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Trevor Hoffman retires....HOF?

Was Trevor Hoffman's career worthy of the HOF?


  • Total voters
    108

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gt2590

Super Moderator
Aug 17, 2008
38,838
3,476
Near Philly
He'll be in, probably not First ballot, but soon thereafter.

It's just that playing in San Diego hurt his National profile.
 

Mighty Bombjack

Active member
Aug 7, 2008
6,115
12
theplasticman said:
Lee Smith?

Good point, I thought he was going in when he retired as the saves leader.

On another note, this thread reminds me of when some kid posted something like "Greg Maddux is retiring, let the HOF debate begin." That drew some well-deserved ridicule.
 

muskiesfan

New member
Aug 7, 2008
12,531
0
Murfreesboro, TN
Krom said:
marhjan said:
If Trevor Hoffman is not inducted, shut the HOF down...
We have to compute his WAR to find out. :lol:

While computing it, make sure to keep it to only 5 seasons. You may pick, at random, his five best seasons to average them out. The HOF is way off requiring 10 years of playing to be enshrined when most players only have 5 prime seasons. ;)
 

nosterbor

Well-known member
Jun 20, 2010
6,116
453
Sunny Florida
Krom said:
marhjan said:
If Trevor Hoffman is not inducted, shut the HOF down...
We have to compute his WAR to find out. :lol:
icon_lol.gif
 

Krom

New member
Jun 13, 2010
2,840
0
Long Island
muskiesfan said:
Krom said:
marhjan said:
If Trevor Hoffman is not inducted, shut the HOF down...
We have to compute his WAR to find out. :lol:

While computing it, make sure to keep it to only 5 seasons. You may pick, at random, his five best seasons to average them out. The HOF is way off requiring 10 years of playing to be enshrined when most players only have 5 prime seasons. ;)
:lol: I am not "in the know enough" to know all that bs. I am just a fan of the game. ::facepalm::
 

pigskincardboard

New member
Nov 4, 2009
5,444
0
Toronto
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.ph ... relievers/


Trevor Hoffman decided to call it a career yesterday, exiting the game as the all-time career saves leader with 601. Hoffman’s career was no doubt one of the best reliever careers of all time, as Hoffman appeared in over 1,000 games and compiled a career ERA of 2.87. But Lee Smith, the last career saves leader to hit the Hall of Fame ballots, is still waiting for a call to Cooperstown that likely will not come at this point. When it comes to evaluating career performance and particularly when it comes to the Hall, relievers are an odd bunch. Let’s examine Hoffman’s spot among relievers and among the best players in Major League history.


If we go simply by WAR, there would be no need to even put Hoffman’s name on the ballot. By our implementation, Hoffman accrued only 22.9 WAR. He grades better in Baseball-References implementation, but his 30.7 WAR are still well short of any Hall of Fame standards for position players or starting pitchers. Many consider Jack Morris‘s 39 WAR to be a dealbreaker, for example.

Of course, WAR isn’t an end-all, be-all statistic for player evaluation, and it certainly isn’t for Hall of Fame voters. The Hall currently contains four pitchers who were primarily relievers: Hoyt Wilhelm, Rich Gossage, Rollie Fingers, and Bruce Sutter. Dennis Eckersley also counts if you consider “primarily reliever” to mean “half of career appearances in relief,” but Eckersley made 361 career starts and much of his career value comes from those 2,400+ innings.

None of those four pitchers accrued more than 42 WAR according to Baseball-Reference. Sutter’s choice appears dubious on a statistical level – only 661 games, 25 WAR, and a 136 ERA+ which ranks 20th among relievers with at least 500 IP – but he may be enshrined partially for his pioneering of the splitter. Fingers also has a weak statistical profile – nearly identical WAR but in more games and with a relatively pedestrian 120 ERA+ – but again, Fingers was a pioneer, this time of the closer role. Gossage and Wilhelm both sport WARs in the 40s and far longer careers, but still not Hall of Fame caliber numbers from any other role. Again, their enshrinement seems to be inspired by their roles in baseball history – Wilhelm as one of the premiere knuckleballers and Gossage as one of the first successful relief pitchers.

