Who's buying Mike Trout?

[ThoseBackPages]

anyone not selling now is a fool

 

[All The Hype]

Myers is the next Trout.

 

[Zymco]

No disrespect guys, but can we stop using words like "smart" and "fool." Just like any market cards have different points, clearly the people that got in on Trout at eight dollars for a chrome autograph won here, and for the most part these same people wouldn't get caught dead buying him back again at 50 for a chrome, but the people that bought at 50 also doubled their money. There are different variations of buying low and selling high. The people that got in right away bought very low and sold for what they believed was high, people were buying at those prices and those people also did well. Heck the people that are buying chromes at 100 will probably win too, this price increase is because of hype, Trout isn't playing right now his stuff is jumping because the anticipating of spring training and topping the prospect lists put out by ESPN and MLB Networks. These guys that have seen spikes the past few weeks (Myers, Trout, Teheran, Montero) will continue to have their prices increase. You guys have to stop being so critical of when people buy and sell. Griffin national treasures debuted at 225 the folks that got in at those prices and sold after his torrid start in late November for 800-1000 feel amazing, but the buyer could've sold that exact same card in late January for just over four grand. There is no telling which direction the market will go and at this time last year I was salivating waiting sell my Jason Heyward's my advice to you guys' is to not be in such a rush. Obviously Heyward, Trout, and Griffin are all their own animal, but if I have learned one thing, its that there is no stoping someones prices if there is a huge hype train following them. I do not believe any prospect is peaking this very moment and I wouldn't be selling any of them.

 

[ThoseBackPages]

No disrespect guys, but can we stop using words like "smart" and "fool." Just like any market cards have different points, clearly the people that got in on Trout at eight dollars for a chrome autograph won here, and for the most part these same people wouldn't get caught dead buying him back again at 50 for a chrome, but the people that bought at 50 also doubled their money. There are different variations of buying low and selling high. The people that got in right away bought very low and sold for what they believed was high, people were buying at those prices and those people also did well. Heck the people that are buying chromes at 100 will probably win too, this price increase is because of hype, Trout isn't playing right now his stuff is jumping because the anticipating of spring training and topping the prospect lists put out by ESPN and MLB Networks. These guys that have seen spikes the past few weeks (Myers, Trout, Teheran, Montero) will continue to have their prices increase. You guys have to stop being so critical of when people buy and sell. Griffin national treasures debuted at 225 the folks that got in at those prices and sold after his torrid start in late November for 800-1000 feel amazing, but the buyer could've sold that exact same card in late January for just over four grand. There is no telling which direction the market will go and at this time last year I was salivating waiting sell my Jason Heyward's my advice to you guys' is to not be in such a rush. Obviously Heyward, Trout, and Griffin are all their own animal, but if I have learned one thing, its that there is no stoping someones prices if there is a huge hype train following them. I do not believe any prospect is peaking this very moment and I wouldn't be selling any of them.

ok, i will change it from "fool" to "foolish"

Griffin is a bad example. he missed a whole year. if Trout blows his knee out next week, will anyone want them at $100?

 

[Weatherwarrior]

A lot of collectors and people who are just getting wind of Trout because of the media are buying Trout now. They may just want to buy him now because they still think that he is at a bargain, instead of paying $150 + for an auto later. Obviously a serious prospector would be dumb to buy him now.

Also, media coverage this spring training will have a lot to do with him hitting $150 this year or not. If he tees off in AA this year, I think there is no doubt he'll hit $150 by September.

This is absolutely true five or six years ago there was no discussing draft picks on ESPN they didn't show highlilghts of BP (When heyward busted the car window). The Media is what is continuing to drive prices skyward. The keep dropping "Mantle" References for Trout and it has the common collector going "Mantle RC's are the Holy grail If I buy now at $150 for his base auto and he has a career like Mantle, Pujols, or Griffey jr My kids will be able to retire early". Mass Media is a dangerous tool in convincing the masses of a "Sure Thing" Cough Cough Ryan Leaf Cough Cough.

