Keith Law's Top 100 Prospects List

EDIT -- Thanks to Burke for posting it below.

Re: Can Someone Post Keith Law's Top 100 Prospects List?

To return the favor for your BA link on the twins:
RANK POSITION PLAYER TEAM HEIGHT WEIGHT AGE
1 CF Mike Trout LA Angels 6-1 217 19
2 RF Bryce Harper Washington 6-2 245 18
3 RF Domonic Brown Philadelphia 6-5 200 23
4 C Jesus Montero NY Yankees 6-4 225 21
5 1B Eric Hosmer Kansas City 6-4 215 21
6 RHP Julio Teheran Atlanta 6-2 150 20
7 2B Dustin Ackley Seattle 6-1 185 22
8 C/RF Wil Myers Kansas City 6-3 190 20
9 RHP Shelby Miller St. Louis 6-1 190 23
10 CF/RF Aaron Hicks Minnesota 6-2 185 21
11 LHP Zach Britton Baltimore 6-3 195 23
12 LHP Manny Banuelos NY Yankees 5-10 155 19
13 RHP Kyle Drabek Toronto 6-1 190 23
14 RHP Jeremy Hellickson Tampa Bay 6-1 185 23
15 LHP Aroldis Chapman Cincinnati 6-4 185 22
16 LHP Matt Moore Tampa Bay 6-2 205 21
17 1B Brandon Belt San Francisco 6-1 210 22
18 LHP Martin Perez Texas 6-0 178 19
19 RHP Casey Kelly San Diego 6-3 195 21
20 CF Desmond Jennings Tampa Bay 6-2 200 24
21 RHP Michael Pineda Seattle 6-5 245 22
22 RHP Jacob Turner Detroit 6-5 210 19
23 3B Mike Moustakas Kansas City 5-11 230 22
24 LHP Tyler Matzek Colorado 6-3 210 20
25 RHP Jarrod Parker Arizona 6-1 180 22
26 SS Manny Machado Baltimore 6-3 185 18
27 1B/LF Jonathan Singleton Philadelphia 6-2 215 19
28 LHP Mike Montgomery Kansas City 6-5 180 21
29 3B Miguel Sano Minnesota 6-3 195 17
30 RHP Jameson Taillon Pittsburgh 6-6 225 19
31 C Devin Mesoraco Cincinnati 6-1 220 22
32 RHP Kyle Gibson Minnesota 6-6 210 23
33 C Derek Norris Washington 6-0 210 21
34 RHP Jarred Cosart Philadelphia 6-3 180 20
35 2B/SS Jean Segura LA Angels 5-11 155 20
36 RHP Zack Wheeler San Francisco 6-3 180 20
37 2B Brett Lawrie Toronto 6-0 213 21
38 1B Anthony Rizzo San Diego 6-3 220 21
39 3B Lonnie Chisenhall Cleveland 6-1 200 22
40 RHP Chris Archer Tampa Bay 6-3 180 22
41 LHP John Lamb Kansas City 6-3 195 20
42 RHP Jordan Lyles Houston 6-4 215 20
43 1B Freddie Freeman Atlanta 6-5 225 21
44 RHP Zach Stewart Toronto 6-2 205 24
45 SS Jose Iglesias Boston 5-11 175 21
46 LF/RF Jaff Decker San Diego 5-10 190 20
47 RHP Arodys Vizcaino Atlanta 6-0 189 20
48 SS Wilmer Flores NY Mets 6-3 175 19
49 SS Hak-Ju Lee Tampa Bay 6-2 170 20
50 RHP Randall Delgado Atlanta 6-3 200 20
51 SS Billy Hamilton Cincinnati 6-1 160 20
52 RHP Carlos Matias St. Louis 6-0 165 19
53 SS Nick Franklin Seattle 6-1 170 19
54 RHP Anthony Ranaudo Boston 6-7 225 21
55 3B Matt Dominguez Florida 6-1 205 21
56 2B Jason Kipnis Cleveland 5-10 175 23
57 C Travis d'Arnaud Toronto 6-2 195 21
58 SS Grant Green Oakland 6-3 180 23
59 C Yasmani Grandal Cincinnati 6-2 215 22
60 LHP Drew Pomeranz Cleveland 6-5 231 22
61 LHP Mike Minor Atlanta 6-3 210 23
62 C Hank Conger LA Angels 6-1 220 22
63 C Tony Sanchez Pittsburgh 6-0 213 22
64 RHP Simon Castro San Diego 6-5 210 22
65 1B Yonder Alonso Cincinnati 6-2 210 23
66 RHP Trey McNutt Chicago Cubs 6-4 205 21
67 LHP Chris Sale Chicago WS 6-5 170 21
68 C Gary Sanchez NY Yankees 6-2 195 18
69 C Wilin Rosario Colorado 5-11 190 21
70 SS Devaris Gordon LA Dodgers 5-11 150 22
71 CF Ben Revere Minnesota 5-9 175 22
72 3B Zack Cox St. Louis 6-0 215 21
73 RHP Dellin Betances NY Yankees 6-8 245 22
74 OF Oswaldo Arcia Minnesota 6-0 210 19
75 3B Nick Castellanos Detroit 6-4 195 18
76 RHP Brody Colvin Philadelphia 6-3 195 20
77 LHP Alex Torres Tampa Bay 5-10 175 23
78 LHP Tyler Skaggs Arizona 6-4 195 19
79 1B/OF Christian Yelich Florida 6-4 189 19
80 1B/OF Chris Carter Oakland 6-5 230 24
81 SS Jurickson Profar Texas 5-11 165 17
82 C J.P. Arencibia Toronto 6-1 210 25
83 RHP Matt Harvey NY Mets 6-4 225 21
84 SS Chris Owings Arizona 5-11 170 19
85 RHP Jordan Walden LA Angels 6-5 240 23
86 3B Matt Davidson Arizona 6-3 225 19
87 LHP Christian Friedrich Colorado 6-4 215 23
88 RHP Andrew Brackman NY Yankees 6-10 240 25
89 RHP Alex Colome Tampa Bay 6-2 184 22
90 LHP Drake Britton Boston 6-2 200 21
91 RHP Zach Lee LA Dodgers 6-4 190 19
92 3B Nolan Arenado Colorado 6-1 205 19
93 RHP Trevor May Philadelphia 6-5 215 21
94 RHP Rubby de la Rosa LA Dodgers 6-1 170 21
95 C Wilson Ramos Washington 6-0 220 23
96 SS Adeiny Hechevarria Toronto 5-11 180 21
97 LHP Jake McGee Tampa Bay 6-3 190 24
98 LHP Danny Duffy Kansas City 6-3 195 22
99 RHP Aaron Sanchez Toronto 6-4 190 18
100 OF James Jones Seattle 6-4 195 22

