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2012 Draft Top 100 Scouting Reports
Staff Report
February 1, 2012
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1. Mark Appel, rhp, Stanford
Appel had both the best present stuff on the college national team and plenty of room to grow as a pitcher. The 6-foot-5, 190-pounder's arm works easily, delivering consistent 92-95 mph fastballs with good life in the strike zone. Hitters can't sit on his fastball because he throws a true slider, and he's working on developing a changeup. "He had the best arm on the team by far," Team USA pitching coach Rob Walton (Oral Roberts) said. "He touched 99 once or twice, with a bunch of 98s. The ceiling on him is unbelievable. He's a Justin Verlander-type guy. His potential is unreal. He's as good as anyone I've seen in a while." Appel did have the highest ERA on the team (5.00), in large part because he surrendered a grand slam against Japan in his lone start. Like Verlander, he hasn't dominated in college as much as his stuff should dictate, allowing 114 hits and striking out just 86 in 110 innings at Stanford last spring. Appel throws strikes but leaves his pitches over the plate and up in the zone too often, and he'll be nearly untouchable once he refines his command. —2011 Team USA Top 20
2. Lucas Giolito, rhp, Harvard-Westlake HS, Studio City, Calif.
Giolito has everything scouts look for in a high school pitching prospect. He already has the frame and physicality of a big leaguer, standing 6-foot-6, 230 pounds with broad shoulders, strong legs and a trim core. Giolito has a power arsenal that includes a fastball that sat in the low-mid 90s this summer and has been into the upper 90s this fall. He throws the pitch to both sides of the plate and is not afraid to own the inner half. His curveball is a hammer in the 81-83 mph range with tight rotation and late break. He also mixes in an occasional changeup in the 83-84 mph range with good movement. Giolito's stuff looks even faster because his calm, effortless delivery lulls hitters to sleep. If you want to nitpick, his tempo could be sped up a little bit and he could mix in his changeup a little more. Giolito is a workout machine who adheres to an impressive longtoss routine and has been practicing yoga this winter. He is also young for his class and won't turn 18 until just after the signing deadline. He is a quality student and is committed to UCLA. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
3. Byron Buxton, of, Appling County HS, Baxley, Ga.
Buxton, who also plays quarterback for his high school football team, is a natural athlete who makes things look easy between the lines. Buxton stands 6-foot-2 and 170 pounds. He has a lean frame with a trim waist and shows plenty of speed to handle center field. At the East Coast Pro Showcase, Buxton turned in a 6.50-second 60-yard dash, which grades out as 70 speed on the 20-80 scouting scale. Buxton's arm would also be an asset in the outfield, as he's been clocked in the low 90s off the mound. Buxton has an open setup at the plate and exhibits fluid hitting mechanics. He shows good balance in his short swing, excellent bat speed and a knack for centering the ball—all things necessary to hit for a high average. And there's power potential too—which he showed off by finishing second in the Under Armour game home run derby—with more to come as he continues to fill out and mature physically. His explosive athleticism and five-tool potential has already led some scouts to compare the Georgia commit to a hybrid of the Upton brothers. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
4. Deven Marrero, ss, Arizona State
Marrero started his summer with Team USA (where he ranked as the No. 2 prospect behind Appel), then returned to Cotuit for 12 games, hitting .326 in 46 at-bats. His summer was cut short when he was hit by a pitch in the left hand and suffered a deep bruise. Marrero is a "complete player," as one scouting director called him, with at least average tools across the board and a grinder mentality. His simple swing, good hand-eye coordination, control of the strike zone and all-fields approach should make him a slightly above-average hitter, and he has a chance to grow into average power, though he's more of a doubles hitter presently. Marrero's slightly above-average speed plays up because of his excellent instincts on the basepaths. But he stands out most for his defense. He reads balls very well off the bat, and his smooth actions and plus arm will keep him at shortstop throughout his career, though his focus sometimes drifts, leading to errors. "He's the best defensive player I've ever seen at 19, 20 years of age," Cotuit coach Mike Roberts said. "Walt Weiss was pretty darn good, but this young man—I've never seen anybody who could get his feet in the right position almost all the time. If for any reason he doesn't get his feet in the right position, he has the ability to still get his hands in the right place, and understand the speed of the runner. I think he's Omar Vizquel at 20." —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
5. Mike Zunino, c, Florida
The Southeastern Conference player of the year, Zunino was a beast against elite SEC competition. In conference games, he led the league in slugging (.750), runs (36), RBIs (33) and doubles (14) and ranked second in batting (.422), OBP (.477) and homers (eight). "Certain guys are 2-for-16 and you know it, but other guys, it's like, I didn't even know that," O'Sullivan said. "It's just quality at-bats, presence in the box. He never gives in, he's going to battle. He's got really good disposition . . . He's always been strong. He's 6-2, 220 pounds, he's put together well. I went back and told the guys at the beginning of the year when he started hitting well, I said, 'The last month of the season last year, he was our best hitter.' He hit more balls hard than anybody in our lineup, and he carried it over into this year. Like most good hitters, he tries to use the middle of the field. He doesn't get pull happy. That's what got him going last year: He used both sides of the field. He likes to pull the ball like most hitters, but when he learned to stay back and see the breaking ball better, not chase the one down, that really helped him." Zunino is also a standout defender—he has a .998 fielding percentage and has thrown out about a third of opposing basestealers. His all-around package makes him a possible first-round pick in the 2012 draft. "I think Mike's special behind the plate," O'Sullivan said. "He throws good, blocks good, receives well, but he's just got good leadership skills, and he knows how to handle a staff . . . I think he's just a baseball player." —May 16, 2011 Three Strikes Blog Post (Aaron Fitt)
6. Kevin Gausman, rhp, Louisiana State
Gausman's homestate Rockies considered drafting him in the first round two years ago out of high school, and he's expected to go that high as a draft-eligible sophomore next year. Tall and slender at 6-foot-4, 185 pounds, he shows the potential for three plus pitches. Gausman features armside run and sink on his 92-96 mph fastball, though his tendency to tilt his shoulder in his delivery affects his ability to work the corners and pitch down in the zone. He throws both a curveball and slider, which both have their moments. His changeup is a weapon because he sells it so well with his arm speed, and he added more depth to it this summer. —2011 Team USA Top 20
7. Chris Beck, rhp, Georgia Southern
Beck was a key piece of Georgia Southern's banner recruiting class in 2009, and after going 2-4, 8.31 as a freshman, he turned a corner as a sophomore, going 9-5, 3.23 with 109 strikeouts in 103 innings. He kept that momentum going into the summer, posting a 2.12 ERA and ranking fifth in the Cape League with 41 strikeouts in 51 innings. Physical and durable at 6-foot-3, 220 pounds, Beck attacks hitters with a 91-94 mph fastball that tops out at 96 on occasion. His power breaking ball—which he throws at 81-84 mph with some bite to it—is between a curveball and a slider, but it has a chance to be a plus pitch if he can learn to repeat it more consistently. He also knows how to use his fading, sinking 83-84 changeup, giving him a chance for three plus pitches in time. Beck is generally around the strike zone, but his control is ahead of his command at this stage. Still, his easy arm action and fairly clean delivery lead scouts to believe he'll be able to improve his command as he matures. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
8. Brian Johnson, lhp/1b, Florida
After helping Florida reach the CWS Finals in June, Johnson started his summer with Team USA, where he was the national team's top power hitter during his short stint. He hit .280 with two long balls in 50 at-bats for Y-D, continuing to flash mammoth power potential from the left side, while also posting a 19-4 strikeout-walk mark in 15 innings on the mound. Johnson is the top two-way talent for the 2012 draft, a player with legitimate professional potential with the bat and off the mound. Scouts are divided about where he fits best, although three scouting directors who spent extensive time in the Cape all said they liked him a bit better as a pitcher. Johnson has a workhorse build at 6-foot-4, 227 pounds, and his delivery is clean and easy. At his best, he pitches with a solid-average fastball that touches 94, but he was just 87-90 this summer at the end of a long season. He has advanced feel for his entire three-pitch repertoire, which also includes a solid-average breaking ball with good depth and a quality changeup. At the plate, Johnson has good balance and can punish mistakes up in the zone, and some scouts think he has a good feel for hitting, but others aren't sold on his ability to make adjustments. Though he's a good athlete, he's a below-average runner who will be tied to first base as a position player, but his plus to plus-plus power potential should carry him regardless. Johnson was Team USA's most effective reliever (0.63 ERA) in 2010, but this time around he pitched only sparingly and stood out more with his bat after arriving late from the College World Series. Though he played just four games, he led the squad with three homers after hitting just five in the spring. Team USA assistant Rob Walton compared him to Ryan Howard. The 6-foot-3, 225-pounder has plenty of strength and makes consistent hard contact to all fields. He'll need to improve defensively at first base.An AL crosschecker preferred Johnson on the mound, however. He has the build to be a workhorse starter and fills the strike zone with 90-93 mph fastballs. His short slider can be a plus pitch at times but needs more bite, and he also has a decent changeup. —Team USA Top 20/Cape Cod Top 30