 

[Zymco]

No disrespect guys, but can we stop using words like "smart" and "fool." Just like any market cards have different points, clearly the people that got in on Trout at eight dollars for a chrome autograph won here, and for the most part these same people wouldn't get caught dead buying him back again at 50 for a chrome, but the people that bought at 50 also doubled their money. There are different variations of buying low and selling high. The people that got in right away bought very low and sold for what they believed was high, people were buying at those prices and those people also did well. Heck the people that are buying chromes at 100 will probably win too, this price increase is because of hype, Trout isn't playing right now his stuff is jumping because the anticipating of spring training and topping the prospect lists put out by ESPN and MLB Networks. These guys that have seen spikes the past few weeks (Myers, Trout, Teheran, Montero) will continue to have their prices increase. You guys have to stop being so critical of when people buy and sell. Griffin national treasures debuted at 225 the folks that got in at those prices and sold after his torrid start in late November for 800-1000 feel amazing, but the buyer could've sold that exact same card in late January for just over four grand. There is no telling which direction the market will go and at this time last year I was salivating waiting sell my Jason Heyward's my advice to you guys' is to not be in such a rush. Obviously Heyward, Trout, and Griffin are all their own animal, but if I have learned one thing, its that there is no stoping someones prices if there is a huge hype train following them. I do not believe any prospect is peaking this very moment and I wouldn't be selling any of them.

ok, i will change it from "fool" to "foolish"

Griffin is a bad example. he missed a whole year. if Trout blows his knee out next week, will anyone want them at $100?

It would've been a bad example if I refereed to Griffin contenders that got all the way down to 30 dollars last season when he was injured, but I was talking about the National Treasures (a product that came out when he was healthy during the off-season) The product had a steady climb because of hype and good performance before a huge skyrocket and his peak. If you saw the chart on this card it would have nothing to do with his knee, like I said people thought this card was INSANE at 800-1,000 because he was lighting up the world in late November, but it went a whole new level in December and January when he averaged 26 and 15 combined in those two months. Sure, prices can get insanely high and if you can make a killing at those prices, go ahead and sell congratulations to you for that massive profit; buying Trout chromes at eight a piece, you're right it would take some serious balls to turn down 100 bucks for your eight dollar investment, but I am telling you right now the people that are buying them at 85-90 will still have room to make money. There is always massive ego involved when it comes to buying and selling, people don't want to lose, people don't want to leave money on the table, but they definitely love moan and cry about how they sold too early. I bought two Griffin contenders at 65 a piece in November and flipped them for 100 a piece, next thing I know they were going for 150, I found one at a show for 80 (could've been like how can I buy one for 80 after I just sold two at 100) I sold it for 200. I probably should've kept all three because they have peaked at over 350, but that is what I am trying to tell you, no one knows with this stuff. Hindsight is always 20-20, there is no way in hell to predict this market guys.

I had three Heyward aflacs that I bought in at 75 a piece, I sold them for 300 bucks during spring training, stoked right? They were getting over 550 after his home run on opening day. Examples like this is why almost nothing in this hobby is "foolish" any longer because some of the prices that these cards have reached are down right insane.

 

[bballcardkid]

anyone not selling now is a fool

Wasn't over 2/3 of the board saying the same thing a few weeks ago?

 

[Messier2]

Speaking of BA...when is their Top 100 list coming out?

 

[Zymco]

Thank you, exactly what I'm trying to say.

 

[ThoseBackPages]

i still think its not the best way to spend money on cardboard.

why am i being crucified for MY OPINION?

 

[blazers091]

i still think its not the best way to spend money on cardboard.

why am i being crucified for MY OPINION?

because your not jumping on the hyped prospect bandwagon

 

[Zymco]

I completely agree with you man, wouldn't say trout is the best buy when it comes to prospects or any other card for that matter. Just saying that I don't believe trout's peak prices have hit eBay yet.

 

[shayscards79]

I'm not selling a single Trout until base chromes hit 125+, which at this rate will probably be ST

 

[aminors]

I completely agree with you man, wouldn't say trout is the best buy when it comes to prospects or any other card for that matter. Just saying that I don't believe trout's peak prices have hit eBay yet.

My thoughts precisely. People buying now will make money, but he's not done rising in price. Did I say he was the best buy available? Nope, but it's still not only a bunch of brainless sheep buying now either.

