Side by side prospect comparison

[VandyDan]

2012, International League (AAA): 7-5, 3.68 ERA (3.70 fip), 20 starts, 110 IP, 97h, 9HR, 48bb, 112k, .233 baa., .295 babip, 76% strand


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2013, Pacific Coast League (AAA, hitters league): 8-5, 2.81 ERA (2.61 fip), 16 starts, 102.1ip, 96h, 4HR, 34bb, 107k, .249 baa, .332 babip, 74.8 strand

Given my screenname, perhaps you could guess the second. And for those that can tell who the top is, they obviously aren't very physically similar. But I wonder why there isn't as much prospect hype this time around.

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[All The Hype]

Consider the organizations each of these guys pitch for. One is one of the biggest and best markets in baseball, the other is one of the worst. I think that's your answer for why one had the hype and the other does not.

 

[VandyDan]

makes sense. Also the other guy got much much better in the pros, which is not too common for a pitcher.

But looking at a lot of top prospect lists, many are from less than huge markets (minnesota, Seattle, Houston, etc)

 

[All The Hype]

makes sense. Also the other guy got much much better in the pros, which is not too common for a pitcher.

But looking at a lot of top prospect lists, many are from less than huge markets (minnesota, Seattle, Houston, etc)

Agree on the other guy, he is far better than advertised.

I think with your guy it's the size and age that probably limit his ceiling. He's a college guy with a smaller frame who doesn't have much room for projection; so while he's having a strong season and is probably already good enough to be a Major League pitcher, it seems that the consensus is that he doesn't have the potential to ever be a dominant #1 starter.

 

[VandyDan]

people do tend to dislike short righties. Sonny is roughly a year younger than Harvey and is roughly a year behind him in terms of progress. He has been around 95-96 with an improved curve.

It also may be too much hindsight bias for people to think that Harvey was a top prospect this time last year, or that his card values reflected much. College guys in the high minors tend not to be thought of much beyond their initial pop. I mean, Mike Minor is a borderline all-star for a division leader in a big city and a former top 10, and his cards cost roughly a third of those for Addisson Russell or Carlos Correa.

I suppose from a fan's perspective it should be more heartening that people 'in baseball' see Sonny as a soon-to-be top of the rotation starter with a chance to change some short righty biases.