This weeks Hot List is live!

[cgilmo]

http://freedomcardboard.com/blog/2012/10/19/fcb-weekly-hot-list-october-19th-2012-edition/


Bowman chrome week, and it’s kinda large and in charge. I watched about 5 cases being broke at the store and it was pretty intense. Seems like they got the production problems of the past handled as this set seems to have fewer errors in it than most that I can think of off hand. Some of the signatures kinda suck, that means 10 autograph grades will be tough to come by. I think Jon Singleton used the same pen on every one of his signatures as it’s bold on the parallels and then streaky on every thing else.


During this 5 case rip at the shop there is a moment where all of the breakers erupt in a celebration at once. It’s because they hit an orange refractor autograph of the big hit in the set and this weeks hot list #1 Jorge Soler.


#1 Jorge Soler Bowman Chrome Auto

Chrome is out and it’s still king. This is the best autograph you can hit in the new bowman chrome so that is an easy formula for making it #1 on this weeks hot list.


The refractors hit $150 out of the gate and some of the larger parallels are being held for a kings ransom.
I would still rather buy Miguel Sano who is probably closer to seeing big league action. I guess Soler playing for the Cubs gives him a bump because they have to have SOMETHING to look forward to.

#2 Russell Wilson Finest Patch Autos

One week he upsets the Patriots. The next week he lays an egg vs division rival San Fransisco.


All in all he’s put together an impressive rookie season and the base version of this Topps finest patch auto went up to $50 from $30.


#3 Billy Hamilton Bowman Chrome Auto

There is always room for a solid #2 right? Every Batman needs a Robin, every Captain America needs a Bucky, and every big monster bowman chrome autograph needs a second card that isn’t quite as big but still very nice. Speedster Billy Hamilton fills that role for Soler.
Man, reading that makes me realize that I spend WAY too much time in a comic book shop. Hamilton’s entered the market at about 7 Alexanders, but will likely drop a bit soon much like the other big hits. Sell em now folks.

# 4 Nick Castellanos Bowman Chrome Auto

One of the interesting sub plots in this product is watching two cards of two people competing for a position in the same organization going head to head. Nick Castellanos and Avisal Garcia are both big bats in the Detroit Tigers system who will eventually compete for playing time.
Right now they are competing on the hot list as Nick edges out Avisal for the #3 spot. His chrome autographs debuted at $45 while Avisail is a bit behind. Cheer up Garcia you are clearly Tim McCarver’s pick for the job.


Nick’s cards probably got the edge because of his familiarity with collectors. There are already people collecting his cards and they were waiting for this one.


#5 Tyler Austin Bowman Chrome Autos
Sometimes in a chrome set you have top prospect and then you have top Yankee. Sometimes top Yankee can be more valuable than top prospect. In this case it isn’t that extreme as Tyler’s bowman chrome refractors are about half what a George Soler is at $75


He’s a big kid with a big bat in a big system. Seems like we have heard this story a thousand times. It can be a dream come true for people holding cards when a prospect pops. Just ask anyone holding Jesus Montero when he got the prospect evaluator love. Once these settle down there could be some prospecting to do.

#6 Robert Griffin III Anything

Greatness with consistency is the winning formula for anything anyone will ever do. Take this list for example. One of the best things about it when Phil Mason does it is the consistency of the writing style combined with the greatness of the writing style. Don’t worry guys, he will be back soon.


RG3 has been the embodiment of greatness and consistency. He got knocked out in the Falcons game, but has bounced back nicely. This Finest red /25 sold for $425 this week and that is up from it’s previous sale of $350.


#7 2011-12 UD Exquisite Basketball

It’s another step forward in NCAA basketball cards as UD continues to test the market and expand college collectible sports cards into a real high end market.
They certainly did their part with this release with the look of the cards in this set. While I am not a fan of the use of the word “bling” because I am a crabby old man who wants these kids off my lawn, I have to respect the overall look of the card. That gold holofoil really pops in hand.

#8 Avisail Garcia Bowman Chrome Auto

Showing maturity in 23 late season at bats for a contender can set you up with all sports of possibilities. For Avisail it was a spot on the post season roster.
Any team in baseball will take a .368 on base percentage from their 8 spot in the line up. Tigers fans are now looking to the future with this guy. He still has Nick Castellanos to compete with, so this could get fun down the road.


His chrome autos debuted at $30 making him the fourth best pull in 2012 Bowman Chrome Baseball.

 

[Jaypers]

Actually, Castellanos has been playing in the OF for the past couple of months, seeing how he's blocked by Miggy at the hot corner.

Good list.

 

[hofmichael]

Didn't Seattle beat New England in Seattle?

Sent from my VS840 4G using Sports Cards by Freedom Card Board.com

 

[All The Hype]

Nice list, fun to see some BC guys on there.


I said it in another thread but I don't know why Castellanos is so high. It's hard to prospect when a guy who should be $10-$15 per chrome auto is $45.


He has a great bat for contact but very limited power and while he hit well in high A, he put up an OPS in the .600s over the last 70 games or so in AA (which, despite his age, is still below average). I'm bitter because I like to grab a couple cards of the better Tiger prospects, but I'm not touching his stuff unless they somehow drop into the teens.

 

[cubfanbudman]

I said it in another thread but I don't know why Castellanos is so high. It's hard to prospect when a guy who should be $10-$15 per chrome auto is $45.

