2010 Bowman JUMBO Wrapper Odds

[bmc398]

Strasburg Red 1:214.000

So, based on this, can you extrapolate the print run?

214,000 / 8 box cases = 26,750 jumbo cases.

Shouldn't it be:

12 packs x 8 boxes per case= 96 packs per case

214,000 packs/96= 2,229.17 cases

Yea, I am sorry - I was thinking per box, not per pack odds.

Looks like production was around 2230 cases.

Yeah, knew it would be real easy to calculate knowing the red strasburg would be in the jumbos. Forgot how many cases there were supposedly of the hobby, but while the print run certainly isn't small for the product, it wasn't cranked either.

As far as the refractors go, with dumping the Xs, and upping the PR of the Blue Refs and base Refs there are only about 100 extra parallels of each player vs. what there has been in the past...not too huge of a difference.

 

[BowmanChromeAddict]

Ok, here are the rest of the odds. Sorry for the delay.

Ref 1:5,
Blue ref 1:13,
Gold 1:64,
Orange 1:126,
Red 1:407
Super 1:2275

Chrome auto ref 1:24,
blue 1:80,
gold 1:240,
orange 1:479,
red 1:2400,
super 1:11,900

He also told me he pulled 2 Chrome autos and 1 Bowman Green auto per box on average.

So, based on this, can you extrapolate the print run?

So what you're really saying is that USA Chrome and Chrome Prospects are actually combined odds. The odds on USA parallels would be tougher if they were separated.

 

[Jaypers]

He's now finished his first 8-box Jumbo case.

Highlights:

heyward auto
nicky delmonico usa orange ref
wilmer flores triple relic
2- tate ref autos
gold ref brett jackson, ref & base
triple relic tyson gillies
jose iglesias blue ref
2 martin perez ref autos
austin jackson blue ref auto
trevor may blue ref
teheran orange ref auto

 

[masonphillip]

viewtopic.php?f=2&t=88807

There's my print run attempt.

 

[bmc398]

http://www.freedomcardboard.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=88807

There's my print run attempt.

Solid work.

Thanked

 

[BowmanChromeAddict]

If the USA Chrome odds hold true, I'm only going to pull about 7 of each player in 12 cases. The guys who pre-sold large lots are going to be doing quite a bit of refunding.

 

[BowmanChromeAddict]

USA Parallels (isolated odds)
Ref 1:18.75
Blue Ref 1:48.75
Gold Ref 1:240
Orange Ref 1:472.5
Red Ref 1:1526.25
Super 1:8531.27

Chrome Prospect Parallels (isolated odds)
Ref 1:6.82
Blue Ref 1:17.73
Gold Ref 1:87.27
Orange Ref 1:171.82
Red Ref 1:555
Super 1:3102.27

 

[Jaypers]

Just got word he pulled a Heyward Gold Ref Auto #50/50 in his 2nd case.

 

[jdacunha]

Just got word he pulled a Heyward Gold Ref Auto #50/50 in his 2nd case.

what do you guys expect these to go for? Wouldn't this be like the '08 Bowman Chrome autos of Longo and Kershaw?

 

[Bob Loblaw]

Just got word he pulled a Heyward Gold Ref Auto #50/50 in his 2nd case.

scan or ban

 

[Jaypers]

Just got word he pulled a Heyward Gold Ref Auto #50/50 in his 2nd case.

scan or ban

He's busy into case # 3, so I guess you'll have to ban me. Oh wait, you can't....

 

[Wes]

Just got word he pulled a Heyward Gold Ref Auto #50/50 in his 2nd case.

scan or ban

He's busy into case # 3, so I guess you'll have to ban me. Oh wait, you can't....

I'll be banning you ASAP.

 

[bmc398]

Just got word he pulled a Heyward Gold Ref Auto #50/50 in his 2nd case.

what do you guys expect these to go for? Wouldn't this be like the '08 Bowman Chrome autos of Longo and Kershaw?

Id say a solid $300....at a minimum

 

[Jaypers]

Just got word he pulled a Heyward Gold Ref Auto #50/50 in his 2nd case.

scan or ban

He's busy into case # 3, so I guess you'll have to ban me. Oh wait, you can't....

I'll be banning you ASAP.

Guess someone else will have to give you guys these tidbits from now on, then....

 

[vetsgt02]

Just got word he pulled a Heyward Gold Ref Auto #50/50 in his 2nd case.

what do you guys expect these to go for? Wouldn't this be like the '08 Bowman Chrome autos of Longo and Kershaw?

Id say a solid $300....at a minimum

50/50 first one on ebay maybe even higher like $400-$500

 

[bmc398]

Just got word he pulled a Heyward Gold Ref Auto #50/50 in his 2nd case.

what do you guys expect these to go for? Wouldn't this be like the '08 Bowman Chrome autos of Longo and Kershaw?

Id say a solid $300....at a minimum

50/50 first one on ebay maybe even higher like $400-$500

All I know is that it will make his case a profitable one...

 

[rico08]

Thanks for the info JP.

 

[chrome_ball]

Why doesn't the source just post the break here?

 

[mredsox89]

USA Parallels (isolated odds)
Ref 1:18.75
Blue Ref 1:48.75
Gold Ref 1:240
Orange Ref 1:472.5
Red Ref 1:1526.25
Super 1:8531.27

Chrome Prospect Parallels (isolated odds)
Ref 1:6.82
Blue Ref 1:17.73
Gold Ref 1:87.27
Orange Ref 1:171.82
Red Ref 1:555
Super 1:3102.27

So here is what to expect on average per jumbo case.

USA
24 Chrome
5.2 refractors
1.97 blue ref
.4 gold refr (2 every 5 cases)
.2 orange ref (1 every 5 cases)
.063 red ref (1 every 15+ cases)

Chrome prospect parallels
14.07 refractors
5.41 blue refractors
1.10 gold ref
.56 orange ref
.17 orange ref

 

[Bob Loblaw]

Overall odds of 1.5 gold refractors per CASE?

And this stuff is NOT diluted?

Eek.

USA Parallels (isolated odds)
Ref 1:18.75
Blue Ref 1:48.75
Gold Ref 1:240
Orange Ref 1:472.5
Red Ref 1:1526.25
Super 1:8531.27

Chrome Prospect Parallels (isolated odds)
Ref 1:6.82
Blue Ref 1:17.73
Gold Ref 1:87.27
Orange Ref 1:171.82
Red Ref 1:555
Super 1:3102.27

So here is what to expect on average per jumbo case.

USA
24 Chrome
5.2 refractors
1.97 blue ref
.4 gold refr (2 every 5 cases)
.2 orange ref (1 every 5 cases)
.063 red ref (1 every 15+ cases)

Chrome prospect parallels
14.07 refractors
5.41 blue refractors
1.10 gold ref
.56 orange ref
.17 orange ref