9. Victor Roache, of, Georgia Southern
An unrefined Michigan prep product, Roache had an up-and-down freshman year at Georgia Southern, then exploded for 30 home runs with the less-potent BBCOR bats as a sophomore—the most homers by a Division I player since 2003. He got off to a torrid start in the Cape, hitting .397/.529/.667 with five homers and just 13 strikeouts through his first 25 games, but he struggled mightily in his final 18 games, hitting .183 with one homer and 31 strikeouts. During his funk, Roache saw a steady diet of breaking balls, which he struggled to recognize and repeatedly chased out of the zone. But scouts who saw Roache in the first half of the summer came away satisfied with his improving approach and dazzled by his well above-average raw power from the right side. The muscular 6-foot-1, 225-pounder has a quick, compact swing, though some scouts questioned his looseness. He split time between DH and the corner outfield spots for Cotuit, which was loaded with athletes in the outfield, but his fringe-average speed and average arm should make him an adequate defender. Roache comes with some risk, but his plate approach has already come a long way since he arrived in college, and if it continues to improve he could blossom into a dangerous big league slugger down the road. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
10. David Dahl, of, Oak Mountain HS, Birmingham
With his beautiful lefthanded stroke and five-tool potential, Dahl earned comparisons to Colby Rasmus this summer. He shows excellent balance with a wide stance and his bat speed is evident in his fluid, compact swing. He consistently squares the ball up and projects to hit for both average and power. Dahl has a keen eye at the plate, showing good patience in his at-bats and quiet takes on pitches narrowly out of the strike zone. He's an above-average runner who is smart on the bases, though he's not a burner and it's possible he may wind up fitting better in a corner outfield spot, but he'll at least get the chance to stick in center field. Right field would be an option, as he has a strong arm. Dahl is committed to Auburn. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
11. Walker Weickel, rhp, Olympia HS, Orlando
With a long and lanky 6-foot-6, 200-pound frame, Weickel offers plenty of projection and his stuff is already very good. He uses a full windup and takes advantage of his height on the mound, throwing his fastball downhill in the 89-92 mph range and toping out at 95. Weickel shows good body control and fills up the strike zone with his fastball. While he usually throws the pitch with steep downward plane, it can sometimes flatten out on him, and that's when it becomes hittable. Weickel's curveball showed improvement this summer, going from a loopy 68-70 mph offering to a tighter, firmer pitch in the 73-75 mph range with 12—to-6 break and good depth. The Miami recruit also mixes in a changeup between 80-81 mph. Weickel shows very good maturity and was Team USA's ace on the mound during its gold-medal run in the 2011 COPABE Pan Am Championships, going 3-0, 0.46 with 23 strikeouts and four walks over 20 innings. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
12. Stryker Trahan, c, Acadiana HS, Lafayette, La.
At 6-foot-1 and 220 pounds, Trahan is built like a fullback, but runs like a tailback. Deceptively fast for his size, Trahan offers solid-average speed—exceptional for a catcher. He ran a 6.54-second 60-yard dash at the Perfect Game National Showcase, turned in a 6.80 time at Tournament of Stars and then clocked a 7.06 at East Coast Pro. He also gets out of the box quickly, generally posting home-first times in the 4.15 to 4.25 second range. The son of two former catchers who is named after Burt Reynolds' character in the show "B.L. Stryker," Trahan was born to catch. In addition to his strong build, he has massive, strong hands that help him on both offense and defense. He's a quality receiver with average arm strength. A lefthanded hitter, Trahan hits from a relaxed, narrow stance. He shows good rhythm at the plate and is a very selective hitter. Trahan has a natural uphill bat path with a high finish that gives him good loft and power potential. He shows above-average bat speed and the ball explodes off his bat. It's a rare combination of tools for a catcher, which is why the Mississippi commit is expected to be a first round pick in June. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
13. Matthew Smoral, lhp, Solon (Ohio) HS
Smoral has an imposing presence on the mound, standing 6-foot-8 and 225 pounds. His height along with his low three-quarter arm slot from the left side makes him tough to pick up. His stuff doesn't make it any easier for hitters. Smoral throws a fastball in the 89-92 mph range and tops out at 94. Smoral also throws a slider in the 81-84 mph range and a changeup with similar velocity. His low arm slot causes him to sometimes get around his slider, but when he stays on top of it, it's a tight pitch with late break. Like many big pitchers, Smoral is still growing into his frame and learning how to control his delivery. He currently lands a little open and a little stiff, sometimes stumbling off the mound in his follow through. This causes his control to come and go, but when he's on, his stuff is dominating. Smoral has the athleticism to smooth things out. His father, Steve, was a basketball player at North Carolina State, but Matt is committed to North Carolina. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
14. Albert Almora, of, Mater Academy, Hialeah Gardens, Fla.
Almora is USA Baseball's most decorated alumnus, winning gold medals with the 2007 and 2008 14-and-under teams, the 2009 and 2010 16U team and the 2010 and 2011 18U teams. With all that big-game experience, it's no wonder that Almora is one of the most polished players in this year's class. Scouts have to project on his power, but Almora has above-average tools across the board, with stellar defense in center field and a knack for pure hitting standing out the most. Everything comes easy to Almora, velocity doesn't faze him and he plays with a lot of energy. Almora is a cousin of Orioles prospect Manny Machado and is committed to Miami. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
15. Max Fried, lhp, Harvard-Westlake HS, Studio City, Calif.
When Fried's Montclair College Prep eliminated its storied athletic program, Fried transferred to Harvard-Westlake to join righthander Lucas Giolito to become the best prep pitching duo in the country. Fried has prototypical projection in his lanky 6-foot-4, 170-pound frame. He has long arms and a free and easy delivery. He's also an above-average athlete who fills up the strike zone with all of his pitches. His fastball sits in the 88-92 mph range with good armside run and his 73-75 mph curveball is one of the best in the country. Fried can get a little long to the plate, but does vary his looks with runners on base, incorporating a slide step when necessary. He also has an excellent pickoff move. Like Giolito, Fried is also committed to UCLA. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
16. Gavin Cecchini, ss, Barbe HS, Lake Charles, La.
Gavin is the younger brother of Red Sox third base prospect Garin, and the two brothers' parents are both coaches at Barbe High, as well as for the SE Texas Sun Devils travel team. Gavin is leaner than his brother, with a 6-foot-2, 185-pound frame. The increased mobility gives him a legitimate chance to stay at shortstop, and he's the best all-around prospect at the position in this year's high school class. Cecchini shows good range at shortstop with above-average instincts, fluid fielding mechanics and a strong arm. He's a leader on the field who always plays hard and goes about the game the right way. Cecchini is an above-average runner and is smart on the bases. At the plate, Gavin is also different from his brother, as he hits righthanded. He hits everything on the screws and hits the ball hard to all fields. While Cecchini has a good eye at the plate, he's up there to hit and is often aggressive early in the count. Cecchini has strength in his wrists and will hit for power as he continues to get stronger. One of the most impressive batting practice home runs on the showcase circuit this summer was Cecchini's a mammoth shot during the workout day before the Under Armour game, a 400-plus foot bomb that bounced off the gym beyond the left field wall at Illinois-Chicago's campus. Along with his close friend Stryker Trahan, Cecchini is committed to Mississippi. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