At first glance I'd say KLaw's list looks to be more on the money than Mayo's was. Will post more comments in a bit.

Better list than Mayos IMO.

A few thoughts:
Moustakas is way to low, I agree Hosmer should slightly higher than him, but Mous should be in the Top 10 above Wil Myers.
Dustin Ackley is so overrated.
Aaron Hicks at #10 is a joke, what is so appealing about him? His 2 years in the MWL with a .270 average and 12 hrs?
Shelby Miller< Jacob Turner, Matt Moore, Matzek and Jarrod Parker
I don't see what the fuss is about Martin Perez, I think John Lamb is a much better prospect than him.
Machado, Sano and Singleton, Segura and Cosart are all too high.
Arenado, Chris Sale, and Matt Davidson are way too low.
Lonnie Chisenhall and Machado should swap spots.
How is Zack Wheeler ranked ahead of John Lamb?
Nick Franklin should be in the mid 20s around where Singleton is ranked.
I like Derek Norris at #33, I expect him to have a bounce back year.

Ok, here goes.

I can understand Josh Sale not making the top 50, but to not make the 100 is just crazy, IMO.

And speaking of Sale, Chris is WAAAAAY too low. Obviously KLaw thinks he's no better than a mid-innings-reliever.

Others who were too low -- Chapman, Moose, Taillon, Chisenhall, Lamb, Freeman, Betances, C. Carter

Too high -- Hicks, Kelly.

Here are players 101-110 and a write up for each

Because the prospect depth in the minors right now is shallow compared to the last three years in which I compiled my Top 100 ranking, I changed this year's list more times than I remember doing in any previous year. Some names on early drafts just didn't add up once I reviewed notes and video and made some calls, while I also added names of players I overlooked. A handful of players hung around the revisions until the very end, including eight of the names here. It wasn't by design, but four different Cubs prospects fit in the near-miss category, including two players who were on last year's top 100 but fell off because of their 2010 seasons.

A star at Cal, Brett Jackson is a mixed bag thus far.
Here they are, the near-misses for the Top 100:

Position players

Brett Jackson, CF, Chicago Cubs: In effect, Jackson is player No. 101 this year, as he was for the last cut. He projects as an average big league regular at this point, solid across the board but lacking a plus tool. He tore apart the Florida State League and hit the ground running in Double-A, but after those first four games in the Southern League he hit .258/.352/.426 the rest of the way, striking out in more than a quarter of his at-bats. He's a big leaguer, and a prospect, but I have always swung this list toward higher-risk upside guys.

Austin Romine, C, NY Yankees: He can throw and hit for power, but has struggled with basic receiving tasks every time I've seen him in the past six months, something I've confirmed with other pro scouts. And I'm not sold on the hit tool.

Josh Vitters, 3B, Chicago Cubs: Swing is still beautiful, and in the Fall League he played third base as well as I've ever seen him play. But he doesn't walk or even work the count -- he sees a pitch he likes and lets 'er rip -- which won't work in the big leagues. And he's not making any progress on that front.

Jared Mitchell, OF, Chicago White Sox: He missed the year with a knee injury and looked rusty (but in excellent physical shape) in the Fall League. He has to show how much of his pre-injury speed he retained after the injury to see how well he projects, because his legs were a significant part of his game.