Hoffman’s 30 WAR, 1,100 inning, 141 ERA+ career puts him in a similar statistical realm as Fingers and Sutter. Just as with Lee Smith, however, I can’t think of anything Hoffman did that shaped baseball’s history in a meaningful way outside of the sheer volume of his save total. He didn’t define a role like Fingers. His changeup was excellent, but it wasn’t a definitive pitch in the game’s history like Wilhelm’s knuckleball or Sutter’s splitter. He didn’t prove that some pitchers could have value in the bullpen despite flaming out as starters like Gossage.

While Hoffman’s career is statistically similar to Sutter and Fingers, it is also very similar to those of John Franco, Dan Quisenberry, and Kent Tekulve, who all pitched around 1,000 effective innings out of the bullpen. The key difference between Hoffman and that trio is the number 601. To me, it’s clear that there has to be something beyond a relief pitcher’s body of work for him to make the Hall of Fame, something that transcends the necessarily unimpressive number that the role begets. In that case, five years from now when Hoffman appears on the ballot, we’ll find out if the writers find the number 601 to be enough to earn Hoffman a bust in Cooperstown.
 

Krom

New member
Jun 13, 2010
2,840
0
Long Island
pigskincardboard said:
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/trevor-hoffmans-place-among-hall-of-fame-relievers/

"Of course, WAR isn’t an end-all, be-all statistic for player evaluation, and it certainly isn’t for Hall of Fame voters."
Shh don't tell that to Chris Levy.
 

thefatguy

Active member
Aug 10, 2008
14,644
3
Canada
Oh my gawd....whats this goof going to think when a DH gets in :eek: End of Days
Rivera is the same, is he not? Oh, but he plays in the pinstripes.
 

aminors

New member
Aug 7, 2008
5,336
0
Southern IN
Stupid question. He has reached a mark that no one else in baseball history has reached...one of statistical importance, not just some hunky-dory "won three games in a row six times in a season twice" type of thing. All. Time. Saves. Leader. and has reached a mark that so far no one else has eclipsed (600 saves).

Yes, he's a hall of famer.
 

Krom

New member
Jun 13, 2010
2,840
0
Long Island
aminors said:
Stupid question. He has reached a mark that no one else in baseball history has reached...one of statistical importance, not just some hunky-dory "won three games in a row six times in a season twice" type of thing. All. Time. Saves. Leader. and has reached a mark that so far no one else has eclipsed (600 saves).

Yes, he's a hall of famer.
I agree with you mostly because you didn't use SAS (Stats above sanity)
 

pigskincardboard

New member
Nov 4, 2009
5,444
0
Toronto
This is a great question and it should be one that's asked. People seem to think they have the brain power to correctly measure a player's importance and dominance, but they simply don't. They often revert to 1-10 different memories that either solidify or destroy someone's HOF nomination.

It seems like the Baseball Writers of America and Fans in general have an entirely hypocritical means of judging a player's performance.

Trevor Hoffman has the most saves ever, therefore he must be in because he is the best closer despite the fact that he pitched barely 1000 innings. Who exactly decided that a closer's 1IP was as important as a starter's 7IP, or an 8th inning guy's 1IP?

After deciding that Hoffman, the best closer, deserves to be in; these same people will look at Edgar Martinez and laugh. Apparently you can be a closer but can't be a DH. Being a closer requires some special skills that being a DH doesn't. Anyone can be a DH, they say! Being a closer takes... wait for it... a certain intestinal fortitude! It takes nerves of steal! It takes all sorts of other ridiculous things that cannot be measured, graphed, or compared.

And this of course can only be recognized by self-important baseball writers and true fans. They don't even have to defend their selections, they just make it!

This is not the dumbest question in the world and the person that posed it isn't an idiot. This is a great question and should've fostered some variety of discussion.
 

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