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KLaw's Top 100 Prospects List

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Jaypers

Well-known member
Aug 7, 2008
48,899
1,380
IL
1. Fernando Tatis Jr.
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3. Wander Franco
4. Forrest Whitley
5. Eloy Jimenez
6. Nick Senzel
7. MacKenzie Gore
8. Jo Adell
9. Royce Lewis
10. Victor Robles
11. Alex Kirilloff
12. Taylor Trammell
13. Bo Bichette
14. Brendan McKay
15. Casey Mize
16. Hunter Greene
17. Kyle Tucker
18. Ke'Bryan Hayes
19. Brent Honeywell
20. Michael Kopech
21. Keston Hiura
22. Kyle Wright
23. Triston McKenzie
24. Mitch Keller
25. Dylan Cease
26. Touki Toussaint
27. Keibert Ruiz
28. Brendan Rodgers
29. Francisco Mejia
30. Ian Anderson
31. Jesus Luzardo
32. Jazz Chisholm
33. A.J. Puk
34. Justus Sheffield
35. Sixto Sanchez
36. Matthew Liberatore
37. Alex Verdugo
38. Jarred Kelenic
39. Nolan Gorman
40. Jon Duplantier
41. Gavin Lux
42. Alex Reyes
43. Nolan Jones
44. Chris Paddack
45. Cristian Pache
46. Adrian Morejon
47. Travis Swaggerty
48. Corbin Martin
49. Dustin May
50. Luis Patino
51. Bryce Wilson
52. Spencer Howard
53. Daniel Lynch
54. Luis Robert
55. Khalil Lee
56. Luis Urias
57. Mike Soroka
58. Justin Dunn
59. Vidal Brujan
60. Mark Vientos
61. Deivi Garcia
62. Leody Taveras
63. D.L. Hall
64. Elehuris Montero
65. Matt Manning
66. JoJo Romero
67. J.B. Bukauskas
68. Daz Cameron
69. Luis Garcia (PHI)
70. Josh James
71. Jesus Sanchez
72. Cole Winn
73. Brandon Marsh
74. Noah Naylor
75. Drew Waters
76. Jonathan India
77. Nate Pearson
78. Oneil Cruz
79. Will Smith
80. Logan Allen
81. William Contreras
82. Joey Bart
83. Tony Santillan
84. Ronaldo Hernandez
85. Zack Brown
86. Griffin Canning
87. Austin Riley
88. Sean Murphy
89. Daulton Varsho
90. Pete Alonso
91. Miguel Amaya
92. Peter Lambert
93. Kristian Robinson
94. Shane Baz
95. Hans Crouse
96. Mason Denaburg
97. Andres Gimenez
98. Carter Kieboom
99. Ronny Mauricio
100. Lucius Fox


Also, here are those who just missed.

101. Everson Pereira
102. Jordan Balazovic
103. Ryan Weathers
104. Colton Welker
105. Joe Palumbo
106. Estevan Florial
107. Danny Jansen
108. Brusdar Graterol
109. Dane Dunning
110. Nico Hoerner

Others - Grant Lavigne, Nick Madrigal, Darwinzon Hernandez, Tony Gonsolin
 

jbone17

Active member
Sep 26, 2008
6,756
42
The Riverlands.
1. Fernando Tatis Jr.
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3. Wander Franco
4. Forrest Whitley
5. Eloy Jimenez
6. Nick Senzel
7. MacKenzie Gore
8. Jo Adell
9. Royce Lewis
10. Victor Robles
11. Alex Kirilloff
12. Taylor Trammell
13. Bo Bichette
14. Brendan McKay
15. Casey Mize
16. Hunter Greene
17. Kyle Tucker
18. Ke'Bryan Hayes
19. Brent Honeywell
20. Michael Kopech
21. Keston Hiura
22. Kyle Wright
23. Triston McKenzie
24. Mitch Keller
25. Dylan Cease
26. Touki Toussaint
27. Keibert Ruiz
28. Brendan Rodgers
29. Francisco Mejia
30. Ian Anderson
31. Jesus Luzardo
32. Jazz Chisholm
33. A.J. Puk
34. Justus Sheffield
35. Sixto Sanchez
36. Matthew Liberatore
37. Alex Verdugo
38. Jarred Kelenic
39. Nolan Gorman
40. Jon Duplantier
41. Gavin Lux
42. Alex Reyes
43. Nolan Jones
44. Chris Paddack
45. Cristian Pache
46. Adrian Morejon
47. Travis Swaggerty
48. Corbin Martin
49. Dustin May
50. Luis Patino
51. Bryce Wilson
52. Spencer Howard
53. Daniel Lynch
54. Luis Robert
55. Khalil Lee
56. Luis Urias
57. Mike Soroka
58. Justin Dunn
59. Vidal Brujan
60. Mark Vientos
61. Deivi Garcia
62. Leody Taveras
63. D.L. Hall
64. Elehuris Montero
65. Matt Manning
66. JoJo Romero
67. J.B. Bukauskas
68. Daz Cameron
69. Luis Garcia (PHI)
70. Josh James
71. Jesus Sanchez
72. Cole Winn
73. Brandon Marsh
74. Noah Naylor
75. Drew Waters
76. Jonathan India
77. Nate Pearson
78. Oneil Cruz
79. Will Smith
80. Logan Allen
81. William Contreras
82. Joey Bart
83. Tony Santillan
84. Ronaldo Hernandez
85. Zack Brown
86. Griffin Canning
87. Austin Riley
88. Sean Murphy
89. Daulton Varsho
90. Pete Alonso
91. Miguel Amaya
92. Peter Lambert
93. Kristian Robinson
94. Shane Baz
95. Hans Crouse
96. Mason Denaburg
97. Andres Gimenez
98. Carter Kieboom
99. Ronny Mauricio
100. Lucius Fox