Pitchers

Chris Carpenter, RHP, Chicago Cubs: If I was sure he could start, he'd have been on the list, and not in the 90s. It's big stuff, up to 99 mph in relief in the Fall League and in the low to mid-90s as a starter with a four-pitch mix including a slider that flashes above-average. He has been healthy for two-plus years, but the Cubs have kept him that way by being cautious with his workload, and he may not be able to handle 180 innings a year. In relief, though, he could have an impact this year as a setup man or seventh-inning guy.

Chris Dwyer, LHP, Kansas City: Pretty strong consideration not just for the Top 100 (he'd be No. 102 after Jackson) but also to put over Danny Duffy within the Royals' system; his changeup improved this year and the high walk total masks a tweak to his delivery that saw him walk nine men in his past 50 innings in high-A. Dwyer finished the year with a minor back issue and he's topped out around 100 innings each of the past two years.

Jay Jackson, RHP, Chicago Cubs: One of my favorite starter prospects before 2010, Jackson saw his velocity dip at the end of the summer, a malady that also helped knock Dodgers prospect Chris Withrow off the list.

Jake Odorizzi, RHP, Kansas City: Athletic and projectable with a very clean delivery, but lack of a solid-average breaking ball kept him off the list.

Alex White, RHP, Cleveland: Two-pitch starters end up as relievers more often than not. White could miss a ton of bats in relief with just the splitter, but I don't see an average breaking ball yet and am not certain that it's coming.

Luis Heredia, RHP, Pittsburgh: Heredia received a $2.6 million bonus from Pittsburgh, a record for a Mexican amateur player, and will sit in the low 90s already with a good feel for the fastball. He's very well-developed physically for a 16-year-old, with a big frame and the potential to get heavy, which is more of a long-term concern, but the lack of pro experience and questions about the quality of the off-speed stuff kept him off the list.

This list makes me want to puke.

Mous, Wilin Rosario, and Lonnie Chisenhall's rankings are absolutely INSANE. Same with Aaron Hicks Over ranking....

i dont understand why casey kelly is so high. he isn't a good pitcher or hitter

How exactly did both Brett Jackson and Jake Odorizzi make his "just missed" list?

Insane.

(Yes I'm well aware he explains his reasoning, but that doesn't mean I have to accept it.)

Nice to see Trevor May on the list. I fully expect him to him higher this season.

<fingers crossed>

What do you guys think about Freeman being at #43?

WNP22 said:

What do you guys think about Freeman being at #43?

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Way too low. He's the heir apparant at 1B, can both hit and defend.

Law going for shock value there.

At least Sano made this list in the top 50, unlike MLB's list.

How can two "expert" lists be so different and both of them hope to still be taken seriously? I see problems on both lists but there are more issues with Law's list in my opinion.

Interesting that he lists Wil Myers as a C/RF

WJCIII said:

How can two "expert" lists be so different and both of them hope to still be taken seriously? I see problems on both lists but there are more issues with Law's list in my opinion.

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Picking prospects is not an exact science. We tend to really like the lists of those "experts" which are most in line with our own opinions which are based on other peoples opinions and stats.

phillyfan0417 said:

WJCIII said:

How can two "expert" lists be so different and both of them hope to still be taken seriously? I see problems on both lists but there are more issues with Law's list in my opinion.

Click to expand...

Picking prospects is not an exact science. We tend to really like the lists of those "experts" which are most in line with our own opinions which are based on other peoples opinions and stats.

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I agree but I just don't see how they can have the same guys so far apart on their lists if they are talking to scouts, GM's, etc. like they say they are. How does one guy talk to scouts and decide that Hellickson is the second best prospect in the game but the other guy gets info that's so different that he has him almost 20 spots down? Same thing with Moose, Freeman, etc. I agree with J.P., I just think these guys like to go after shock value from time to time.

Britton @ 11. Really?

Jaypers said:

I can understand Josh Sale not making the top 50, but to not make the 100 is just crazy, IMO.

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+1

How is James Jones on this list and Sale isn't? Sale is better right now AND has a higher ceiling. Jones is a 22-year-old mixed bag of tools.

Personally, I like this list but Sale is one big omission.

phillyfan0417 said:

WJCIII said:

How can two "expert" lists be so different and both of them hope to still be taken seriously? I see problems on both lists but there are more issues with Law's list in my opinion.

Click to expand...

Picking prospects is not an exact science. We tend to really like the lists of those "experts" which are most in line with our own opinions which are based on other peoples opinions and stats.

Click to expand...

Stole my thunder. Let's be honest - these lists are all conjecture. Expert A could have seen his prospect #20 on his best day while Expert B saw him at his worst and thus made him #50. The order is so subjective it's really tough to put too much stock into anyone's list.

Additionally, there's certainly no metric to show the disparity between x and y (i.e. #1 is 10x as good as #100), so for all we know #'s 40-80 could all be pretty similar but they had to be ranked in some way.