Reinvesting in 2nd-3rd-4th year players in the majors

[bozemanbreaker]

Was just wondering if any of you reinvest into players who are still young but in their 2nd, 3rd, or 4th year in the MAJORS?

Players who haven't had their huge impact in the big-leagues (and in turn their prices have dropped as compared to their crazy debut prices when they got called up)... for instance a guy like Jay Bruce.

I guess I've got a few guys in mind whose 05/06 RCs are super cheap because they haven't "done much"... not sure if its worth it though.

Any success stories?

 

[17ROCKIES12]

Robinson Cano

 

[Superfractor]

Chris Iannetta.

 

[bozemanbreaker]

Robinson Cano

:lol: i'm sold. /thread.

 

[craiger122003]

Matt Cain /Wainwright/Carpenter/Sheets / Plus others perhaps

 

[wolfmanalfredo]

I picked up 14 mauer chromes 2 years ago for the average price of 47 per. Sold during the season last year for the average price of 173. Picked up a bunch of morneau this offseason for 20ish each. Some have already sold for 45-60

Sent from my T-Mobile G1 using Tapatalk

 

[uniquebaseballcards]

Nice idea for a thread. Its downright silly to think only a couple cards of a player are worth owning or investing in, this is a complete myth some people perpetuate for reasons of profit and others are socialized to believe in.

Was just wondering if any of you reinvest into players who are still young but in their 2nd, 3rd, or 4th year in the MAJORS?

Players who haven't had their huge impact in the big-leagues (and in turn their prices have dropped as compared to their crazy debut prices when they got called up)... for instance a guy like Jay Bruce.

I guess I've got a few guys in mind whose 05/06 RCs are super cheap because they haven't "done much"... not sure if its worth it though.

Any success stories?

 

[bmc398]

Only if you can buy low and sell high! LOL

The easiest way to do it...buy low in the offseason of established guys and flip during the season and especially at times when they get the most pub.

 

[f2tornado]

It should be well known many players don't attain peak performance until age 26 or 27. Everyone's favorite prospect book says Joe Blow "could attain more power as he fills out". This takes time through maturation and training. It does seem like certain teams have a better track record developing quality hitters and these teams may deserve added focus... Marlins, Rays, Cardinals immediately come to mind.

 

[bmc398]

It should be well known many players don't attain peak performance until age 26 or 27. Everyone's favorite prospect book says Joe Blow "could attain more power as he fills out". This takes time through maturation and training. It does seem like certain teams have a better track record developing quality hitters and these teams may deserve added focus... Marlins, Rays, Cardinals immediately come to mind.

Cubs aren't on that list? lol

 

[AmishDave]

Ricky Romero / Matt Cain / Adam Wainwright / Martin Prado / Franklin Gutierrez

 

[sportscardtheory]

There are many great players that are a couple or a few years in who are still very young who's cards sell for very little. But if I told you who they are, I'd have to kill you.

 

[Twinsfan84]

Are Justin Upton Bowman Chrome rookie prices down due to his slow start?

 

[TopOffLikeWALLACE]

GORDON BECKHAM!!!

 

[fengzhang]

It's certainly possible to make money reinvesting in players who've been in a league for a few years. For example, Joe Mauer and Justin Upton cards were red hot when they came out, then dipped for a bit, and then went back up when those players produced in the majors.

But, this is a lot harder than simply investing in prospects who've never played because this strategy actually requires players to produce. When investing in prospects, you simply buy the cards when they're in the minors, pimp your player like crazy, and then sell when they get called up. It doesn't matter how they actually perform in the majors. Any smart prospector knows not to believe the garbage/hype that they spew out on a daily basis about their prospect. They know there are far more Homer Baileys and Delmon Youngs than there are Matt Kemps. It makes sense to sell quickly rather than hoping the prospect pans out in the majors.

If you want to re-invest in 2rd or 3rd year players, then their performance actually matters. Jay Bruce, Delmon Young, Jeremy Hermida, Homer Bailey, Matt Cain, BJ Upton, etc. their cards aren't going to go up unless they do well. .280 with 15 HR's might have sufficed for their rookie years but if Delmon Young hits .280 with 15 HR's this year, are his cards going to go up? No. He'll need a year like Joe Mauer or Justin Upton had last year. I don't really like this idea that a player is "due" for a big year simply because he's been sucking. Every year we hear about how it's going to be Carl Crawford or Jeremy Hermida or Delmon Young or BJ Upton's breakout year and every year they just keep on sucking (or at least not showing any improvement/maturation). So, you can buy into these players right now but there's no guarantee that they're going to play better in the future.