Baseball America Eastern League Top 20 Prospects

[jbone17]

It should be like this IMO:

Santana
Montero
Alvarez
Bumgarner
Drabek

 

[andyduke86]

Their league rankings are always extremely arbitrary, and they weigh performance in the league much more than they do when they're actually doing a top 100. Also, no one outside of the Yankees org (and probably not too many within it) think Montero will stay at catcher.

 

[Brett Keith]

[quote="Brett Keith":28qi8xs8]People within the league apparently don't think Montero will stick at catcher and questioned his athleticism, physique, and apparently his enthusiasm. They basically think he's an all bat guy.

But if his bat is good for 40 homers a year and a .300+ average, does it matter what he does in the field?[/quote:28qi8xs8]

A little, yeah. That doesn't stand out quite as much at 1B. Ofcourse 1B is occupied for a while, so if he's not a C, he's a DH. It would be assuming a lot to think he'll be good for 40 HR's and a .300 AVG. Pedro Alvarez has arguably a bigger offensive ceiling than Montero, but has a shot to play average 3B. If Carlos Santana lives upto his potential and turns into Brian McCann with a higher OBP and better defense, that would make him quite a valuable player. I'd have a hard time taking either of the pitchers over Montero, but the other position players, not really.

 

[Mudcatsfan]

All Baseball America does is interview managers and scouts regarding the prospects from the league, and they rank them based on their tools and feedback. If Jesus Montero ranked #5, that means the four guys above him received better reviews and/or more impressive feedback, coupled with a more impressive skill set.

Consider it a good thing, since many #1-ranked guys do not pan out in the bigs.

Pujols never ranked #1. Corey Patterson was #2 on 2000 Top 100 list.

His one lacking tool (i.e., plate discipline) prevented him from reaching his ceiling.

That is why it is projection.

You cannot tell when a guy is going to make adjustments, although work ethic and character are indicators.

Surely, a bunch of guys ranked below him had productive careers.

Don't forget Ryan Braun was ranked #49 in the Top 100 the season before his MLB debut. Why? His D at 3rd was poor.

Prospectors are like chicks though. We did the long ball.

Montero is a stud.

The interesting thing about that to me is that Montero had a pretty decent cs% in the EL (something like 32%) as opposed to this % in the FSL (something like 13%).

So if he improved his CS rate to league avg, and he still hit like that, i'm kinda surprised guys in the EL didnt' love him more than this level.

But yes i get that Bumgarner and Alvarez were not in the FSL for him to compete with,

 

[andyduke86]

CS% is a very small part of being a catcher. Apparently he is terrible at receiving and blocking balls, and is already well below average in the agility department and will only get worse.