Bold Prediction: Mike Stanton will hit 50 homers in 2011

[Russ S.]

I think he CAN, and I wouldn't be surprised if he did, but I don't think he will.

Quoted for truth.
Stanton is a BEAST, but 50 is tough!!

 

[JoshHamilton]

My bold prediction: he becomes a bunter extraordinaire/slap hitter and finishes the year with only 5 home runs - two of those being inside-the-park

 

[hive17]

Compare him to Braun, who came up on a short season and went crazy. Based on that, there's no way. He'd need to be a better hitter, like a Braun or Pedroia, so as not to get taken to the woodshed by pitchers who have a chance to scout him and figure him out. Stanton needs to be able to hit pitching, not just hit balls hard.

Good power hitter, top-third MLB'er, fringe All Star to solid All Star, but not 50 HR.

 

[George_Calfas]

With the lack of plate patience and strong pitching the NL 50 will NOT happen.....my guess 35-40.

 

[James52411]

This is the most ridiculously optimistic projection since the super fans were predicting Bears games on SNL. Pitching has improved across baseball. His home park and almost every park in his division is a pitcher's park except Philly where you deal with four aces. Plus, Stanton has not proven he is an elite power threat.

 

[craw_song]

Stanton pre-All Star break: .231 avg. 5 homeruns, .711 OPS
Stanton post-All Star break: .271 avg. 17 homeruns, .884 OPS

For all the talk about pitching being able to exploit holes in his swing, he also made adjustments to MLB pitching. And for all of the talk about lack of plate discipline, Carlos Gonzalez last season put up MVP-like numbers while having a pretty rough BB/K ratio, so it's not the end-all be-all for success. Given Stanton's youth, it's reasonable to assume that he has the opportunity to improve his selectivity at the plate and continue to make adjustments (of course, pitchers will also adjust to him).

I don't see him hitting 50 homeruns though with his current home ballpark.

 

[hofautos]

the lowly 12% that think he can do it are those that are invested in him :lol:

 

[hofautos]

He did hit 43 in 588 AB's last year, but I voted not a chance.

He won't do it, but the hobby needs another star. I'm hoping for .285, 35, 100 and I only own a 2010 Topps Chrome Green Refractor "MLB RC"...

Exactly...40 in the minors to 50 in the majors in one year...not a chance....maybe in 3-4 years....but more than likely MLB pitchers experience will learn not to give him his pitches, and he HR numbers will go down like most new guys.

 

[Rickzcards]

He did hit 43 in 588 AB's last year, but I voted not a chance.

He won't do it, but the hobby needs another star. I'm hoping for .285, 35, 100 and I only own a 2010 Topps Chrome Green Refractor "MLB RC"...

Exactly...40 in the minors to 50 in the majors in one year...not a chance....maybe in 3-4 years....but more than likely MLB pitchers experience will learn not to give him his pitches, and he HR numbers will go down like most new guys.

This. He will eventually be a 50 home run guy but not without another season or two under his belt. But the future looks bright for Stanton.

 

[sportscardtheory]

Prince Fielder hit 28 HRs in 648 PAs in his rookie season at 22 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 23 plate appearances.

Mike Stanton hit 22 HRs in 396 PAs in his rookie season at 20 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 18 plate appearances.

This shows us that Stanton is already a more prolific HR hitter at age 20 than Fielder was at age 22. Prince Fielder hit 50 HRs in his second season at age 23. I think it is fair to say that Mike Stanton could certainly hit 50+ HRs in a season by age 22.

 

[reljac]

Stanton pre-All Star break: .231 avg. 5 homeruns, .711 OPS
Stanton post-All Star break: .271 avg. 17 homeruns, .884 OPS

That's not the whole story, in fact the only reason his BA was that high was because of a great september
June BA .230
July BA .233
August BA .244
September BA .316

I think this kid is good, but he needs to work on his batting eye. You can't strikeout in 1 out of every 3 at bats and have prolonged success. Justin Upton fell victim to the same problem last year. Right now based on Ks the company he keeps is Adam Dunn, Carlos Pena, Mark Reynolds, and Chris Davis.

The 50 HR mark has only been reached 5 times in the last 5 years. Reached by David Ortiz, Prince Fielder (twice), Arod, Jose Bautista... Even for Fielder he didn't do it til his second FULL year in the league, his first full year was only 28 HRs.

 

[Adamsince1981]

Prince Fielder hit 28 HRs in 648 PAs in his rookie season at 22 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 23 plate appearances.

Mike Stanton hit 22 HRs in 396 PAs in his rookie season at 20 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 18 plate appearances.

This shows us that Stanton is already a more prolific HR hitter at age 20 than Fielder was at age 22. Prince Fielder hit 50 HRs in his second season at age 23. I think it is fair to say that Mike Stanton could certainly hit 50+ HRs in a season by age 22.

Stanton's 2010 stats are small sample size. You can't compare him to a veteran and project his career based on 396 ABs.

And the topic of this thread is "50 HRs in 2011."

 

[sportscardtheory]

Prince Fielder hit 28 HRs in 648 PAs in his rookie season at 22 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 23 plate appearances.

Mike Stanton hit 22 HRs in 396 PAs in his rookie season at 20 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 18 plate appearances.

This shows us that Stanton is already a more prolific HR hitter at age 20 than Fielder was at age 22. Prince Fielder hit 50 HRs in his second season at age 23. I think it is fair to say that Mike Stanton could certainly hit 50+ HRs in a season by age 22.

Stanton's 2010 stats are small sample size. You can't compare him to a veteran and project his career based on 396 ABs.

And the topic of this thread is "50 HRs in 2011."

