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Thread: KLaw's Top 100 Prospects List

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    Senior Member Jaypers's Avatar
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    Exclamation KLaw's Top 100 Prospects List

    1. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    3. Wander Franco
    4. Forrest Whitley
    5. Eloy Jimenez
    6. Nick Senzel
    7. MacKenzie Gore
    8. Jo Adell
    9. Royce Lewis
    10. Victor Robles
    11. Alex Kirilloff
    12. Taylor Trammell
    13. Bo Bichette
    14. Brendan McKay
    15. Casey Mize
    16. Hunter Greene
    17. Kyle Tucker
    18. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    19. Brent Honeywell
    20. Michael Kopech
    21. Keston Hiura
    22. Kyle Wright
    23. Triston McKenzie
    24. Mitch Keller
    25. Dylan Cease
    26. Touki Toussaint
    27. Keibert Ruiz
    28. Brendan Rodgers
    29. Francisco Mejia
    30. Ian Anderson
    31. Jesus Luzardo
    32. Jazz Chisholm
    33. A.J. Puk
    34. Justus Sheffield
    35. Sixto Sanchez
    36. Matthew Liberatore
    37. Alex Verdugo
    38. Jarred Kelenic
    39. Nolan Gorman
    40. Jon Duplantier
    41. Gavin Lux
    42. Alex Reyes
    43. Nolan Jones
    44. Chris Paddack
    45. Cristian Pache
    46. Adrian Morejon
    47. Travis Swaggerty
    48. Corbin Martin
    49. Dustin May
    50. Luis Patino
    51. Bryce Wilson
    52. Spencer Howard
    53. Daniel Lynch
    54. Luis Robert
    55. Khalil Lee
    56. Luis Urias
    57. Mike Soroka
    58. Justin Dunn
    59. Vidal Brujan
    60. Mark Vientos
    61. Deivi Garcia
    62. Leody Taveras
    63. D.L. Hall
    64. Elehuris Montero
    65. Matt Manning
    66. JoJo Romero
    67. J.B. Bukauskas
    68. Daz Cameron
    69. Luis Garcia (PHI)
    70. Josh James
    71. Jesus Sanchez
    72. Cole Winn
    73. Brandon Marsh
    74. Noah Naylor
    75. Drew Waters
    76. Jonathan India
    77. Nate Pearson
    78. Oneil Cruz
    79. Will Smith
    80. Logan Allen
    81. William Contreras
    82. Joey Bart
    83. Tony Santillan
    84. Ronaldo Hernandez
    85. Zack Brown
    86. Griffin Canning
    87. Austin Riley
    88. Sean Murphy
    89. Daulton Varsho
    90. Pete Alonso
    91. Miguel Amaya
    92. Peter Lambert
    93. Kristian Robinson
    94. Shane Baz
    95. Hans Crouse
    96. Mason Denaburg
    97. Andres Gimenez
    98. Carter Kieboom
    99. Ronny Mauricio
    100. Lucius Fox


    Also, here are those who just missed.

    101. Everson Pereira
    102. Jordan Balazovic
    103. Ryan Weathers
    104. Colton Welker
    105. Joe Palumbo
    106. Estevan Florial
    107. Danny Jansen
    108. Brusdar Graterol
    109. Dane Dunning
    110. Nico Hoerner

    Others - Grant Lavigne, Nick Madrigal, Darwinzon Hernandez, Tony Gonsolin
    J.P.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jaypers View Post
    1. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    3. Wander Franco
    4. Forrest Whitley
    5. Eloy Jimenez
    6. Nick Senzel
    7. MacKenzie Gore
    8. Jo Adell
    9. Royce Lewis
    10. Victor Robles
    11. Alex Kirilloff
    12. Taylor Trammell
    13. Bo Bichette
    14. Brendan McKay
    15. Casey Mize
    16. Hunter Greene
    17. Kyle Tucker
    18. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    19. Brent Honeywell
    20. Michael Kopech
    21. Keston Hiura
    22. Kyle Wright
    23. Triston McKenzie
    24. Mitch Keller
    25. Dylan Cease
    26. Touki Toussaint
    27. Keibert Ruiz
    28. Brendan Rodgers
    29. Francisco Mejia
    30. Ian Anderson
    31. Jesus Luzardo
    32. Jazz Chisholm
    33. A.J. Puk
    34. Justus Sheffield
    35. Sixto Sanchez
    36. Matthew Liberatore
    37. Alex Verdugo
    38. Jarred Kelenic
    39. Nolan Gorman
    40. Jon Duplantier
    41. Gavin Lux
    42. Alex Reyes
    43. Nolan Jones
    44. Chris Paddack
    45. Cristian Pache
    46. Adrian Morejon
    47. Travis Swaggerty
    48. Corbin Martin
    49. Dustin May
    50. Luis Patino
    51. Bryce Wilson
    52. Spencer Howard
    53. Daniel Lynch
    54. Luis Robert
    55. Khalil Lee
    56. Luis Urias
    57. Mike Soroka
    58. Justin Dunn
    59. Vidal Brujan
    60. Mark Vientos
    61. Deivi Garcia
    62. Leody Taveras
    63. D.L. Hall
    64. Elehuris Montero
    65. Matt Manning
    66. JoJo Romero
    67. J.B. Bukauskas
    68. Daz Cameron
    69. Luis Garcia (PHI)
    70. Josh James
    71. Jesus Sanchez
    72. Cole Winn
    73. Brandon Marsh
    74. Noah Naylor
    75. Drew Waters
    76. Jonathan India
    77. Nate Pearson
    78. Oneil Cruz
    79. Will Smith
    80. Logan Allen
    81. William Contreras
    82. Joey Bart
    83. Tony Santillan
    84. Ronaldo Hernandez
    85. Zack Brown
    86. Griffin Canning
    87. Austin Riley
    88. Sean Murphy
    89. Daulton Varsho
    90. Pete Alonso
    91. Miguel Amaya
    92. Peter Lambert
    93. Kristian Robinson
    94. Shane Baz
    95. Hans Crouse
    96. Mason Denaburg
    97. Andres Gimenez
    98. Carter Kieboom
    99. Ronny Mauricio
    100. Lucius Fox


    Also, here are those who just missed.