17. Carlos Correa, ss, Puerto Rico Baseball Academy, Gurabo, P.R.
The second-youngest player in Baseball America's High School Top 100, Correa won't turn 18 until September after the signing deadline. That makes his physical build and present tools even more impressive. Correa has a pro body at 6-foot-4 and 190 pounds with a high waist and room to fill out. Despite his large frame, he's light on his feet and shows fluid actions at shortstop with soft hands and above-average arm strength. Correa is a little raw at the plate and is currently a free swinger, but has some strength and hits the ball hard when he makes contact. He's an above-average runner now but may slow down as he fills out. Being a first-round pick this June could keep him away from his Miami commitment. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
18. Stephen Piscotty, 3b, Stanford
Many Pacific-10 Conference coaches thought Piscotty was the best hitter in their league this spring, when he batted .364/.423/.471 and helped lead Stanford to super regionals. He hit .349 in 106 at-bats this summer to win the Cape League batting title on the final day of the season, edging Dane Phillips by percentage points. "He's very consistent—I compare him to (former Cape Leaguer and current big leaguer) Garrett Atkins," Y-D coach Scott Pickler said. "He hit in the middle of the order all year, and he only will get better when he puts on his man strength. I thought he was one of the more consistent hitters in the league—he handled the change, handled the breaking ball, handled the fastball on both sides of the plate. Right now it's a gap-to-gap approach, but I think there will be some power in there if he uses his legs a little more." Piscotty stung hard line drives to all fields in all four of his at-bats in the Cape League all-star game, a performance that typified his all-fields approach and showcased his smooth righthanded swing. Scouts expect him to develop average or slightly better power as he grows into his 6-foot-3, 195-pound frame. He played both corner infield spots and in the outfield for Y-D, and scouts are divided about his ability to stick at third base down the road, but the consensus is that his actions and range are good enough to at least give him a shot there. He has a strong arm and even flashed 93-94 mph gas in five relief appearances for Y-D. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
19. Jake Barrett, rhp, Arizona State
Barrett was a third-round pick of the Blue Jays in 2009 and did not sign. After working as a reliever as a freshman, he made 14 starts as a sophomore, going 7-4, 4.14. He's a physical workhorse at 6-foot-3, 230 pounds and could either wind up as a front-rotation starter with more polish or wind up in the bullpen. Scouts always like power arms, and Barrett works comfortably in the 93-96 mph range with his fastball. Moreover, he's improved his breaking ball since his high school days, flashing a quality slider that he can throw for strikes. He also employs a splitter as a swing-and-miss pitch. Barrett's upside is tantalizing, but he has rough edges to smooth out. —John Manuel (Jan. 2012)
20. Lance McCullers Jr., rhp, Jesuit HS, Tampa
McCullers has been known as one of the top prospects in this class for a few years thanks to the fact that he's always shown premium arm strength and has a father with the same name who pitched in the big leagues for seven seasons. At 6-foot-2 and 195 pounds, McCullers has a similar build to his dad when he played. He also has similar stuff, including a fastball that sits in the 93-96 mph range and a nasty slider with hard and late break in the 83-87 mph range. McCullers also mixes in a good changeup and a curveball. While he'll likely get a chance to start as a pro, he has some effort in his delivery, very limited experience on the mound and sometimes has bouts with wildness that could lead to a relief role. McCullers is committed to Florida. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
21. Joey Gallo, 3b/rhp, Bishop Gorman HS, Las Vegas
Gallo hit 25 home runs last year for Bishop Gorman High and has some of the most impressive power in this year's class. That towering power was on full display when Gallo hit the 10th-longest home run in Petco Park history at the Perfect Game All-America Game. Gallo's downside is that he swings and misses a lot and, though he plays third base in high school, will probably move to first base as a pro. The move won't be for a lack of arm strength. He also sees time on the mound and sits in the 88-92 mph range, topping out at 95. Gallo will put his talent on display at the USA Baseball/Baseball America National High School Invitational this March and he is committed to Louisiana State. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
22. Marcus Stroman, rhp, Duke
Stroman may have been the smallest player on the college national team at 5-foot-9 and 185 pounds, but he was also its most dynamic. He struck out 17 and allowed just two baserunners (no hits) in eight innings with Team USA, continuing to draw Tom Gordon comparisons that started last summer in the Cape Cod League. A quick-twitch athlete who is both a starting pitcher and shortstop at Duke, Stroman generates quality arm speed. As a reliever, he works at 93-96 mph with his fastball and can throw it by hitters up in the zone. He also can embarrass lefties and righties alike with a nasty slider he commands to both sides of the plate. "He's so much fun to watch," said Eric Campbell, USA Baseball's general manager of national teams. "He was our most electric guy. When he came into a game to pitch for us, it was the most exciting thing to happen with our college national team this summer. There was a buzz about him." —2011 Team USA Top 20
23. Michael Wacha, rhp, Texas A&M
After throwing 130 innings in the spring and leading Texas A&M to the College World Series, Wacha still had enough left in the tank to allow just one earned run in two starts for Team USA. He relies on his changeup and his command, both of which were as good as anyone's on the national team. Wacha uses his 6-foot-6, 195-pound frame to throw his pitches on a steep downhill plane. His straight changeup is more notable for its deception than its action, and he sets it up by locating his 90-93 mph fastball. His ultimate ceiling depends on whether he can come up with a solid breaking ball, and he made progress with a cutter/slider this summer. —2011 Team USA Top 20
24. Travis Jankowski, of, Stony Brook
After hitting .355 with 30 steals in 34 tries during his breakout sophomore year at Stony Brook, Jankowski exploded onto the prospect landscape this summer, hitting .329 with 15 steals and a league-best seven triples to win the Cape's MVP award. "He was one of the best players in the Cape," the AL scouting director said. "He's a guy that jumped out. He took really good at-bats, had really good barrel control, the ability to stay behind the ball and drive the ball. He could run, had a little bit of pop and a good-looking body." The 6-foot-2, 190-pound Jankowski is a live athlete with plus speed that plays on the basepaths and in center field, where he has good instincts, excellent range and an average arm. His swing is a bit uphill, but he still showed a knack for squaring up a lot of hard line drives and sharp grounders. He made enough adjustments to hold his own against premium stuff, and he flashed a bit of pull power during batting practice, though he figures to have below-average power. He doesn't give away at-bats and could be a plus hitter down the road, particularly if he can flatten out his swing just a bit. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
25. Josh Elander, c, Texas Christian
Elander started just 38 games behind the plate in his first two seasons at Texas Christian, but he became Team USA's regular catcher when Florida catcher Michael Zunino opted not to join the team after the Gators made it to the finals of the College World Series. The 6-foot-1, 215-pound righthanded hitter showed the second-best pop on the team behind Johnson, driving the ball to all fields. Elander also got the job done defensively, receiving and blocking well and combating the running game with an average arm and quick release. "He has close to Johnson's power and matched him in batting practice." head coach Tim Jamieson (Missouri) said. "We thought he'd be the backup to Zunino but he wound up being more than that and did a great job with out staff. He did it all well." —2011 Team USA Top 20
26. Richie Shaffer, 3b/1b, Clemson
Shaffer has blasted 20 home runs during his first two seasons at Clemson, and he continued to show off his plus righthanded power potential in the Cape, tying for second in the league with six homers and winning the home run derby at Fenway Park prior to the CCBL all-star game. Some scouts thought Shaffer was a better power-hitting prospect than Roache, saying Shaffer has the looser swing and better bat speed. At 6-foot-3, 205 pounds, Shaffer's swing is long-levered, and he can be vulnerable on the inner half, but he came on strong this summer once he started driving the ball to the opposite field more often. "He's a hard worker, and he's coachable," Chatham coach John Schiffner said. "The first part of the summer he really was spinning off the ball—I don't know if it was just because he wanted to show the power. The second half it really clicked for him. He's got a very good arm—you don't see it much at first base—and for a big kid he runs well. And he's got ungodly power." Shaffer split time between third and first for the Anglers, but his feet don't work great at the hot corner, and he fits best at first, despite his plus arm. He'll need to work on his concentration and footwork defensively. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