I didn't compare him to a veteran, I compared his rookie season to another power hitter's rookie season. And I didn't project anything. I said he could certainly hit 50 HRs in a season by age 22.

 

[Adamsince1981]

You stated that, "Stanton is already a more prolific HR hitter at the age of 20 than Fielder at the age of 22.". Have the players not been compared?

You then stated that he could hit 50 HRs by the age of 22. That is a projection.

Prince Fielder hit 28 HRs in 648 PAs in his rookie season at 22 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 23 plate appearances.

Mike Stanton hit 22 HRs in 396 PAs in his rookie season at 20 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 18 plate appearances.

This shows us that Stanton is already a more prolific HR hitter at age 20 than Fielder was at age 22. Prince Fielder hit 50 HRs in his second season at age 23. I think it is fair to say that Mike Stanton could certainly hit 50+ HRs in a season by age 22.

Stanton's 2010 stats are small sample size. You can't compare him to a veteran and project his career based on 396 ABs.

And the topic of this thread is "50 HRs in 2011."

I didn't compare him to a veteran, I compared his rookie season to another power hitter's rookie season. And I didn't project anything. I said he could certainly hit 50 HRs in a season by age 22.

 

[sportscardtheory]

You stated that, "Stanton is already a more prolific HR hitter at the age of 20 than Fielder at the age of 22.". Have the players not been compared?

You then stated that he could hit 50 HRs by the age of 22. That is a projection.

Prince Fielder hit 28 HRs in 648 PAs in his rookie season at 22 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 23 plate appearances.

Mike Stanton hit 22 HRs in 396 PAs in his rookie season at 20 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 18 plate appearances.

This shows us that Stanton is already a more prolific HR hitter at age 20 than Fielder was at age 22. Prince Fielder hit 50 HRs in his second season at age 23. I think it is fair to say that Mike Stanton could certainly hit 50+ HRs in a season by age 22.

Stanton's 2010 stats are small sample size. You can't compare him to a veteran and project his career based on 396 ABs.

And the topic of this thread is "50 HRs in 2011."

I didn't compare him to a veteran, I compared his rookie season to another power hitter's rookie season. And I didn't project anything. I said he could certainly hit 50 HRs in a season by age 22.

I compared their ROOKIE SEASONS. Are you really having a hard time contemplating that? I feel really bad for you if you are. And stating that someone COULD do something isn't a projection. Wake the hell up.

 

[Adamsince1981]

You compared their rookie seasons because Fielder hit 50 HRs in his second full season.

You then went on to make a personal estimate of something in the future(the possibility of Stanton hitting 50 hrs), based on present data(Stanton's 396 AB's). That's called a projection.

No big deal, you just used a small sample size to make a flawed comparison and a realistic projection of Stanton's future.

You stated that, "Stanton is already a more prolific HR hitter at the age of 20 than Fielder at the age of 22.". Have the players not been compared?

You then stated that he could hit 50 HRs by the age of 22. That is a projection.

Prince Fielder hit 28 HRs in 648 PAs in his rookie season at 22 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 23 plate appearances.

Mike Stanton hit 22 HRs in 396 PAs in his rookie season at 20 years old, for an average of 1 HR every 18 plate appearances.

This shows us that Stanton is already a more prolific HR hitter at age 20 than Fielder was at age 22. Prince Fielder hit 50 HRs in his second season at age 23. I think it is fair to say that Mike Stanton could certainly hit 50+ HRs in a season by age 22.

Stanton's 2010 stats are small sample size. You can't compare him to a veteran and project his career based on 396 ABs.

And the topic of this thread is "50 HRs in 2011."

I didn't compare him to a veteran, I compared his rookie season to another power hitter's rookie season. And I didn't project anything. I said he could certainly hit 50 HRs in a season by age 22.

I compared their ROOKIE SEASONS. Are you really having a hard time contemplating that? I feel really bad for you if you are. And stating that someone COULD do something isn't a projection. Wake the hell up.

 

[autorook]

http://futureoffantasy.com/mike-stantons-sophomore-slump

Stanton is 6’5?, 230+ pounds of raw power. So, I hope he doesn’t read this and track me down, but I am telling you now that a Sophomore Slump is in order.

The bolded part had me rollin' :lol:

 

[sportscardtheory]

You compared their rookie seasons because Fielder hit 50 HRs in his second full season.

You then went on to make a personal estimate of something in the future(the possibility of Stanton hitting 50 hrs), based on present data(Stanton's 396 AB's). That's called a projection.

No big deal, you just used a small sample size to make a flawed comparison and a realistic projection of Stanton's future.

How is comparing two power hitters' rookie seasons "flawed". lol I didn't say that Stanton would have the same career as Fielder, I simply pointed out the FACT that he hits more HRs per-PA at age 20 than Fielder did at age 22. The fact that it was in less PAs is meaningless. It just means that Stanton COULD have had more HRs in the same amount of PAs. If you really think pointing out that a player hits HRs at a faster pace than another player is meaningless, then more power to you. You seem like you just want to argue. You can't argue against facts. But be my guest and keep trying. ~It makes you seem very smart~

 

[sportscardtheory]

I'll spell it out for Adamsince1995.

Player A rookie season did "this" at age 22
Player B rookie season did "this" a little better at age 20

Pointing out these facts is just what it is, pointing out facts. No one said that player B would have a better career than player A. It just shows that player B has the POTENTIAL to outperform player A at "this". Can this be any clearer? Do I need to explain further? No projections here, just showing statistics that help form an opinion.

 

[SamHell]

I can see him doing 40+ plus in a few years if his eye improves. 50? Adam Dunn hasn't done it yet and Stanton has a way to go to be Dunn.