Profar: Buy, Hold, Sell?

[Adam G]

Profar has had a very nice month/season, and prices are slowly migrating up. Some publications have him dead even or ahead of Machado, but you can still pick up Profar autos for half the price of Machado. Seems like he's a lock for making the top 10 next spring, so unless he gets severely injured I don't see a downside. But I usually draw the line at $30 for base autos of position players regardless of potential. Thoughts?

 

[TopOffLikeWALLACE]

I agree but there is a lot of talk about him being traded because he is being blocked by Andrus.

 

[HPC]

I agree but there is a lot of talk about him being traded because he is being blocked by Andrus.

Profar and Andrus seem to be similar.

I think Texas will trade Andrus honestly. Not this year, but within the next 2

 

[tm decomposer]

I agree but there is a lot of talk about him being traded because he is being blocked by Andrus.

Where have you read this? Because everything I've read said Profar is off limits because the Rangers are obsessed with him.

 

[tm decomposer]

I wonder if Profar's bat can hold down thirdbase?

 

[Adam G]

I've heard the trade rumors, but there doesn't seem to be any validity to them. Also, the Rangers have about 2 years before they have to make any real decisions about what to do w/ Andrus/Profar. I don't see this as a real consideration right now.

 

[Adam G]

I wonder if Profar's bat can hold down thirdbase?

If he can hit for average from both sides of the plate and projects as a 20+ HR hitter, I don't see why this would be a problem. Pretty much on par with Chipper, Wright, Sandoval, etc.

 

[jlyles]

I wonder if Profar's bat can hold down thirdbase?

With Adrian Beltre signed to a long term big contract, I dont see anyone taking over for him in the next 3-4 years.

 

[Adam G]

I wonder if Profar's bat can hold down thirdbase?

With Adrian Beltre signed to a long term big contract, I dont see anyone taking over for him in the next 3-4 years.

True, so maybe a move to 2nd.

 

[miguelcabrera]

i would hold, i see a big spike for the kid in the future

 

[shayscards79]

Regardless of team or position, he's a great buy because of upside.

 

[Adam G]

Regardless of team or position, he's a great buy because of upside.

I normally shy away at current prices, but I'm leaning towards "buy" as well. All signs point to perennial All-Star, and maybe one of the best (or THE best) shortstops in the game for many years. By most reports, he's a .300+ 20-30HR hitter, very solid at short, strong arm, great maturity and discipline at the plate. Sounds like a top 5 prospect to me, with prices in the $80-100 range once the hype train picks up steam.

 

[shayscards79]

Look at it this way, people are willing to pay $30 for a base Sano auto and he's the same age as Profar, playing in rookie league fairly well but not spectacularly. Profar is playng in A ball hitting .280 with 34 extra base hits. So your projection isn't unrealistic.

 

[smapdi]

He is what, 15 years old? Buy a little consistently for the next couple years, then sell.

 

[Adam G]

He is what, 15 years old? Buy a little consistently for the next couple years, then sell.

I think he's 13, but whatever

 

[Yankees1218]

I say sell at the current prices. Though he is ranked as a top prospect, I feel there are other, and better buys out there. I think people are hyped up on him, thinking he'll hit $80, when he is just as likely to go on a bad stretch and go back down to $15-$20. Never a sure bet, or even a decently safe bet. Always risk, especially with guys that are 17-18 years old. Not bashing the player, just the prices some are willing to pay so early.

 

[outofluckandmoney]

i think he's a huge, huge prospect in the baseball sense but not in the hobby sense. no matter how great you are defensively, people buying cards typically (never?) don't take notice of that. or how great a players instincts are. it's all about how much you can hit.

there's varying reports on how good his hit tool is, the highest grade i've read a scout rate it for future ability was a 70 (i don't remember whose article it was in, might've been from baseballprospectus). others weren't as optimistic. i know i've definitely never read anybody say he has 30 HR power potential, i think it's pretty universal that 20 is his power ceiling. 30 HR would be pretty shocking.

i'd say sell at current prices.

 

[Yankees1218]

Agreed. His performance in the futures game and Top ten rankings have driven his prices up. I dont think anyone should be buying as an investment at $25-$30.

This thread alone has surely been the reason for the $5+ jump from this mourning. Every BIN has been hit except for one, which will be hit as well, and an auction is at $35 with 5 hours left. WAY too high for anyone to be buying IMO.

 

[tm decomposer]

Agreed. His performance in the futures game and Top ten rankings have driven his prices up. I dont think anyone should be buying as an investment at $25-$30.

This thread alone has surely been the reason for the $5+ jump from this mourning. Every BIN has been hit except for one, which will be hit as well, and an auction is at $35 with 5 hours left. WAY too high for anyone to be buying IMO.

It's a shame, since I just wanted one auto for my PC. But so much for that now.

 

[Card Geeks Blog]

Definitely not a buy at these prices but a Hold for sure IMO.