27. Trey Williams, 3b, Valencia HS, Santa Clarita, Calif.
Williams has been a hot name for the 2012 draft for a while for similar reasons to McCullers: special talent and a big league dad. Williams was a shortstop early in his high school career, but has filled out and now plays third base. His tools profile at the hot corner. He has tremendous strength and bat speed, though he can sometimes look overmatched against quality breaking balls. His line-drive home run to the right-center gap off of a 90 mph fastball at the Perfect Game National Showcase stands out as one of the most impressive round-trippers on the summer circuit. Defensively, Williams is a good athlete with solid arm strength. He is an average runner. A Pepperdine commit, Williams missed several other showcases this summer retaking classes in summer school. Williams' dad, Eddie, was the fourth-overall pick in the 1983 draft and had a 20-year professional career, with 10 of those years spent in the big leagues. While Trey doesn't project to go that high, he certainly could become another first-rounder. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
28. Kyle Zimmer, rhp, San Francisco
After throwing just five innings as a freshman in 2011, Zimmer blossomed into San Francisco's ace down the stretch in 2011, capped by a four-hit, 11-strikeout shutout against UCLA to beat Gerrit Cole in regionals. He followed up his spring with a solid Cape season, posting a 3.38 ERA and a 37-14 K-BB mark in 48 innings. The 6-foot-3, 210-pound Zimmer is a power pitcher with a fastball that sits comfortably at 92-94 and touches 95. His curveball can be a hammer in the low 80s with sharp tilt, but sometimes he leaves it up in the zone when he should bury it. Still, it projects as a plus pitch when he learns to stay on top of it more consistently. He made progress with his changeup this summer, but it still has a ways to go. "He had plenty of arm and had a hard curveball—a really good curveball," a second NL scouting director said. "He had a good sense what he was going, and was aggressive. The arm and delivery work—it's not an effort deal—and it looks like he'll be a starter. It was a pretty impressive package." —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
29. Kenny Diekroeger, ss, Stanford
Diekroeger instantly became one of the best incoming freshmen in the country when he spurned Tampa Bay, which had drafted him in the second round in 2009, in favor of the Cardinal. In high school, he emerged as a major prospect by posting an 85.96 score on the Nike SPARQ athletics test during the 2008 Area Code Games, including a nearly 35-inch vertical leap. He largely lived up to the hype as a freshman, leading Stanford in hitting with a .356/.391/.491 line in 216 at-bats, on his way to garnering first-team freshman All-America honors. His talent was on display in the summer of 2010, as New England Collegiate League coaches almost unanimously chose Diekroeger as the circuit's best pro prospect after he hit .324/.354/.446 in 139 at-bats with the Newport Gulls. A physical 6-foot-2, 200 pounder, Diekroeger showed gap-to-gap power to go along with advanced plate discipline and good, quick hands that made it hard for pitchers to fool him. After playing primarily third base at Stanford as a freshman, Diekroeger split his time between shortstop and third base with the Gulls, and some coaches weren't convinced he could stick at shortstop. He has average speed and range to go along with good infield actions and a strong arm. There were questions about his maturity and work ethic down the stretch and he was even benched for part of the postseason, during which he managed only one hit in 15 at-bats. But his athleticism, bat speed and approach suggest he has a bright future as an offensive shortstop or third baseman down the road. Diekroger struggled as a sophomore for Stanford with just 11 extra-base hits with the BBCOR bats, then didn't play during the summer, instead working out on campus. Diekroeger was being challenged by Lonnie Kauppila for the shortstop job as a junior and could move to second base. —John Manuel (Jan. 2012)
30. Tyler Naquin, of, Texas A&M
Naquin was a catalyst for both Texas A&M's College World Series squad and Team USA, though scouts are still trying to determine if he's going to be a big league regular or more of a tweener. He has a good approach, lets pitches travel deep and has some bat speed and ability to impart backspin on the ball. But he also fouls off too many hittable pitches, and the lefthanded hitter is going to have to add strength to his 6-foot-2, 175-pound frame in order to profile as a right fielder. His bat might fit better in center field, but he hasn't played their much because the Aggies have speedster Krey Bratsen and the U.S. national team had Lorenzen. Naquin might have the speed and instincts to handle center, and his well above-average arm is definitely suited for right. —2011 Team USA Top 20
31. Adam Brett Walker, of/1b, Jacksonville
Walker, the son of a former Minnesota Vikings running back of the same name, ranked as the top prospect in the Great Lakes League a year ago, and he captured second-team All-America honors this spring after hitting .409/.486/.682 with 13 homers, 75 RBIs and 14 steals. But Walker struggled against premier pitching this summer, hitting just .216/.269/.336 with four homers and a ghastly 8-56 BB-K mark in 134 at-bats. Walker is a physical specimen at 6-foot-5, 225 pounds, and scouting directors agreed that he had as much raw power as any player in the Cape, rating it as a 70 or 80 tool on the 20-80 scouting scale. "When he figures it out—if he does—it's going to be really special," Hyannis coach Chad Gassman said. "He'll put on a show in BP, and it barely looks like he's swinging. He's like a three-tool guy; the hit tool's got to come, and the arm is fringy, but he can run really well for his size, and he can defend it at first or in right field." Scouts agree that Walker is athletic enough to handle an outfield spot, and if he hits enough to unlock his massive righthanded power potential, he could be an impact big leaguer. He struggled against better fastballs from the waist up this summer, and he simply could not lay off breaking balls out of the zone. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
32. Luke Sims, rhp, Brookwood HS, Snellville, Ga.
Sims has a nice, athletic frame at 6-foot-2 and 195 pounds. His athleticism leads to a balanced delivery and he uses his strong legs well. He gets good angle on his 90-93 mph fastball that tops out at 95 and the pitch has good life. He's not afraid to pitch inside and throws a lot of strikes. Sims also spins one of the best curveballs in the class, a 74-77 mph downer with sharp, late break and mixes in a 82-84 mph changeup, giving him the chance for three plus pitches. Sims' Brookwood team will participate in USA Baseball's inaugural National High School Invitational, presented by Baseball America. He is committed to Clemson. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
33. Duane Underwood, rhp, Pope HS, Marietta, Ga.
Underwood has a solid pitcher's frame, standing 6-foot-2 and 205 pounds, and the stuff to match. His fastball sits in the 92-94 mph range and he's touched 95. His curveball is solid average now in the 73-75 mph range and could be a plus pitch someday. He throws a straight changeup occasionally, but mostly works with his fastball-curveball combination. Underwood works quickly and he has a smooth, easy delivery. He throws on a good downward angle with a quick arm, but there are still a few things to work on. He stabs and sweeps in the back of his arm swing and has a stiff, closed landing. Underwood's youth—he won't turn 18 until after the signing deadline—and his loose athleticism should allow him to smooth things out. He is committed to Georgia. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
34. Rio Ruiz, 3b/rhp, Bishop Amat HS, La Puente, Calif.
Ruiz is a physical third baseman with big hands and present strength. He has a knack for making good contact and figures to develop good power with his frame. He won't be a Gold Glove candidate at third base, but can hold the position down. If he does end up needing to switch positions, he would fit in right field with his plus arm. He dabbles in pitching and sits 90-93 mph with a nasty low-80s slider. He is committed to Southern California. He is a star quarterback as well and would probably get a chance to play as a safety or defensive back for the Trojans if he makes it to school. —Nathan Rode (Jan. 2012)
35. Branden Kline, rhp, Virginia
Kline didn't sign despite being the Red Sox's sixth-round pick in 2009 out of high school. He was the closer for Virginia's 2011 College World Series team, going 4-1, 1.88 with 56 strikeouts in 43 innings. He's expected to move into the rotation as a junior. Kline mostly used his 90-93 mph fastball and power slider as a closer but will also incorporate a curveball and changeup in a starting role. "If you told me draw a 6-foot-3 righthanded pitcher, I'd probably draw his body. He's tall, he's lean, he's athletic, he's got a power arm. He's what you want." —John Manuel (Jan. 2012)
36. C.J. Hinojosa, ss, Klein Collins HS, Spring, Texas
Hinojosa planned to graduate high school early, skipping the draft all together to enroll early at Texas, but he couldn't finish all the classes he needed to take. With that not working out, it will be interesting to see what his signability is like this summer. On talent, he's one of the most intriguing players in the class. While he's not a lock to stay at shortstop, Hinojosa shows smooth actions, quick hands and solid arm strength. He's a solid-average runner. At the plate, he drives the ball to all field with authority. He has no problem with velocity, shows great plate coverage and a strong understanding of the strike zone. Hinojosa has very good bat speed and surprising pull power for his 5-foot-11, 185-pound size. He's also a gamer on the field and stands out for his baseball I.Q. and toughness. Hinojosa is young for the class and won't turn 18 until July 15. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
37. Addison Russell, ss, Pace (Fla.) HS
Russell was one of two players to play in the Under Armour All-America Game as an underclassman in 2010 (with the other being Lance McCullers). Russell has explosive athleticism and was seen doing backflips on the field before a game at USA Baseball's Tournament of Stars. Russell is a streaky hitter, but hit well for Team USA in November, hitting .364/.481/.614 with four doubles, two triples and a home run. Russell's swing can sometimes get a long and draws comparisons to Juan Uribe. He has some noise to his swing and swings out of his shoes at times, but Russell frequently hits the ball on the screws and shows impressive power, especially to his pull side. Defensively, Russell shows quick hands at shortstop, but not the quickest feet. He has a thicker build and is just an average runner, meaning he may be better suited at third base or second base. He has choppy actions, but the ball always sticks in his glove and he has above-average arm strength. Russell is committed to Auburn. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
38. Courtney Hawkins, of/rhp, Carroll HS, Corpus Christi, Texas
Few players improved their stock this summer as much as Hawkins. He looked overmatched early in the summer, but really found his groove later on and was one of only two players to hit a home run at the Area Code Games in spacious Blair Field. Hawkins has a muscular, 6-foot-3, 215-pound frame. He has some things to smooth out at the plate—he has a lot of pre-swing movement and changes his eye level a lot during his swing—but keeps his nose on the ball and his strong wrists and forearms give him the ability to drive the ball to all fields. Hawkins has a very aggressive approach at the plate and struggles against offspeed, but showed the ability to turn around velocity. Hawkins is an above-average runner now and fits best defensively in right field with his strong arm. He also pitches and throws in the 88-91 mph range, but struggles to control his offspeed offerings. Hawkins' high school team will play in the USA/Baseball America National High School Invitational this spring and he is committed to Texas. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
