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These cards seem to be pretty rare, and very few of them have been listed. The odds I've seen are:
500 cards in the set
Hobby: 1:444 (846,500 packs assumed produced)
Retail: 1:205 (2,200,000 packs assumed produced)
Which breaks down to 3.8 of each card across the hobby production run, and 21.46 across the retail. So say 25 cards apiece. That's enough that I'd expect to see a couple of each card show up, and yet I haven't seen on for either of the Jonny Gomes cards in the set. Only 104 cards are currently listed on eBay, and add that to the 373 that have sold (477), and it doesn't even average 1 of each card listed.
By comparison, there were half as many total black refractors produced (6,500 vs. ~12,500), yet 2.5 times as many (1,152 vs. 477) have been listed on eBay. (If you followed this logic to its conclusion, you could make a case for only 5 of each black back being released.)
So either these things just aren't being listed, the odds are wrong, or they're being calculated incorrectly. I would bet that a lot are being cast aside (subtle and boring parallel that might not be noticed or cared about), but I can't believe that there are 25 copies of each card.
Anyone have them or looking for them? Still looking for both of Gomes, but picked up two "cameos" (look closely):
(Example pic from eBay, I actually got Game 5.)
The other one, an AL Home Run Leaders card, has him listed only as "J. Gomes" on the back.
500 cards in the set
Hobby: 1:444 (846,500 packs assumed produced)
Retail: 1:205 (2,200,000 packs assumed produced)
Which breaks down to 3.8 of each card across the hobby production run, and 21.46 across the retail. So say 25 cards apiece. That's enough that I'd expect to see a couple of each card show up, and yet I haven't seen on for either of the Jonny Gomes cards in the set. Only 104 cards are currently listed on eBay, and add that to the 373 that have sold (477), and it doesn't even average 1 of each card listed.
By comparison, there were half as many total black refractors produced (6,500 vs. ~12,500), yet 2.5 times as many (1,152 vs. 477) have been listed on eBay. (If you followed this logic to its conclusion, you could make a case for only 5 of each black back being released.)
So either these things just aren't being listed, the odds are wrong, or they're being calculated incorrectly. I would bet that a lot are being cast aside (subtle and boring parallel that might not be noticed or cared about), but I can't believe that there are 25 copies of each card.
Anyone have them or looking for them? Still looking for both of Gomes, but picked up two "cameos" (look closely):
(Example pic from eBay, I actually got Game 5.)
The other one, an AL Home Run Leaders card, has him listed only as "J. Gomes" on the back.