    101. Everson Pereira
    102. Jordan Balazovic
    103. Ryan Weathers
    104. Colton Welker
    105. Joe Palumbo
    106. Estevan Florial
    107. Danny Jansen
    108. Brusdar Graterol
    109. Dane Dunning
    110. Nico Hoerner

    Others - Grant Lavigne, Nick Madrigal, Darwinzon Hernandez, Tony Gonsolin
    Nice! I'm currently in the process of doing a comparative analysis of all reputable top 100 lists. I want to see how the industry ranks players as a whole, average spread for each player and average rank. I'm also developing my own top 100 to see how my insights differ from the industry. Should be a fun project!
    R.I.P. Harmon Clayton Killebrew June 29, 1936-May 17, 2011 You will surely be missed!

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    Tatis over Guerrero is a joke. Please. Law is a damn renegade. Lol
    R.I.P. Harmon Clayton Killebrew June 29, 1936-May 17, 2011 You will surely be missed!

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    Quote Originally Posted by jbone17 View Post
    Tatis over Guerrero is a joke. Please. Law is a damn renegade. Lol
    I didn't even look past 1 and 2 because if he got that wrong there no need to bother with the rest.

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    Quote Originally Posted by bstanwood View Post
    I didn't even look past 1 and 2 because if he got that wrong there no need to bother with the rest.
    Much agreed. I found several question marks with his list. Carter Kieboom at 98? Please.
    R.I.P. Harmon Clayton Killebrew June 29, 1936-May 17, 2011 You will surely be missed!

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    [MENTION=1770]Jaypers[/MENTION] Any idea when Fangraphs will post their list?
    R.I.P. Harmon Clayton Killebrew June 29, 1936-May 17, 2011 You will surely be missed!

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    Senior Member Jaypers's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jbone17 View Post
    [MENTION=1770]Jaypers[/MENTION] Any idea when Fangraphs will post their list?
    I don't follow them.

    Sent from my XT1650 using Freedom Card Board mobile app
    J.P.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jaypers View Post
    I don't follow them.

    Sent from my XT1650 using Freedom Card Board mobile app
    Copy that.
    R.I.P. Harmon Clayton Killebrew June 29, 1936-May 17, 2011 You will surely be missed!

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    Senior Member Jaypers's Avatar
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    Anyone else besides me shocked that he had only one Luis Garcia (Phillies) on this list? The Nats guy absolutely deserved to be on it.
    J.P.

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    Senior Member WCTYSON's Avatar
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    [MENTION=1770]Jaypers[/MENTION] .................. Thanks for posting the full list. No dog in this fight but does Law give any reasoning behind placing Tatis above Vlad Jr.? Maybe because of a position premium and defensive skills?
    "...it just sounded to me like he felt like he did not do it."

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    Senior Member Jaypers's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by WCTYSON View Post
    [MENTION=1770]Jaypers[/MENTION] .................. Thanks for posting the full list. No dog in this fight but does Law give any reasoning behind placing Tatis above Vlad Jr.? Maybe because of a position premium and defensive skills?
    Correct.

    Sent from my XT1650 using Freedom Card Board mobile app
    J.P.

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    Administrator phillyfan0417's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jaypers View Post
    Correct.
    Law likes to make outlandish rankings but even this is cheap for him...
    "A fanatic is one who can't change his mind and won't change the subject."
    --Winston Churchill

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    Ol Peter Lambert getting some respect


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Please note: Card collecting is my hobby, not my life. I don't take it that serious and like to keep it fun.

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    Senior Member Jaypers's Avatar
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    Lale
    1:17 What are Vlad Jr’s weaknesses? When do you think will be his most productive years?

    Keith Law
    1:19 He's probably a DH. He's huge already at 19, not a good defender now, not likely to get better or get lighter. If you asked me which prospect I'd want for 2019, it'd be him. This list looks forward though, and for career value, I couldn't take him, a likely DH who could get extremely heavy as he ages, over Tatis, a potential above-average defender at short who has a better long-term physical projection. The difference between an average SS and a DH just in positional adjustments for one season (150 games) is about 20 runs. If you think Tatis is just an average defender at short, Vlad Jr would have to outhit him by 20 runs of value just to pull even in total value.
    J.P.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jaypers View Post
    Lale
    1:17 What are Vlad Jrs weaknesses? When do you think will be his most productive years?

    Keith Law
    1:19 He's probably a DH. He's huge already at 19, not a good defender now, not likely to get better or get lighter. If you asked me which prospect I'd want for 2019, it'd be him. This list looks forward though, and for career value, I couldn't take him, a likely DH who could get extremely heavy as he ages, over Tatis, a potential above-average defender at short who has a better long-term physical projection. The difference between an average SS and a DH just in positional adjustments for one season (150 games) is about 20 runs. If you think Tatis is just an average defender at short, Vlad Jr would have to outhit him by 20 runs of value just to pull even in total value.
    This explanation is such bs. Law is simply grasping at straws. Vlad Jr. has the potential to be the best prospect bat since Miguel Cabrera. The latter is a slam dunk first ballot HOF'er. You don't need to be a perennial defender to have an all-star laden career.
    R.I.P. Harmon Clayton Killebrew June 29, 1936-May 17, 2011 You will surely be missed!

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