2018 Ohtani Season Projections

[WCTYSON]

What do members here project as his final 2018 numbers in both hitting and pitching production?

Hitting:
https://rotochamp.com/baseball/Player.aspx?MLBAMID=960271

Pitching:
https://rotochamp.com/baseball/Player.aspx?MLBAMID=660271

 

[Jaypers]

His ST debut:

Jeff Fletcher @JeffFletcherOCR
#Angels Shohei Ohtani is done for the day. He gave up a HR to Keon Broxton in the 2nd. He pitched 1.1 IP, 2H, 2 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 2K. One wild pitch. He threw 31 pitches, 17 strikes. Topped out at 97 mph.

 

[AnthonyCorona]

His final numbers:
Pitching: 32-0 .90 ERA .50 WHIP
Batting: .656 BA 75 HRs 210 RBI

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[death2redemptions]

Hitting: .235 avg 7 HR 24 RBI .726 OPS (roughly 150 at-bats)
Pitching: 9-10 3.62 ERA 1.25 WHIP 162 IP 180 K:66 BB

I think he'll be a slightly below average hitter (great by a pitchers standards) and get far less at-bat opportunities than most expect he will. I predict he'll eventually be seen as a far better pitcher than hitter. He'll finish the season with ROY votes. Not sure if he'll win or not, it depends on how the rest of the top rookies perform.

 

[JVHaste]

Pitching- 5-3 record, 3.62 ERA, 85IP, 90K (his pitching gets shut down at some point)

Batting- .273 BA, 14 HR, 79 RBI (Mike Trout assisted) 65 Runs

Injuries- hmmm...........

 

[Topnotchsy]

Hitting: .235 avg 7 HR 24 RBI .726 OPS (roughly 150 at-bats)
Pitching: 9-10 3.62 ERA 1.25 WHIP 162 IP 180 K:66 BB

I think he'll be a slightly below average hitter (great by a pitchers standards) and get far less at-bat opportunities than most expect he will. I predict he'll eventually be seen as a far better pitcher than hitter. He'll finish the season with ROY votes. Not sure if he'll win or not, it depends on how the rest of the top rookies perform.

I think this is reasonable though I feel like of his ERA is that low, his record will be a little better and I think barring injury he’ll get more at bats than than (maybe 200-250).

I could see him slowing as the season goes along. IIRC the season in Japan is shorter than the 162 games we have.


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[JVHaste]

I could see him slowing as the season goes along. IIRC the season in Japan is shorter than the 162 games we have.

Yep, and whats worse than the season length is the long plane rides. Going coast to coast just makes you feel like dogsht.

 

[death2redemptions]

I think this is reasonable though I feel like of his ERA is that low, his record will be a little better and I think barring injury he’ll get more at bats than than (maybe 200-250).

I could see him slowing as the season goes along. IIRC the season in Japan is shorter than the 162 games we have.


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Well, W/L record is more dependent upon luck & how the team does around him rather than the pitchers actual performance** so I just randomly tossed two numbers together. Feel free to add a couple wins or scratch a lose or two


**I remember when Shelby Miller put up a 3.02 ERA in 2015 but finished with a 5-17 record. Now, he was playing for a really bad Braves team so that's sort of an extreme example.

 

[death2redemptions]

Yep, and whats worse than the season length is the long plane rides. Going coast to coast just makes you feel like dogsht.

Just give Forest Whitely a call to hook you up with some of his dopeass unknown stimulants. I hear they get you going like the energizer bunny on speed.

 

[JVHaste]

Just give Forest Whitely a call to hook you up with some of his dopeass unknown stimulants. I hear they get you going like the energizer bunny on speed.

Yeah, some good Vitamin C(rack) will help with that long distance travel :lol:

Did you want to be in our Ohtani Injury Pool? I thought you were a grade A playa hater.

 

[WCTYSON]

One thing to consider, is that the Angels are going with a six man rotation.

 

[WizardofOz1982]

I've been watching a ton of footage of him in the last week or so and I'm wondering if anyone else noticed the same thing I did.

Did he ever hit a home run off a fastball in Japan? Every home run I saw was off a bad breaking ball or something straight at about 80 MPH. There's nothing wrong with hitting mistakes a long way but you have to be able to catch up to a good fastball too.

Hitting: .227/.300/.340 34/150, 5 2B, 4 HR

Pitching: 19 starts, ~110 innings, 7-5, 3.68 ERA, ~8.5 K/9, ~3.2 BB/9

 

[WCTYSON]

Batting as the DH today, listed as 2nd in the lineup.

 

[WCTYSON]

1 for 1 with a RBI single and two walks, likely done for the day.

 

[AnthonyCorona]

1 for 1 with a RBI single and two walks, likely done for the day.

HOF bound!!!!

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[Enfuego79]

The kid is the Tebow of Baseball....overrated


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[WCTYSON]

I've been watching a ton of footage of him in the last week or so and I'm wondering if anyone else noticed the same thing I did.

Did he ever hit a home run off a fastball in Japan? Every home run I saw was off a bad breaking ball or something straight at about 80 MPH. There's nothing wrong with hitting mistakes a long way but you have to be able to catch up to a good fastball too.

Hitting: .227/.300/.340 34/150, 5 2B, 4 HR

Pitching: 19 starts, ~110 innings, 7-5, 3.68 ERA, ~8.5 K/9, ~3.2 BB/9

While I don't have an issue with your pitching projections, though I think he will be closer to 130 innings and a few more starts, do you really think he is a way below average hitter? Are you seeing something with his swing? You have him in negative value territory as a batter. From what I have read about his exit velocity and spin rates, I think you have his slugging way low.

The kid is the Tebow of Baseball....overrated

No.

 

[Enfuego79]

While I don't have an issue with your pitching projections, though I think he will be closer to 130 innings and a few more starts, do you really think he is a way below average hitter? Are you seeing something with his swing? You have him in negative value territory as a batter. From what I have read about his exit velocity and spin rates, I think you have his slugging way low.



No.

You seriously don’t think this kid is being over inflated? The same happened with Tanaka...


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[WCTYSON]

You seriously don’t think this kid is being over inflated? The same happened with Tanaka...

He is being hyped like any exciting, young player entering a rookie season with the addition of being a two way player. I don't think he is overrated because I don't think he is rated at all, not even a sample size against MLB talent. I'm not seeing anybody here seriously saying he is a great player but I am seeing a lot of people saying he will suck. I for one am excited to see what kind of value a true two way player brings to the game and if that translates to excitement in the hobby I am for that too. Why not? What happened with Tanaka, besides jaded Yankees fans with unrealistic expectations? He has been in MLB for 4 seasons and during that time has arguably been a top 20 pitcher.

 

[Enfuego79]

He is being hyped like any exciting, young player entering a rookie season with the addition of being a two way player. I don't think he is overrated because I don't think he is rated at all, not even a sample size against MLB talent. I'm not seeing anybody here seriously saying he is a great player but I am seeing a lot of people saying he will suck. I for one am excited to see what kind of value a true two way player brings to the game and if that translates to excitement in the hobby I am for that too. Why not? What happened with Tanaka, besides jaded Yankees fans with unrealistic expectations? He has been in MLB for 4 seasons and during that time has arguably been a top 20 pitcher.

I agree, and I hope he does well, but let’s just see how this turns out...


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