39. Freddy Avis, rhp, Menlo School, Atherton, Calif.
Avis attends the same high school that produced Stanford infielder Kenny Diekroeger and is set to also attend Stanford, which is just 10 minutes away from their high school campus. Avis has a well-proportioned build and an athletic, balanced delivery. He shows very good arm speed and throws a fastball in the 90-92 mph range from a three-quarter arm slot. Avis mixes in a 72-74 curveball that shows potential, but needs more consistency an an occasional 83-84 mph changeup. In addition to being a talented pitcher, Avis is also a talented musician. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
40. Hunter Virant, lhp, Camarillo (Calif.) HS
Though Virant has only been pitching seriously for one year, you wouldn't be able to tell by watching him. He has a clean delivery that resembles that of Cliff Lee with the way he sits on a bent back leg at his balance point and with his effortless arm flow. Virant has a 6-foot-3, 175-pound frame with room for added strength. His fastball sits in the 88-92 mph range, but also mixes in an 86-87 mph two-seamer with natural cutting action. Virant also has an array of secondary pitches, including a high-70s slider, a curveball in the low 70s and a 78-79 mph changeup. Virant shows good control of all four pitches, though scouts would like to see the UCLA commit show a little more toughness. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
41. Ty Hensley, rhp, Santa Fe HS, Edmond, Okla.
Hensley comes from a baseball family. His father, Mike, was a second-round pick by the Cardinals in 1988 out of Oklahoma. He spent three years in the minors, but his time was cut short due to arm problems, so he moved on to coaching, spending two seasons at Oral Roberts before spending eight years at Kansas State. The younger Hensley has a big, physical presence on the mound—6-foot-5 and 220 pounds—and it's not hard to envision him becoming a workhorse in the middle of a big league rotation. Hensley shows good body control and an in-line delivery. This summer, his fastball was 91-94 mph and he touched 95. He also throws a quality 12-to-6 curveball between 74-78 mph and flashes a 79-80 mph changeup. His secondary stuff still needs better consistency. Hensley is a hard worker with outstanding maturity and makeup. Like his summer ball teammates, Gavin Cecchini and Stryker Trahan, Hensley is committed to Mississippi. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
42. Nick Williams, of, Ball HS, Galveston, Texas
Williams is an enigma, and the type of player who will be polarizing to scouts—even scouts within the same organization. He's loaded with tools and can put on a show in a workout but is still extremely rough around the edges during games. He shows very good speed, running a 6.47-second 60-yard dash at the Perfect Game National Showcase. He also shows impressive power to all fields, thanks to his lightning-quick bat speed. Williams has very fast hands and stays inside the ball well, but his feet move a lot in his swing, which gives him problems against breaking balls and makes him look silly in some at-bats. Williams is aloof at times during games. He takes poor routes to balls in the outfield and usually slides back into first base feet-first on pickoff throws. His raw tools and explosiveness can't be taught, but he'll have to add some serious polish to succeed at Texas or in the low minors. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
43. Nolan Sanburn, rhp, Arkansas
The Tigers drafted Sanburn as an outfielder in the 34th round of the 2010 draft out of Kokomo (Ind.) High, but it's clear that his future is on the mound. Sanburn pitched well as Arkansas' closer as a freshman and took things up a notch this summer. He can overpower hitters with a fastball that sits in the 91-94 mph range and gets as high as 98. Sanburn was used as a starter this summer to help develop his slider and changeup, and both showed improvement during his 19 innings of work, in which he struck out 24 and walked nine while going 0-1, 2.33. The slider showed flashes of being an above-average pitch in the 81-85 mph range. Sanburn repeats his athletic delivery well and shows a lot of confidence on the mound. Sanburn, a draft-eligible sophomore this year, is slated to remain in the Razorbacks' bullpen this spring, but should get a shot to start in pro ball. —2011 Northwoods League Top 20
44. J.T. Chargois, rhp, Rice
After Chargois showed premium arm strength in the fall and early spring, Rice expected him to be its starting first baseman and a key bullpen arm in 2011. He wound up starting all 63 games and hitting .299, but made just seven appearances off the mound, posting a 13.50 ERA. So Brewster expected to use him primarily as a hitter, but early in the summer the Whitecaps were short on arms, so they asked Chargois to throw a bullpen. "I said, 'Are you kidding me? He's got to pitch,' " Whitecaps coach Tom Myers said. "We put him in a setup role for a week and a half, and he dominated. Then we moved him into the closer role and never looked back. He's got that aggressive mentality—he attacked." Chargois allowed only one run all summer (0.43 ERA), striking out 20 and walking four in 21 innings while racking up seven saves. He went after hitters with a sinking fastball in the 92-96 range and a plus power curveball that ranged from 78-83. During his longest outing—a five-inning stint in a 15-inning game against Harwich—he even started mixing in a serviceable changeup the second time through the order. His delivery has some violence, and he profiles as a reliever all the way, but he has filthy, back-of-the-bullpen stuff. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
45. Andrew Heaney, lhp, Oklahoma State
Heaney showed advanced feel for pitching and good command this summer, prompting one coach to predict that he will be the first player from this list to reach the big leagues. He went 4-3, 3.38 with 46 strikeouts and 14 walks in 45 innings for Falmouth, and he ably held down a starter's workload. Durabilty is the primary concern with Heaney; he needs to add strength to his wiry 6-foot-2, 174-pound frame to prove to scouts that he can hold up pitching every five days over the course of a pro season. Still, scouts regard him as a safe college lefty with solid stuff and good competitiveness. Heaney works mostly in the 88-90 range and bumps 91-92 from a three-quarters arm slot, and he often employs a lower slot against lefties, giving them fits. "He's like the kid who just came in from playground—he'll drop down, change arm angles, throw breaking balls from different speeds," Trundy said. "It's like he's pitching at a Wiffle ball game. He's fun to watch." Because Heaney varies his delivery, he has a tendency to run into one bumpy inning per start, but he has the stuff to get himself out of trouble. He effectively mixes a sharp, quick curveball, a decent cutter and a good changeup with tumbling action down in the zone. He's a hard worker and a selfless teammate. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
46. Josh Conway, rhp, Coastal Carolina
The athletic Conway made 18 starts for the Chanticleers at third base and in the outfield this spring, when injuries left them shorthanded. But even while juggling the added responsibility, he put up a strong sophomore season on the mound, going 8-2, 2.69 as the Saturday starter. He followed that up with a strong Cape season, going 2-0, 1.88 with a 28-10 K-BB mark in 29 innings. Like with Heaney, durability is a concern with the wiry 6-foot-1, 175-pound Conway, but he has a quick arm and a fairly easy delivery for his size. He attacks the strike zone with an 88-93 mph fastball with average life, and his 84-86 slider rates as a solid-average to plus pitch. He also mixes in a solid-average 83-84 changeup with sink and fade. He has a starter's repertoire and command—the only question is whether he will have a starter's durability. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
47. R.J. Alvarez, rhp, Florida Atlantic
Alvarez has worked as a starter at Florida Atlantic and is 9-7, 5.17 in two seasons. He's been much more exciting in the Cape Cod League as areliever the last two summers. In 2011, Alvarez provided impressive setup work in the Cape All-Star Game at Fenway Park; in the eighth inning, he worked around a walk and an error by getting two strikeouts and a flyout. He pumped 95 mph fastballs and got one of his strikeouts on an 82 mph changeup. Alvarez has a lot of effort in his delivery and throws across his body, but the result is a consistent 90-94 mph fastball out of the bullpen with a lot of armside run. Hitters struggle to pick up his pitches, which also include a hard slurve and an effective changeup. —2010 Cape Cod Top 30 Prospects, 2011 College Blog
48. Lex Rutledge, lhp, Samford
The biggest name on Samford's pitching staff is sophomore lefthander Lex Rutledge, a potential first-round pick for the 2012 draft. Rutledge racked up 12 saves and posted a 1.71 ERA as a closer last year, but he struggled early on in a starting role as a sophomore, and Samford coach Casey Dunn eventually moved him back to the bullpen. He was electric as a reliever in 2010, sitting 92-93 and reaching the mid-90s at times, but his heater dialed back to 89-92 as a starter, and he struggled with his command, walking 45 in 63 innings. He was overpowering in relief in the Cape Cod League in 2010, reaching 90-94 mph regularly and showcasing a hard slider. Location was an issue then as well. In high school, Rutledge reached 90 mph early in his senior season and was the state's most notable pop-up guy (he wasn't a showcase player in the past), but he didn't maintain his fast start and failed to sign as a 26th-round pick. —John Manuel (Jan. 2012)
