire pro career of almost 200 innings). He doesn't give up many hits or walks either (sub-.200 BAA, WHIP under 1.00). He now pitches for a huge market team (Cubs). He was named the 2013 MiLB Pitcher of the Year. Only downside to note is his size (6'2", 160 lbs), but it hasn't been any reason for concern at all to this date.
Why I bought him: The dominance noted above would be enough to excite me to pay $30-$40 per Chrome base auto, yet CJ could be had for $8-15 when I started buying, and even now can still be had in the $12-$20 range. He was MiLB Pitcher of the Year...meaning he was THE BEST pitcher in the Minors in 2013...and will almost certainly be a top 30 overall prospect going into 2014, yet he still sells like a guy who ranks in the 60-80 range. That's the type of incredible market discrepancy that won't last forever, so I took advantage while I could. As if that weren't enough, Edwards being moved to the Cubs last year cemented him as one of the best prospect investments in the Minors, as now he has one of the biggest markets in baseball backing him. I'm still buying more when they pop up, but at this point I don't feel I need much more.
What I have: 1 Red 9.5, 1 Purple 9.5, 2 Orange 9.5, 1 Orange Raw, 2 Gold 9.5, 3 Gold Raw, 2 Blue 9.5, 1 Ref raw, 1 BGS 10 Chrome Auto, 21 BGS 9.5 Chrome Autos, 4 RCR 9.5 Chrome Autos, 1 PSA 10 Chrome Auto, 30 raw chrome autos (most of which are going to BGS soon).
Total Spent: $3,784.86
Estimated Current Value: ~$5500 (difficult to estimate the high end)
Hopeful yet realistic projection: Another year of dominance at higher levels of competition should be too loud for prospectors and Cubs fans to ignore any longer, and CJ will elevate himself into elite prospect status. I see base autos climbing to the $30-$45 range, comparable to other top pitching prospects like Archie Bradley, Noah Syndergaard, etc. Parallels will follow suit. If/when this happens, I will be able to sell most of my stuff for 2-4x what I have into it, with the biggest profits coming from the cards that I've had graded myself.
Hopeful Sales: $10,000+
Needless to say, I hope he has a good season
Name: C.J. Edwards
Organization: Chicago Cubs
Age: 22 Height: 6'2" Weight: 160
2013 Key Stats: 8-2 W/L, 1.63 ERA, 155 K, 41 BB, .182 BAA, 1.41 GO/AO, 116.1 IP
What drew me to Edwards as a prospect: Absolute dominance on the mound since turning pro. He strikes out 12/9IP. He doesn't give up homeruns (only 1 HR surrendered in his entire pro career of almost 200 innings). He doesn't give up many hits or walks either (sub-.200 BAA, WHIP under 1.00). He now pitches for a huge market team (Cubs). He was named the 2013 MiLB Pitcher of the Year. Only downside to note is his size (6'2", 160 lbs), but it hasn't been any reason for concern at all to this date.
Why I bought him: The dominance noted above would be enough to excite me to pay $30-$40 per Chrome base auto, yet CJ could be had for $8-15 when I started buying, and even now can still be had in the $12-$20 range. He was MiLB Pitcher of the Year...meaning he was THE BEST pitcher in the Minors in 2013...and will almost certainly be a top 30 overall prospect going into 2014, yet he still sells like a guy who ranks in the 60-80 range. That's the type of incredible market discrepancy that won't last forever, so I took advantage while I could. As if that weren't enough, Edwards being moved to the Cubs last year cemented him as one of the best prospect investments in the Minors, as now he has one of the biggest markets in baseball backing him. I'm still buying more when they pop up, but at this point I don't feel I need much more.
What I have: 1 Red 9.5, 1 Purple 9.5, 2 Orange 9.5, 1 Orange Raw, 2 Gold 9.5, 3 Gold Raw, 2 Blue 9.5, 1 Ref raw, 1 BGS 10 Chrome Auto, 21 BGS 9.5 Chrome Autos, 4 RCR 9.5 Chrome Autos, 1 PSA 10 Chrome Auto, 30 raw chrome autos (most of which are going to BGS soon).
Total Spent: $3,784.86
Estimated Current Value: ~$5500 (difficult to estimate the high end)
Hopeful yet realistic projection: Another year of dominance at higher levels of competition should be too loud for prospectors and Cubs fans to ignore any longer, and CJ will elevate himself into elite prospect status. I see base autos climbing to the $30-$45 range, comparable to other top pitching prospects like Archie Bradley, Noah Syndergaard, etc. Parallels will follow suit. If/when this happens, I will be able to sell most of my stuff for 2-4x what I have into it, with the biggest profits coming from the cards that I've had graded myself.
Hopeful Sales: $10,000+
Needless to say, I hope he has a good season