When will Lincecum cards really take off?

[Codasco07]

FWIW, Pujols base RCs (UD, TT, Topps Gallery, Bowman) didn't really take off until Spring 2006.

 

[darocker80]

Here's a difference between lincecum and wood.

Lincecum won 2 cy youngs, 2 all star teams (all star starter in 09), won 15 and 18 games and got MVP votes. Two full seasons of era at 2.42 2.62

Wood has 0 cy youngs, 1 all star selection as a starter (5th year), never won over 14 games and has no MVP votes. never had an era under 3.35

 

[bballcardkid]

Don't really understand why people are getting so defensive about this? The fact is, some super star players card's take a while to have their values adjusted to superstar levels, and the OP is simply asking how long it's going to take. Remember how long Joe Mauer Chrome Autos were selling for a couple pizza's? Quite a few years if you remember. Lincecum just needs a little more sustained success before people REALLY start noticing that this kid is the real deal, not just a temporary fad.

 

[bigredmachine]

Really if you compare his cards to some of the top prospects his cards are undervalued. I could see his base auto's really taking off. If he keeps it up you wont be able to buy any Rc Auto of him for less than $200-300.

 

[brouthercard]

I think if Lincecum wins three more Cy Young awards in the next five years, and doesn't have a serious injury the rest of his career, and maybe adds a few more CY's the rest of his career, his cards will be on Pujols level.

 

[Wes]

It's just not going to happen. The Pujols BC Auto is so much rarer than the Lincecum BC Auto that it just won't happen - no matter who the player is anyone that has an auto in the past 3-4 years of BC has just too much of a supply to match a ~450 supply of Pujols cards.

 

[matfanofold]

It's just not going to happen. The Pujols BC Auto is so much rarer than the Lincecum BC Auto that it just won't happen - no matter who the player is anyone that has an auto in the past 3-4 years of BC has just too much of a supply to match a ~450 supply of Pujols cards.

Just to be clear again, I was not trying to compare anything to the Pujols BC RC auto. We all know it's in a league of it's own due to many factors.

 

[brouthercard]

I guess the better question would be,"When will Lincecum cards pull a Joba" when he was hot.

 

[ronfromfresno]

I think the reason Lincecum isn't as big in the hobby is because he's pitching for the San Francisco Giants. The Gians have been terrible for awhile, fans simply don't collect players, or even stars, from bad teams. I think this is the case for a lot of middle-market teams and stars as well. It will take the Giants winning a lot more games and getting to and through the playoffs, to help shove Timmy to a higher position in the hobby.

 

[matfanofold]

I think the reason Lincecum isn't as big in the hobby is because he's pitching for the San Francisco Giants. The Gians have been terrible for awhile, fans simply don't collect players, or even stars, from bad teams. I think this is the case for a lot of middle-market teams and stars as well. It will take the Giants winning a lot more games and getting to and through the playoffs, to help shove Timmy to a higher position in the hobby.

Although I do not entire agree with this point of view, I do feel it certinly would not hurt to get some national exposure with some quality playoff games.

 

[Zithy]

Just read/skimmed the 4 pages . . .

1) ANYONE is a shoulder injury away from their cards tanking.

2) What would Clemens Bowman Chrome auto'd redemption from his rookie year be worth if there was one? At the mid-point of his career, without the steroid injury? I'm thinking pretty similar if both were from 2001, or at least within a decent range of each other. Instead, Clemens stuff was printed on toilet paper and aplenty.

3) Pujols rookie card is pretty iconic. Without the parallels, that was it. If you don't think that set the tone for BC auto'd rookies, why do people try to project for the next BC auto rc, the next Pujols? That's this conversation, right?

4) Was stated before, Lincecum needs more seasons at THIS pace. Personally, I think he needs to start some 20 win seasons for his cards to really hit the next level. Not talking about win% and importance to a pitcher, but rather for his cards.

5) Jason Heyward's PSA 10 rcs - $50. Lincecums non auto BC rcs - $50. That doesn't seem right, but the masses always chase stats, like picking up the guy in your fantasy league who just threw a one hitter - how in the world does that benefit you? Some pitchers DO have higher value(or sales) than pitchers AKA Clay Buchholz who spiked after the no-no around $75-100 for base PSA 10s.

In the same argument, one could point out that people aren't buying Lincecums anymore because they don't already have them, or there's less Giants fans, or chicks just dig the long ball. But I'd also think that those who buy Heywards at $50 expect them to reach $75. Good for them, better for the sellers.

6) Kind of in the line of chicks dig the long ball, people enjoy turning on the TV or going to a game and seeing their favorite hitter every day or any given day. With pitchers, once per five games just isn't the same. So comparing Lincy to Pujols is something that will never happen unless Lincy has 2-3 seasons of 25-5 or tempting with a 30 win season on a regular basis. Otherwise, a better argument might have been for Mauer or a different hitter, not pitcher.

7) Lastly, his cards have risen, but not taken off to the extent you asked in your title. If he mirrors his first two seasons with two more, his RC auto's can easily be $250+ but there's still many more of those than Pujols RCs.

 

[darocker80]

I guess I need to buy more Lincecum autographed rookie cards.

 

[markakis8]

i can never tell if you are in the lincecum for the PC or the money, which makes it difficult for me to admire your collection.

I guess I need to buy more Lincecum autographed rookie cards.