49. Nathan Kirby, lhp, James River HS, Midlothian, Va.
Somewhat overshadowed by the likes of Matt Smoral and Max Fried, Kirby is one of the top lefthanders in the draft class. He has a nice, projectable frame and his fastball ranges from 88-91, touching 92. His changeup has good fade, but his best secondary pitch is a 77-79 curveball with hard downward break. He is committed to Virginia. —Nathan Rode (Jan. 2012)
50. Jesse Winker, of, Olympia HS, Orlando
Teammates with righthander Walker Weickel, Winker is one of the better bats in the 2012 class. He has a sweet swing and generates big power from a strong base. Evaluators are confident in his bat, which will have to carry him since he is likely a first baseman or left fielder down the line. He is a below-average runner and his arm is average at best. He has great makeup and takes every opportunity to soak up as much knowledge as possible. He is committed to Florida and has a brother, Joey, that plays in the Dodgers organization. —Nathan Rode (Jan. 2012)
Staff Report
February 1, 2012
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1. Mark Appel, rhp, Stanford
Appel had both the best present stuff on the college national team and plenty of room to grow as a pitcher. The 6-foot-5, 190-pounder's arm works easily, delivering consistent 92-95 mph fastballs with good life in the strike zone. Hitters can't sit on his fastball because he throws a true slider, and he's working on developing a changeup. "He had the best arm on the team by far," Team USA pitching coach Rob Walton (Oral Roberts) said. "He touched 99 once or twice, with a bunch of 98s. The ceiling on him is unbelievable. He's a Justin Verlander-type guy. His potential is unreal. He's as good as anyone I've seen in a while." Appel did have the highest ERA on the team (5.00), in large part because he surrendered a grand slam against Japan in his lone start. Like Verlander, he hasn't dominated in college as much as his stuff should dictate, allowing 114 hits and striking out just 86 in 110 innings at Stanford last spring. Appel throws strikes but leaves his pitches over the plate and up in the zone too often, and he'll be nearly untouchable once he refines his command. —2011 Team USA Top 20
2. Lucas Giolito, rhp, Harvard-Westlake HS, Studio City, Calif.
Giolito has everything scouts look for in a high school pitching prospect. He already has the frame and physicality of a big leaguer, standing 6-foot-6, 230 pounds with broad shoulders, strong legs and a trim core. Giolito has a power arsenal that includes a fastball that sat in the low-mid 90s this summer and has been into the upper 90s this fall. He throws the pitch to both sides of the plate and is not afraid to own the inner half. His curveball is a hammer in the 81-83 mph range with tight rotation and late break. He also mixes in an occasional changeup in the 83-84 mph range with good movement. Giolito's stuff looks even faster because his calm, effortless delivery lulls hitters to sleep. If you want to nitpick, his tempo could be sped up a little bit and he could mix in his changeup a little more. Giolito is a workout machine who adheres to an impressive longtoss routine and has been practicing yoga this winter. He is also young for his class and won't turn 18 until just after the signing deadline. He is a quality student and is committed to UCLA. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
3. Byron Buxton, of, Appling County HS, Baxley, Ga.
Buxton, who also plays quarterback for his high school football team, is a natural athlete who makes things look easy between the lines. Buxton stands 6-foot-2 and 170 pounds. He has a lean frame with a trim waist and shows plenty of speed to handle center field. At the East Coast Pro Showcase, Buxton turned in a 6.50-second 60-yard dash, which grades out as 70 speed on the 20-80 scouting scale. Buxton's arm would also be an asset in the outfield, as he's been clocked in the low 90s off the mound. Buxton has an open setup at the plate and exhibits fluid hitting mechanics. He shows good balance in his short swing, excellent bat speed and a knack for centering the ball—all things necessary to hit for a high average. And there's power potential too—which he showed off by finishing second in the Under Armour game home run derby—with more to come as he continues to fill out and mature physically. His explosive athleticism and five-tool potential has already led some scouts to compare the Georgia commit to a hybrid of the Upton brothers. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
4. Deven Marrero, ss, Arizona State
Marrero started his summer with Team USA (where he ranked as the No. 2 prospect behind Appel), then returned to Cotuit for 12 games, hitting .326 in 46 at-bats. His summer was cut short when he was hit by a pitch in the left hand and suffered a deep bruise. Marrero is a "complete player," as one scouting director called him, with at least average tools across the board and a grinder mentality. His simple swing, good hand-eye coordination, control of the strike zone and all-fields approach should make him a slightly above-average hitter, and he has a chance to grow into average power, though he's more of a doubles hitter presently. Marrero's slightly above-average speed plays up because of his excellent instincts on the basepaths. But he stands out most for his defense. He reads balls very well off the bat, and his smooth actions and plus arm will keep him at shortstop throughout his career, though his focus sometimes drifts, leading to errors. "He's the best defensive player I've ever seen at 19, 20 years of age," Cotuit coach Mike Roberts said. "Walt Weiss was pretty darn good, but this young man—I've never seen anybody who could get his feet in the right position almost all the time. If for any reason he doesn't get his feet in the right position, he has the ability to still get his hands in the right place, and understand the speed of the runner. I think he's Omar Vizquel at 20." —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
5. Mike Zunino, c, Florida
The Southeastern Conference player of the year, Zunino was a beast against elite SEC competition. In conference games, he led the league in slugging (.750), runs (36), RBIs (33) and doubles (14) and ranked second in batting (.422), OBP (.477) and homers (eight). "Certain guys are 2-for-16 and you know it, but other guys, it's like, I didn't even know that," O'Sullivan said. "It's just quality at-bats, presence in the box. He never gives in, he's going to battle. He's got really good disposition . . . He's always been strong. He's 6-2, 220 pounds, he's put together well. I went back and told the guys at the beginning of the year when he started hitting well, I said, 'The last month of the season last year, he was our best hitter.' He hit more balls hard than anybody in our lineup, and he carried it over into this year. Like most good hitters, he tries to use the middle of the field. He doesn't get pull happy. That's what got him going last year: He used both sides of the field. He likes to pull the ball like most hitters, but when he learned to stay back and see the breaking ball better, not chase the one down, that really helped him." Zunino is also a standout defender—he has a .998 fielding percentage and has thrown out about a third of opposing basestealers. His all-around package makes him a possible first-round pick in the 2012 draft. "I think Mike's special behind the plate," O'Sullivan said. "He throws good, blocks good, receives well, but he's just got good leadership skills, and he knows how to handle a staff . . . I think he's just a baseball player." —May 16, 2011 Three Strikes Blog Post (Aaron Fitt)
6. Kevin Gausman, rhp, Louisiana State
Gausman's homestate Rockies considered drafting him in the first round two years ago out of high school, and he's expected to go that high as a draft-eligible sophomore next year. Tall and slender at 6-foot-4, 185 pounds, he shows the potential for three plus pitches. Gausman features armside run and sink on his 92-96 mph fastball, though his tendency to tilt his shoulder in his delivery affects his ability to work the corners and pitch down in the zone. He throws both a curveball and slider, which both have their moments. His changeup is a weapon because he sells it so well with his arm speed, and he added more depth to it this summer. —2011 Team USA Top 20
7. Chris Beck, rhp, Georgia Southern
Beck was a key piece of Georgia Southern's banner recruiting class in 2009, and after going 2-4, 8.31 as a freshman, he turned a corner as a sophomore, going 9-5, 3.23 with 109 strikeouts in 103 innings. He kept that momentum going into the summer, posting a 2.12 ERA and ranking fifth in the Cape League with 41 strikeouts in 51 innings. Physical and durable at 6-foot-3, 220 pounds, Beck attacks hitters with a 91-94 mph fastball that tops out at 96 on occasion. His power breaking ball—which he throws at 81-84 mph with some bite to it—is between a curveball and a slider, but it has a chance to be a plus pitch if he can learn to repeat it more consistently. He also knows how to use his fading, sinking 83-84 changeup, giving him a chance for three plus pitches in time. Beck is generally around the strike zone, but his control is ahead of his command at this stage. Still, his easy arm action and fairly clean delivery lead scouts to believe he'll be able to improve his command as he matures. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