Not sure how you ever thought Castellanos would be a 10-15$ card. That's like me hoping Soler would be a 20$ card. Just not gonna happen

 

[Austin]

A Soler refractor BC auto sells for the same price as Justin Verlander and Matt Kemp 2005 Chrome refractor rookie autos?
Something is seriously wrong with this hobby.

 

[vwnut13]

George Soler is legit.

 

[cubfanbudman]

A Soler refractor BC auto sells for the same price as Justin Verlander and Matt Kemp 2005 Chrome refractor rookie autos?
Something is seriously wrong with this hobby.

It's nothing new. I sold a Jay Bruce card for over a grand. I could have bought some very nice HOFers RCs

 

[nborton]

Nice list, fun to see some BC guys on there.


I said it in another thread but I don't know why Castellanos is so high. It's hard to prospect when a guy who should be $10-$15 per chrome auto is $45.


He has a great bat for contact but very limited power and while he hit well in high A, he put up an OPS in the .600s over the last 70 games or so in AA (which, despite his age, is still below average). I'm bitter because I like to grab a couple cards of the better Tiger prospects, but I'm not touching his stuff unless they somehow drop into the teens.

I feel what you're saying. The only problem with it is he is currently the 3rd highest hitting prospect in all of baseball. That's gonna inflate prices for a while.

It's also interesting how quickly Garcia has shot up the board. He was an afterthought on most lists going into last year, and at the bottom cut off of most this season.

 

[All The Hype]

Not sure how you ever thought Castellanos would be a 10-15$ card. That's like me hoping Soler would be a 20$ card. Just not gonna happen

Wil Myers was $8-$12 per Chrome Auto at release. Mike Trout was $5-$10. Pretty sure Profar was around that range too.

I personally feel that all those guys were far better prospects at the time of their product releasing than Castellanos is right now, yet Castellanos is probably going to settle somewhere in the $30s. That said, Castellanos has more pro experience than any of those guys, so maybe that has something to do with it. And I'm sure the Trout effect has brought more people into the market who are basing their purchases off Trout base Chrome Autos selling for hundreds of dollars apiece and assuming that's normal (which it's obviously not).

I feel what you're saying. The only problem with it is he is currently the 3rd highest hitting prospect in all of baseball. That's gonna inflate prices for a while.

I didn't think about that, good point. That said, how is he the 3rd highest hitting prospect in baseball? Lol, maybe I am not fully appreciating what he brings to the table, but I guess I've lost track of how depleted the Minors are right now if he's really that high.

 

[George_Calfas]

So Bowman Chrome is good:?:

 

[cgilmo]

So Bowman Chrome is good:?:

and yet the box prices are falling


Looks like it's almost at a good ripping situation

 

[cubfanbudman]

Wil Myers was $8-$12 per Chrome Auto at release. Mike Trout was $5-$10. Pretty sure Profar was around that range too.

I personally feel that all those guys were far better prospects at the time of their product releasing than Castellanos is right now, yet Castellanos is probably going to settle somewhere in the $30s. That said, Castellanos has more pro experience than any of those guys, so maybe that has something to do with it. And I'm sure the Trout effect has brought more people into the market who are basing their purchases off Trout base Chrome Autos selling for hundreds of dollars apiece and assuming that's normal (which it's obviously not).
.

I guess it's the Trout effect. Everyone thinks(hopes) to hit it big.

 

[Seiya]

~omg there is no pictures, bring back Phil~
Solid list Gilmore, amazing the prices chrome gets out of the gate.

 

[cgilmo]

~omg there is no pictures, bring back Phil~
Solid list Gilmore, amazing the prices chrome gets out of the gate.

the pictures are in the blog article

They are way too big when pasted on here so I left them off of the forum post.

 

[moxacaine]

Im hoping griffin is still as hot when Chrome comes out. Also hoping Topps doesnt SP him and Luck.

 

[cgilmo]

Im hoping griffin is still as hot when Chrome comes out. Also hoping Topps doesnt SP him and Luck.

they probably will


feels bad man

 

[moxacaine]

they probably will feels bad man

if they pull that then theyll lose a customer for topps chrome. they didnt sp any last year from what i remember.

 

[All The Hype]

I guess it's the Trout effect. Everyone thinks(hopes) to hit it big.

Yeah, kinda interesting to see how something like that affects prices across the board. I believe that's as high as (non-SP) Chrome Autos have ever been before, so the mindset suddenly becomes "well if Trouts were selling for $300, everyone else is a GREAT buy for anything $50 or lower, because I could still make 6x!!!"

Kinda ignorant if you ask me, but it's not my money going into them.


All that being said, it looks like the last few Castellanos base autos have fallen into the $25-$35 range anyway.

 

[jcmint]

feel the same way with half the guys in that checklist. Too many people are buying in crazy high and inflating these prices. Yes they will level but the level will be on the high side when it should not this prospect crop is just not that good.

Nice list, fun to see some BC guys on there.


I said it in another thread but I don't know why Castellanos is so high. It's hard to prospect when a guy who should be $10-$15 per chrome auto is $45.


He has a great bat for contact but very limited power and while he hit well in high A, he put up an OPS in the .600s over the last 70 games or so in AA (which, despite his age, is still below average). I'm bitter because I like to grab a couple cards of the better Tiger prospects, but I'm not touching his stuff unless they somehow drop into the teens.