 

[jcmint]

Myers is not the next trout. Trout is being touted because he is a "six" tooler. Myers value is in his bat

 

[FortyFour]

This is NOT Mike Trout's peak. I promise. There is meat left on the bone, and I think refractor autos are a deal at 120-125 (chromes are 80-90, and Xs are around 2 bens), and sure to rise.

Smart people who have lots of extra $ to tie up are buying him, and they WILL make money. I'd put money on that (see what I did there?).

It's not over.

You may be right that he'll continue to rise, but I'm gonna have to disagree with the bolded.

Smart people were the ones who bought early last year or at 09 BDP's release for $20 per Refractor Auto. These people should have long since sold out.

I agree with the OP 100%, I just don't really understand who is buying right now. Where do these people expect his cards to go? They're not going to just continue to rise arbitrarily, especially when the season starts and people realize that Trout is overrated.

agreed 110%

 

[MallCopKJ]

This is NOT Mike Trout's peak. I promise. There is meat left on the bone, and I think refractor autos are a deal at 120-125 (chromes are 80-90, and Xs are around 2 bens), and sure to rise.

Smart people who have lots of extra $ to tie up are buying him, and they WILL make money. I'd put money on that (see what I did there?).

It's not over.

You may be right that he'll continue to rise, but I'm gonna have to disagree with the bolded.

Smart people were the ones who bought early last year or at 09 BDP's release for $20 per Refractor Auto. These people should have long since sold out.

I agree with the OP 100%, I just don't really understand who is buying right now. Where do these people expect his cards to go? They're not going to just continue to rise arbitrarily, especially when the season starts and people realize that Trout is overrated.

agreed 110%

+2. Less than a year ago, people said he would be a nice player, maybe an above average base stealer. 99% of people were making him out to be Scott Podsednik. All of a sudden he explodes and hes Mickey Mantle. Sorry, not buying it.

 

[ballerskrip]

This is NOT Mike Trout's peak. I promise. There is meat left on the bone, and I think refractor autos are a deal at 120-125 (chromes are 80-90, and Xs are around 2 bens), and sure to rise.

Smart people who have lots of extra $ to tie up are buying him, and they WILL make money. I'd put money on that (see what I did there?).

It's not over.

"Ya'll need to listen to this aminors guy."

I disagree with all of the above. So if Mike Trout bats .310 with 15 HR and 45 Sb's, you think his chrome autos should keep rising? I have a TOUGH time believing that is the case. Jason Heyward is a MUCH better player/prospect with a higher ceiling and in a better card marker. Plus Heyward's explosion happened when he was about to the the big club, not heading to AA. I think people paying these inflated prices are gonna feel the pain, and it isn't going to be pretty.

skrip

 

[AKA Coastal]

Anyone that doesn't get rid of anything Trout related by the end of spring training is going to be regretting it. Unless he really shows some pop early on he's gonna drop like a rock in higher levels. Someone else will move in and take his place on the prospect podium. It happens every year.

 

[jbhofmann]

This is NOT Mike Trout's peak. I promise. There is meat left on the bone, and I think refractor autos are a deal at 120-125 (chromes are 80-90, and Xs are around 2 bens), and sure to rise.

Smart people who have lots of extra $ to tie up are buying him, and they WILL make money. I'd put money on that (see what I did there?).

It's not over.

"Ya'll need to listen to this aminors guy."

I disagree with all of the above. So if Mike Trout bats .310 with 15 HR and 45 Sb's, you think his chrome autos should keep rising? I have a TOUGH time believing that is the case. Jason Heyward is a MUCH better player/prospect with a higher ceiling and in a better card marker. Plus Heyward's explosion happened when he was about to the the big club, not heading to AA. I think people paying these inflated prices are gonna feel the pain, and it isn't going to be pretty.

skrip

Step back, breathe and read the whole thread. Nobody here thinks he's the starting CF for the Angels. But you are telling me that if Trout is named the top prospect by BA, his prices won't see another jump? That when ESPN's Buster Olney does some spring training cutup of him being compared to Mantle that the prices won't jump. Today is Feb. 6th. What could Trout possibly do to cause a decrease in the coming weeks other than hanging out with Delino Jr.?