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Was 2006 the best rookie class of the past decade?

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cjedmonton

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The results of my little project suggests it was!

Now that the offseason is here, I like to roll up my sleeves and tinker with stats.

My question is this: since 2000, which MLB eligible rookie class (on the field, not cards) do you think was the deepest/best? Instinct would have us immediately think of 2001 with Pujols and Ichiro. However, if you peel back that proverbial first layer of the onion, you'd see just how weak that class was in general, once you got past those two slam dunk HOFers.

In an effort to compile some evidence for other rookie crops, I'm starting a pretty simple (but occasionally tedious) task of looking at the top 25 rookie hitters and pitchers from each of the past 10 years.

From there, I looked at the average totals in 8 key pitching categories and 10 key hitting categories. I then ranked the 10 years from best to worst, and assigned a reverse weighted value for each (1st place = 10 marks, 2nd place = 9 marks, etc...). The highest cumulative total would be, by my estimate, the best rookie pitching/hitting class.

The pitchers were up first, and are now complete. For rate stats, I used the top 25 innings totals as qualifiers. Wins, Starts, and Strikeouts were ranked as is.

Not surprisingly (to me,anyway)...the 2006 rookie pitching class outpaced all others for the past decade. I'm sure the 2006 rookie hitters will also fare quite well. That year was one for the ages, no question.

Again, the figures you see are the average totals for a top 25 rookie in each of the categories listed.

Pitchers
2000-09.jpg


Moving on to the hitters, and the numbers show that 2007 was slightly more productive, on average, than the 2006 group:

Hitters
hitting.jpg


However, when you put them both together (pitching + hitting), you can see that 2006 outpaces all other years by a comfortable margin:

Overall
overall.jpg


Discuss!
 

All The Hype

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Re: Another fun debate: best rookie class of the past decade?

I would argue for the 2009 rookie class as the strongest overall. A lot of these guys are going to be HUGE stars.
 

cjedmonton

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Re: Another fun debate: best rookie class of the past decade?

ALL_THE_HYPE said:
I would argue for the 2009 rookie class as the strongest overall. A lot of these guys are going to be HUGE stars.

Perhaps. However, we're only focusing on the cumulative strength of a rookie crop during their rookie year. Too many variables to project out 3,5,10 years. Time will tell, though.
 

All The Hype

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Re: Another fun debate: best rookie class of the past decade?

cjedmonton said:
ALL_THE_HYPE said:
I would argue for the 2009 rookie class as the strongest overall. A lot of these guys are going to be HUGE stars.

Perhaps. However, we're only focusing on the cumulative strength of a rookie crop during their rookie year. Too many variables to project out 3,5,10 years. Time will tell, though.


Yep, good stuff though.. your research here looks pretty solid.
 

sheetskout

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Re: Another fun debate: best rookie class of the past decade?

Stupid but necessary question: Are we talking about draft-classes or actual MLB eligible rookie-classes?

Draft: 2007 (a ton of people will say 05 though)
 

cjedmonton

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Re: Another fun debate: best rookie class of the past decade?

sheetskout said:
Stupid but necessary question: Are we talking about draft-classes or actual MLB eligible rookie-classes?

Draft: 2007 (a ton of people will say 05 though)

Not stupid at all! We're talking about MLB eligible rookie classes only (< 50 IP previously for pitchers, < 130 AB previously for batters).

Doing this for the draft classes would be quite interesting, though. It's a long offseason, so I just may give it a whirl before Spring Training!

I've got some errands to run, but I'll post the actual top 25 rookie innings leaders shortly to give you an idea of the folks we're talking about. If anything, it'll be a nice walk down memory lane. Kaz Ishii/Rick Ankiel/Horacio Ramirez/Gustavo Chacin, anyone? :lol:
 

hive17

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Re: Another fun debate: best rookie class of the past decade?

Draft class: 2005

Debut class: 2007
 

darocker80

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Re: Another fun debate: best rookie class of the past decade?

hive17 said:
Draft class: 2005

Debut class: 2007
Agreed. I have always thought 07 was especially strong: Ryan Braun, troy tulowitzki, hunter pence, dustin pedroia, tim lincecum etc
 

cjedmonton

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Re: Another fun debate: best rookie class of the past decade?

darocker80 said:
hive17 said:
Draft class: 2005

Debut class: 2007
Agreed. I have always thought 07 was especially strong: Ryan Braun, troy tulowitzki, hunter pence, dustin pedroia, tim lincecum etc

A very solid list, but what about the other 20+ rookies to round out 2007's top 25? Again, this focuses solely on rookie season output, and not future stardom.
 

cjedmonton

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darocker80 said:
Are you just asking about pitching stats?

No, no. I just had to start somewhere, so I went with pitchers. After I compile the hitter lists, we'll see who comes out on top. I'll then add the 2 composite scores (hitting + pitching) to get an overall tally. I honestly have no clue how the hitters will stack up. Hope to have that up sometime this weekend.
 

cjedmonton

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Okay, the hitters chart has been completed as well. Although 2007 took the honors for the most productive hitting class, 2006 still came out on top when pitching and hitting were concerned.

Take this little project with a grain of salt, of course, but one look at that 2006 group and it's no surprise, really.
 

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