8. Brian Johnson, lhp/1b, Florida
After helping Florida reach the CWS Finals in June, Johnson started his summer with Team USA, where he was the national team's top power hitter during his short stint. He hit .280 with two long balls in 50 at-bats for Y-D, continuing to flash mammoth power potential from the left side, while also posting a 19-4 strikeout-walk mark in 15 innings on the mound. Johnson is the top two-way talent for the 2012 draft, a player with legitimate professional potential with the bat and off the mound. Scouts are divided about where he fits best, although three scouting directors who spent extensive time in the Cape all said they liked him a bit better as a pitcher. Johnson has a workhorse build at 6-foot-4, 227 pounds, and his delivery is clean and easy. At his best, he pitches with a solid-average fastball that touches 94, but he was just 87-90 this summer at the end of a long season. He has advanced feel for his entire three-pitch repertoire, which also includes a solid-average breaking ball with good depth and a quality changeup. At the plate, Johnson has good balance and can punish mistakes up in the zone, and some scouts think he has a good feel for hitting, but others aren't sold on his ability to make adjustments. Though he's a good athlete, he's a below-average runner who will be tied to first base as a position player, but his plus to plus-plus power potential should carry him regardless. Johnson was Team USA's most effective reliever (0.63 ERA) in 2010, but this time around he pitched only sparingly and stood out more with his bat after arriving late from the College World Series. Though he played just four games, he led the squad with three homers after hitting just five in the spring. Team USA assistant Rob Walton compared him to Ryan Howard. The 6-foot-3, 225-pounder has plenty of strength and makes consistent hard contact to all fields. He'll need to improve defensively at first base.An AL crosschecker preferred Johnson on the mound, however. He has the build to be a workhorse starter and fills the strike zone with 90-93 mph fastballs. His short slider can be a plus pitch at times but needs more bite, and he also has a decent changeup. —Team USA Top 20/Cape Cod Top 30
9. Victor Roache, of, Georgia Southern
An unrefined Michigan prep product, Roache had an up-and-down freshman year at Georgia Southern, then exploded for 30 home runs with the less-potent BBCOR bats as a sophomore—the most homers by a Division I player since 2003. He got off to a torrid start in the Cape, hitting .397/.529/.667 with five homers and just 13 strikeouts through his first 25 games, but he struggled mightily in his final 18 games, hitting .183 with one homer and 31 strikeouts. During his funk, Roache saw a steady diet of breaking balls, which he struggled to recognize and repeatedly chased out of the zone. But scouts who saw Roache in the first half of the summer came away satisfied with his improving approach and dazzled by his well above-average raw power from the right side. The muscular 6-foot-1, 225-pounder has a quick, compact swing, though some scouts questioned his looseness. He split time between DH and the corner outfield spots for Cotuit, which was loaded with athletes in the outfield, but his fringe-average speed and average arm should make him an adequate defender. Roache comes with some risk, but his plate approach has already come a long way since he arrived in college, and if it continues to improve he could blossom into a dangerous big league slugger down the road. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
10. David Dahl, of, Oak Mountain HS, Birmingham
With his beautiful lefthanded stroke and five-tool potential, Dahl earned comparisons to Colby Rasmus this summer. He shows excellent balance with a wide stance and his bat speed is evident in his fluid, compact swing. He consistently squares the ball up and projects to hit for both average and power. Dahl has a keen eye at the plate, showing good patience in his at-bats and quiet takes on pitches narrowly out of the strike zone. He's an above-average runner who is smart on the bases, though he's not a burner and it's possible he may wind up fitting better in a corner outfield spot, but he'll at least get the chance to stick in center field. Right field would be an option, as he has a strong arm. Dahl is committed to Auburn. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
11. Walker Weickel, rhp, Olympia HS, Orlando
With a long and lanky 6-foot-6, 200-pound frame, Weickel offers plenty of projection and his stuff is already very good. He uses a full windup and takes advantage of his height on the mound, throwing his fastball downhill in the 89-92 mph range and toping out at 95. Weickel shows good body control and fills up the strike zone with his fastball. While he usually throws the pitch with steep downward plane, it can sometimes flatten out on him, and that's when it becomes hittable. Weickel's curveball showed improvement this summer, going from a loopy 68-70 mph offering to a tighter, firmer pitch in the 73-75 mph range with 12—to-6 break and good depth. The Miami recruit also mixes in a changeup between 80-81 mph. Weickel shows very good maturity and was Team USA's ace on the mound during its gold-medal run in the 2011 COPABE Pan Am Championships, going 3-0, 0.46 with 23 strikeouts and four walks over 20 innings. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
12. Stryker Trahan, c, Acadiana HS, Lafayette, La.
At 6-foot-1 and 220 pounds, Trahan is built like a fullback, but runs like a tailback. Deceptively fast for his size, Trahan offers solid-average speed—exceptional for a catcher. He ran a 6.54-second 60-yard dash at the Perfect Game National Showcase, turned in a 6.80 time at Tournament of Stars and then clocked a 7.06 at East Coast Pro. He also gets out of the box quickly, generally posting home-first times in the 4.15 to 4.25 second range. The son of two former catchers who is named after Burt Reynolds' character in the show "B.L. Stryker," Trahan was born to catch. In addition to his strong build, he has massive, strong hands that help him on both offense and defense. He's a quality receiver with average arm strength. A lefthanded hitter, Trahan hits from a relaxed, narrow stance. He shows good rhythm at the plate and is a very selective hitter. Trahan has a natural uphill bat path with a high finish that gives him good loft and power potential. He shows above-average bat speed and the ball explodes off his bat. It's a rare combination of tools for a catcher, which is why the Mississippi commit is expected to be a first round pick in June. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
13. Matthew Smoral, lhp, Solon (Ohio) HS
Smoral has an imposing presence on the mound, standing 6-foot-8 and 225 pounds. His height along with his low three-quarter arm slot from the left side makes him tough to pick up. His stuff doesn't make it any easier for hitters. Smoral throws a fastball in the 89-92 mph range and tops out at 94. Smoral also throws a slider in the 81-84 mph range and a changeup with similar velocity. His low arm slot causes him to sometimes get around his slider, but when he stays on top of it, it's a tight pitch with late break. Like many big pitchers, Smoral is still growing into his frame and learning how to control his delivery. He currently lands a little open and a little stiff, sometimes stumbling off the mound in his follow through. This causes his control to come and go, but when he's on, his stuff is dominating. Smoral has the athleticism to smooth things out. His father, Steve, was a basketball player at North Carolina State, but Matt is committed to North Carolina. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
14. Albert Almora, of, Mater Academy, Hialeah Gardens, Fla.
Almora is USA Baseball's most decorated alumnus, winning gold medals with the 2007 and 2008 14-and-under teams, the 2009 and 2010 16U team and the 2010 and 2011 18U teams. With all that big-game experience, it's no wonder that Almora is one of the most polished players in this year's class. Scouts have to project on his power, but Almora has above-average tools across the board, with stellar defense in center field and a knack for pure hitting standing out the most. Everything comes easy to Almora, velocity doesn't faze him and he plays with a lot of energy. Almora is a cousin of Orioles prospect Manny Machado and is committed to Miami. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
15. Max Fried, lhp, Harvard-Westlake HS, Studio City, Calif.
When Fried's Montclair College Prep eliminated its storied athletic program, Fried transferred to Harvard-Westlake to join righthander Lucas Giolito to become the best prep pitching duo in the country. Fried has prototypical projection in his lanky 6-foot-4, 170-pound frame. He has long arms and a free and easy delivery. He's also an above-average athlete who fills up the strike zone with all of his pitches. His fastball sits in the 88-92 mph range with good armside run and his 73-75 mph curveball is one of the best in the country. Fried can get a little long to the plate, but does vary his looks with runners on base, incorporating a slide step when necessary. He also has an excellent pickoff move. Like Giolito, Fried is also committed to UCLA. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
