2010 Bowman Chrome Draft Hobby Odds + prospect images

[gocubsgo]

Here are the hobby odds for 2010 Bowman Draft. Pretty tough vs. last year but much better than Bowman Chrome this year. Keep in mind last year the set last year had only 165 cards so these odds are tougher plus 55 more cards in the rookie base set. You also had close to 14 autos per case last year and this year is coming in dead on at 12 per case.


Base parallels: Blue 1:20, Red 1:6,475
Chrome Parallels: Ref 1:11, Blue Ref 1:40, Gold 1:160, Orange 1:320, Red 1:1600, Super 1:6475, Press Plate Base or Chrome: 1:811

Strasburg Auto Variation 1:14,366, Strasburg Super 1:364,784
Autographed Chrome Prospect: 1:38, Ref 1:95, Blue 1:320, Gold 1:990, Orange 1:2065, Red 1:9650, Super 1:44025 Press Plate 1:11,186
USA 16 Under: 1:216, Ref 1:401, Bblue 1:838, Gold 1:1618, Orange 1:3415, Red 1:20,210, Super 1:70,500, press plate 1:17,750


Images of every card in the base chrome and prospect sets are in my 20 count chrome listings live on the Ebay tonight.

 

[bballcardkid]

Any odds for the Aflacs?

 

[ballerskrip]

Any odds for the Aflacs?

+1

How many cases did you rip and how many aflacs did you pull?

 

[noaskiecards]

actually scratch that, i'll wait...it appears the autos cant be posted i believe

 

[gocubsgo]

AFLACs fall 1 per case.

 

[Jaypers]

Am I reading this right - Strasburg's auto has no parallels but the Super?

If so, cool. That way it won't take any value away from his BC autos.

 

[gocubsgo]

Am I reading this right - Strasburg's auto has no parallels but the Super?

If so, cool. That way it won't take any value away from his BC autos.

The base Strasburg auto is like 1 in 50 cases so looks like a print run around 100.

 

[Jaypers]

Am I reading this right - Strasburg's auto has no parallels but the Super?

If so, cool. That way it won't take any value away from his BC autos.

The base Strasburg auto is like 1 in 50 cases so looks like a print run around 100.

Anyone wanna bet me it WON'T be a redemption?

 

[tommyfro21]

AFLACs fall 1 per case.

So does this mean that the AFLAC counts as one of your autos now? You said only 12 autos came per case.

 

[gocubsgo]

Chromes autos fall 12 per case, the USA 1 per case and the AFLACs are 1 per case so you should average 14 total autos per case.

 

[cwc2002]

did you happen to pull a Harper Aflac?

 

[shayscards79]

I hope Pomeranz is the only redemption among the autos.

 

[cwc2002]

I hope Pomeranz is the only redemption among the autos.

I think I read that Colon is another redemption

 

[mredsox89]

Non auto parallels
26.18 refractors
7.2 blue refractors
1.8 gold refractors
0.9 orange refractors
.355 plates

Auto parallels
7.58 chrome autos
3.03 refractor autos
0.9 blue ref autos
0.29 gold ref autos--1 every 3.44 cases
0.14 orange ref autos--1 every 7.14 cases
.03 red ref autos--1 every 33.55 cases
.0065 super autos--1 every 153.84 cases
.026 plate autos--1 every 38 cases

I believe these are correct

 

[crowTrobot]

Non auto parallels
26.18 refractors
7.2 blue refractors
1.8 gold refractors
0.9 orange refractors
.355 plates

Auto parallels
7.58 chrome autos
3.03 refractor autos
0.9 blue ref autos
0.29 gold ref autos--1 every 3.44 cases
0.14 orange ref autos--1 every 7.14 cases
.03 red ref autos--1 every 33.55 cases
.0065 super autos--1 every 513.84 cases
.026 plate autos--1 every 38 cases

I believe these are correct

unless they made 16000 cases super auto has to be incorrect

should be 1:153.84 so looks like you just transposed a couple numbers

 

[Wes]

Am I reading this right - Strasburg's auto has no parallels but the Super?

If so, cool. That way it won't take any value away from his BC autos.

That would be great!

 

[crowTrobot]

5000-5500 hobby cases. about 2000 too many for it to go up significantly any time soon, but at least it won't tank. probably stay around cost on dealernet and retail just above.

 

[mredsox89]

Non auto parallels
26.18 refractors
7.2 blue refractors
1.8 gold refractors
0.9 orange refractors
.355 plates

Auto parallels
7.58 chrome autos
3.03 refractor autos
0.9 blue ref autos
0.29 gold ref autos--1 every 3.44 cases
0.14 orange ref autos--1 every 7.14 cases
.03 red ref autos--1 every 33.55 cases
.0065 super autos--1 every 513.84 cases
.026 plate autos--1 every 38 cases

I believe these are correct

unless they made 16000 cases super auto has to be incorrect

should be 1:153.84 so looks like you just transposed a couple numbers

You are correct. Its 153 not 513, just a mistype

 

[tribefan26]

Here are the hobby odds for 2010 Bowman Draft. Pretty tough vs. last year but much better than Bowman Chrome this year. Keep in mind last year the set last year had only 165 cards so these odds are tougher plus 55 more cards in the rookie base set. You also had close to 14 autos per case last year and this year is coming in dead on at 12 per case.


Base parallels: Blue 1:20, Red 1:6,475
Chrome Parallels: Ref 1:11, Blue Ref 1:40, Gold 1:160, Orange 1:320, Red 1:1600, Super 1:6475, Press Plate Base or Chrome: 1:811

Strasburg Auto Variation 1:14,366, Strasburg Super 1:364,784
Autographed Chrome Prospect: 1:38, Ref 1:95, Blue 1:320, Gold 1:990, Orange 1:2065, Red 1:9650, Super 1:44025 Press Plate 1:11,186
USA 16 Under: 1:216, Ref 1:401, Bblue 1:838, Gold 1:1618, Orange 1:3415, Red 1:20,210, Super 1:70,500, press plate 1:17,750


Images of every card in the base chrome and prospect sets are in my 20 count chrome listings live on the Ebay tonight.

I'm confused - based on 220 base cards and 220 chrome cards the odds (on Supers and reds) caculate out to about 1,400,000 packs. (220*6,475 = 1,424,500)

The auto supers and press plates also get close to that number (44,025*32 = 1,408,800)

But these numbers mean there are 4 Strasburg Superfractors - that doesn't make sense to me.

 

[NECpilgrims8]

If you want pictures of the USA Chrome, USA Jersey, and USA Autos...

Check them out HERE.

The base set brings me back to 1997.