Also, here are those who just missed.

101. Everson Pereira
102. Jordan Balazovic
103. Ryan Weathers
104. Colton Welker
105. Joe Palumbo
106. Estevan Florial
107. Danny Jansen
108. Brusdar Graterol
109. Dane Dunning
110. Nico Hoerner

Others - Grant Lavigne, Nick Madrigal, Darwinzon Hernandez, Tony Gonsolin

Nice! I'm currently in the process of doing a comparative analysis of all reputable top 100 lists. I want to see how the industry ranks players as a whole, average spread for each player and average rank. I'm also developing my own top 100 to see how my insights differ from the industry. Should be a fun project!
 

Jaypers

Well-known member
Aug 7, 2008
48,899
1,380
IL
Anyone else besides me shocked that he had only one Luis Garcia (Phillies) on this list? The Nats guy absolutely deserved to be on it.
 

WCTYSON

Well-known member
Nov 3, 2014
7,364
171
[MENTION=1770]Jaypers[/MENTION] .................. Thanks for posting the full list. No dog in this fight but does Law give any reasoning behind placing Tatis above Vlad Jr.? Maybe because of a position premium and defensive skills?
 

Jaypers

Well-known member
Aug 7, 2008
48,899
1,380
IL
Lale
1:17 What are Vlad Jr’s weaknesses? When do you think will be his most productive years?

Keith Law
1:19 He's probably a DH. He's huge already at 19, not a good defender now, not likely to get better or get lighter. If you asked me which prospect I'd want for 2019, it'd be him. This list looks forward though, and for career value, I couldn't take him, a likely DH who could get extremely heavy as he ages, over Tatis, a potential above-average defender at short who has a better long-term physical projection. The difference between an average SS and a DH just in positional adjustments for one season (150 games) is about 20 runs. If you think Tatis is just an average defender at short, Vlad Jr would have to outhit him by 20 runs of value just to pull even in total value.
 

jbone17

Active member
Sep 26, 2008
6,756
42
The Riverlands.
Lale
1:17 What are Vlad Jr’s weaknesses? When do you think will be his most productive years?

Keith Law
1:19 He's probably a DH. He's huge already at 19, not a good defender now, not likely to get better or get lighter. If you asked me which prospect I'd want for 2019, it'd be him. This list looks forward though, and for career value, I couldn't take him, a likely DH who could get extremely heavy as he ages, over Tatis, a potential above-average defender at short who has a better long-term physical projection. The difference between an average SS and a DH just in positional adjustments for one season (150 games) is about 20 runs. If you think Tatis is just an average defender at short, Vlad Jr would have to outhit him by 20 runs of value just to pull even in total value.

This explanation is such bs. Law is simply grasping at straws. Vlad Jr. has the potential to be the best prospect bat since Miguel Cabrera. The latter is a slam dunk first ballot HOF'er. You don't need to be a perennial defender to have an all-star laden career.
 

swish54_99

Well-known member
Dec 12, 2012
1,160
221
I’m surprised he has wander franco at 3?!? He’s been top 10ish in other lists, but that seems awfully aggressive. Only 17 years old and hasn’t played in full season ball yet.


Sent from my iPhone using Freedom Card Board mobile app
 

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