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notoriousrmb
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Ok, snowed in today and unable to get to the office so I spent the day in my card room cleaning and organizing and preparing stuff to list this weekend. 
Got to thinking though, it seems as if Topps is really overdoing it on Strasburg...are we going to see an overproduction and eventual price crash on his stuff? Being an engineering major I figured this obviously called for spreadsheets and math!
First I wanted to know how many Strasburg autos have been printed thus far - started at beckett and got a list of all autographed Strasburg cards. This includes Tristar, 08 Sweet Spot, dual autos and even press plates. Comprehensively, there are 5961 "known" cards printed based on documented print runs (serially numbered cards). This does not yet include the autographs from the following:
2010 Bowman Chrome Base Auto
2010 Bowman Draft Base Auto
2010 Bowman Base Auto
2010 T206 Framed
2010 Allen & Ginter Framed
2010 Topps Chrome Base Autos
This is where I need help...based on known pack odds and past print runs, can anyone help get approximate runs of these autographs?
My goal is to compare this number of currently released autographs to other hyped prospects such as Heyward or Posey. I have spreadsheets prepared with the sum of their known autographs as well, just need some help on the runs Topps will not release. In the meantime I'm going to try to make my best guesses on these print runs as well based on wrappers I have laying around here still...
Got to thinking though, it seems as if Topps is really overdoing it on Strasburg...are we going to see an overproduction and eventual price crash on his stuff? Being an engineering major I figured this obviously called for spreadsheets and math!First I wanted to know how many Strasburg autos have been printed thus far - started at beckett and got a list of all autographed Strasburg cards. This includes Tristar, 08 Sweet Spot, dual autos and even press plates. Comprehensively, there are 5961 "known" cards printed based on documented print runs (serially numbered cards). This does not yet include the autographs from the following:
2010 Bowman Chrome Base Auto
2010 Bowman Draft Base Auto
2010 Bowman Base Auto
2010 T206 Framed
2010 Allen & Ginter Framed
2010 Topps Chrome Base Autos
This is where I need help...based on known pack odds and past print runs, can anyone help get approximate runs of these autographs?
My goal is to compare this number of currently released autographs to other hyped prospects such as Heyward or Posey. I have spreadsheets prepared with the sum of their known autographs as well, just need some help on the runs Topps will not release. In the meantime I'm going to try to make my best guesses on these print runs as well based on wrappers I have laying around here still...
