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One of the most stable cards around it has barely decreased or increased over the past year +. I sold mine thinking I could easily rebuy at the same price. I don't see any significant changes downward anytime this season unless he is absolutely horrible through July or so.
Because of his nagging injury I would probably at this point hold until he recovers and hits full stride again----of course if he never fully heals is the risk you gamble with on that....