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Buy/Sell/Hold 2002 David Wright Chrome Autos

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trademhigh

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What are you guys doing with these? I think if he starts hitting a ton of home runs again, these things could go up, but will he be able to (rhetorical question, sorta)?
 

vwnut13

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~ It is so hard to hit a HR in Citi Field!
No way he hits another home run again. SELL NOW!!! ~

Wait, Didn't Brett Gardner hit one in Citi Field?
 

Codasco07

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I think it should be around $100. I certainly wouldn't be buying at that price. He's a good player, but he's fallen behind Zimmerman and Longoria in my book.
 

rico08

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Codasco07 said:
I think it should be around $100. I certainly wouldn't be buying at that price. He's a good player, but he's fallen behind Zimmerman and Longoria in my book.

Because of one rough year?
 

smapdi

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I have never paid attention to this card, so I don't know what the range has been, but I think if anything now would be the time to buy. I mean, think of it like this:
1) Just turned 27, the year when typically hitters have their peak stats.
2) Plays in NYC.
3) The only problem he had last season was hitting homers. Everything else was inline with previous production. Sometime hitters have fluke stats one way or the other.
4) Even after last season, his 162-game average Triple Crown stats are .309-27-107. His SABRmetric stats are .389-.519-.907.
5) His best RCs are from a highly regarded brand.
6) He's had major hobby heat in the past, and he's just a hot month, or hot week, or even a big Opening Day away from regaining it.

Yeah, I'd buy more than one for $100. Right after I buy up all the nice Kubels.
 

Codasco07

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rico08 said:
Codasco07 said:
I think it should be around $100. I certainly wouldn't be buying at that price. He's a good player, but he's fallen behind Zimmerman and Longoria in my book.

Because of one rough year?

I guess you could say that. I think Wright will bounce back a little from last year, but Zimmerman and Longoria would still be ahead of him if they both perform at their same levels. Wright is almost 2 and 3 years older then them FWIW.
 

thenumberonemetfan

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I see his production looking like this(if he changes his stance back to what is was pre 2009)

.300AVG 25HR 110RBI 20SB

If I had 100.00 I'd pick one up even though I cant stand the guy.
 

trademhigh

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Thanks for the posts so far. His Chromes actually sell for $150, though, not $100.
 

EricInCT

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trademhigh said:
Thanks for the posts so far. His Chromes actually sell for $150, though, not $100.


I'd rather a blue beckham or similar......something that can really go through the roof with minimal effort.

a base chrome there are 1000s of, the beckham there are 150 of for example.

the market will be flooded and your 150 investment will be bumped to 200.

Beckham has just one good month or a even a good week his stuff can double that quickly due to people who are going to hold them for their collection you might see 20 or so in any given month.....if one of those is yours you are talking about a 150% ROI conservative.

Eric
 

mazarazz

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I haven't followed the historical prices either...

At $150 per I'm not buying, but that's a personal thing, too high for me to jump into.

With the general dump the card market has taken, $150 per seems pretty good. But maybe not so good if this was once a $300 card.

I'd hold until at least the season begins and see what happens from there. I don't see much happening between now and April that would cause a significant change in price either way.
 

EricInCT

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jetsmets150 said:
I would say buy. He's a great young player imo.

Is it a buy? Yes to answer your question I agree that it is. It is a conservative buy. He isn't going to explode and he isn't going to plummet dramatically. He has been there and done that. He will need an amazing start or an amazing pace to see anything more than a modest increase.......as an investor it is also a must that he show power......that is the only way you will get the most out of your investment since after all it is a base chrome auto and very common as far as rookie autos......increase the core demand is key.


Worse case: $100-115

Best case: $175-200

May be too much to risk for that low of an ROI.
 

Topnotchsy

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He's one of the best players ever to have a Chrome autograph. While he's been around too long to be someone who will spike like crazy with a good month, there are few players with a Chrome autograph who have a better chance at winding up in Cooperstown. I picked a couple up towards the end of the season last year (had to sell one because I needed to funds, but think it's a very solid deal.)

NY, entering his prime, does not get in trouble, good looking and the face of the franchise.
 

UMich92

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I think Wright is a long-term hold. I don't think I would buy for an investment at current prices because as others have said prices won't fluctuate much without a major streak or slump. Buying for a PC, now is a good time to buy. During the 2006 postseason, his chrome autos went nuts. Base got up over $400 per and refractors/xfractors were going for $600/$700 per. I sold about half my stash and looking back I should have sold much more as it seems unlikely that his prices will hit that level again.

Alex
 

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