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whats the card #?
The title of your post is "Hosmer and killing collectors budgets" so I approached it from the angle of a real collector. If you were investing in Hosmer it is completely different. Reading your sig closer gives me the impression you are an investor more than a collector.
From a true collecting standpoint, the question you have to ask yourself is "Okay this guy is super hyped right now, the odds if I wait to buy are that I'll be able to pick it up much cheaper, there's very little chance it won't eventually drop below this price level." For example I picked up a Cespedes Topps Chrome auto for $30 and a Russell Bowman Chrome Draft auto for $30. The odds are that those prices will eventually drop after the rookie/prospect hype wears off even if they become/remain good players. If that's the case though the most they will drop is maybe $10, or like $25 if they bomb out. I paid the premium of $10-25 to get that warm fuzzy feeling of having a card I wanted NOW. Unless you have a ton of money to waste or are an amazingly impatient person, it's probably not worth the triple digit premium it would take to get a color or SP auto.
From an investing standpoint, others in the thread have already said that buying during hype is the exact opposite of what you are supposed to do. The odds that works out for you are probably around 1%. It's actually way easier than if it's a hot player for a team you really collect and you are planning on keeping the cards.