16. Gavin Cecchini, ss, Barbe HS, Lake Charles, La.
Gavin is the younger brother of Red Sox third base prospect Garin, and the two brothers' parents are both coaches at Barbe High, as well as for the SE Texas Sun Devils travel team. Gavin is leaner than his brother, with a 6-foot-2, 185-pound frame. The increased mobility gives him a legitimate chance to stay at shortstop, and he's the best all-around prospect at the position in this year's high school class. Cecchini shows good range at shortstop with above-average instincts, fluid fielding mechanics and a strong arm. He's a leader on the field who always plays hard and goes about the game the right way. Cecchini is an above-average runner and is smart on the bases. At the plate, Gavin is also different from his brother, as he hits righthanded. He hits everything on the screws and hits the ball hard to all fields. While Cecchini has a good eye at the plate, he's up there to hit and is often aggressive early in the count. Cecchini has strength in his wrists and will hit for power as he continues to get stronger. One of the most impressive batting practice home runs on the showcase circuit this summer was Cecchini's a mammoth shot during the workout day before the Under Armour game, a 400-plus foot bomb that bounced off the gym beyond the left field wall at Illinois-Chicago's campus. Along with his close friend Stryker Trahan, Cecchini is committed to Mississippi. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
17. Carlos Correa, ss, Puerto Rico Baseball Academy, Gurabo, P.R.
The second-youngest player in Baseball America's High School Top 100, Correa won't turn 18 until September after the signing deadline. That makes his physical build and present tools even more impressive. Correa has a pro body at 6-foot-4 and 190 pounds with a high waist and room to fill out. Despite his large frame, he's light on his feet and shows fluid actions at shortstop with soft hands and above-average arm strength. Correa is a little raw at the plate and is currently a free swinger, but has some strength and hits the ball hard when he makes contact. He's an above-average runner now but may slow down as he fills out. Being a first-round pick this June could keep him away from his Miami commitment. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
18. Stephen Piscotty, 3b, Stanford
Many Pacific-10 Conference coaches thought Piscotty was the best hitter in their league this spring, when he batted .364/.423/.471 and helped lead Stanford to super regionals. He hit .349 in 106 at-bats this summer to win the Cape League batting title on the final day of the season, edging Dane Phillips by percentage points. "He's very consistent—I compare him to (former Cape Leaguer and current big leaguer) Garrett Atkins," Y-D coach Scott Pickler said. "He hit in the middle of the order all year, and he only will get better when he puts on his man strength. I thought he was one of the more consistent hitters in the league—he handled the change, handled the breaking ball, handled the fastball on both sides of the plate. Right now it's a gap-to-gap approach, but I think there will be some power in there if he uses his legs a little more." Piscotty stung hard line drives to all fields in all four of his at-bats in the Cape League all-star game, a performance that typified his all-fields approach and showcased his smooth righthanded swing. Scouts expect him to develop average or slightly better power as he grows into his 6-foot-3, 195-pound frame. He played both corner infield spots and in the outfield for Y-D, and scouts are divided about his ability to stick at third base down the road, but the consensus is that his actions and range are good enough to at least give him a shot there. He has a strong arm and even flashed 93-94 mph gas in five relief appearances for Y-D. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
19. Jake Barrett, rhp, Arizona State
Barrett was a third-round pick of the Blue Jays in 2009 and did not sign. After working as a reliever as a freshman, he made 14 starts as a sophomore, going 7-4, 4.14. He's a physical workhorse at 6-foot-3, 230 pounds and could either wind up as a front-rotation starter with more polish or wind up in the bullpen. Scouts always like power arms, and Barrett works comfortably in the 93-96 mph range with his fastball. Moreover, he's improved his breaking ball since his high school days, flashing a quality slider that he can throw for strikes. He also employs a splitter as a swing-and-miss pitch. Barrett's upside is tantalizing, but he has rough edges to smooth out. —John Manuel (Jan. 2012)
20. Lance McCullers Jr., rhp, Jesuit HS, Tampa
McCullers has been known as one of the top prospects in this class for a few years thanks to the fact that he's always shown premium arm strength and has a father with the same name who pitched in the big leagues for seven seasons. At 6-foot-2 and 195 pounds, McCullers has a similar build to his dad when he played. He also has similar stuff, including a fastball that sits in the 93-96 mph range and a nasty slider with hard and late break in the 83-87 mph range. McCullers also mixes in a good changeup and a curveball. While he'll likely get a chance to start as a pro, he has some effort in his delivery, very limited experience on the mound and sometimes has bouts with wildness that could lead to a relief role. McCullers is committed to Florida. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
21. Joey Gallo, 3b/rhp, Bishop Gorman HS, Las Vegas
Gallo hit 25 home runs last year for Bishop Gorman High and has some of the most impressive power in this year's class. That towering power was on full display when Gallo hit the 10th-longest home run in Petco Park history at the Perfect Game All-America Game. Gallo's downside is that he swings and misses a lot and, though he plays third base in high school, will probably move to first base as a pro. The move won't be for a lack of arm strength. He also sees time on the mound and sits in the 88-92 mph range, topping out at 95. Gallo will put his talent on display at the USA Baseball/Baseball America National High School Invitational this March and he is committed to Louisiana State. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
22. Marcus Stroman, rhp, Duke
Stroman may have been the smallest player on the college national team at 5-foot-9 and 185 pounds, but he was also its most dynamic. He struck out 17 and allowed just two baserunners (no hits) in eight innings with Team USA, continuing to draw Tom Gordon comparisons that started last summer in the Cape Cod League. A quick-twitch athlete who is both a starting pitcher and shortstop at Duke, Stroman generates quality arm speed. As a reliever, he works at 93-96 mph with his fastball and can throw it by hitters up in the zone. He also can embarrass lefties and righties alike with a nasty slider he commands to both sides of the plate. "He's so much fun to watch," said Eric Campbell, USA Baseball's general manager of national teams. "He was our most electric guy. When he came into a game to pitch for us, it was the most exciting thing to happen with our college national team this summer. There was a buzz about him." —2011 Team USA Top 20
23. Michael Wacha, rhp, Texas A&M
After throwing 130 innings in the spring and leading Texas A&M to the College World Series, Wacha still had enough left in the tank to allow just one earned run in two starts for Team USA. He relies on his changeup and his command, both of which were as good as anyone's on the national team. Wacha uses his 6-foot-6, 195-pound frame to throw his pitches on a steep downhill plane. His straight changeup is more notable for its deception than its action, and he sets it up by locating his 90-93 mph fastball. His ultimate ceiling depends on whether he can come up with a solid breaking ball, and he made progress with a cutter/slider this summer. —2011 Team USA Top 20
24. Travis Jankowski, of, Stony Brook
After hitting .355 with 30 steals in 34 tries during his breakout sophomore year at Stony Brook, Jankowski exploded onto the prospect landscape this summer, hitting .329 with 15 steals and a league-best seven triples to win the Cape's MVP award. "He was one of the best players in the Cape," the AL scouting director said. "He's a guy that jumped out. He took really good at-bats, had really good barrel control, the ability to stay behind the ball and drive the ball. He could run, had a little bit of pop and a good-looking body." The 6-foot-2, 190-pound Jankowski is a live athlete with plus speed that plays on the basepaths and in center field, where he has good instincts, excellent range and an average arm. His swing is a bit uphill, but he still showed a knack for squaring up a lot of hard line drives and sharp grounders. He made enough adjustments to hold his own against premium stuff, and he flashed a bit of pull power during batting practice, though he figures to have below-average power. He doesn't give away at-bats and could be a plus hitter down the road, particularly if he can flatten out his swing just a bit. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
25. Josh Elander, c, Texas Christian
Elander started just 38 games behind the plate in his first two seasons at Texas Christian, but he became Team USA's regular catcher when Florida catcher Michael Zunino opted not to join the team after the Gators made it to the finals of the College World Series. The 6-foot-1, 215-pound righthanded hitter showed the second-best pop on the team behind Johnson, driving the ball to all fields. Elander also got the job done defensively, receiving and blocking well and combating the running game with an average arm and quick release. "He has close to Johnson's power and matched him in batting practice." head coach Tim Jamieson (Missouri) said. "We thought he'd be the backup to Zunino but he wound up being more than that and did a great job with out staff. He did it all well." —2011 Team USA Top 20
26. Richie Shaffer, 3b/1b, Clemson
Shaffer has blasted 20 home runs during his first two seasons at Clemson, and he continued to show off his plus righthanded power potential in the Cape, tying for second in the league with six homers and winning the home run derby at Fenway Park prior to the CCBL all-star game. Some scouts thought Shaffer was a better power-hitting prospect than Roache, saying Shaffer has the looser swing and better bat speed. At 6-foot-3, 205 pounds, Shaffer's swing is long-levered, and he can be vulnerable on the inner half, but he came on strong this summer once he started driving the ball to the opposite field more often. "He's a hard worker, and he's coachable," Chatham coach John Schiffner said. "The first part of the summer he really was spinning off the ball—I don't know if it was just because he wanted to show the power. The second half it really clicked for him. He's got a very good arm—you don't see it much at first base—and for a big kid he runs well. And he's got ungodly power." Shaffer split time between third and first for the Anglers, but his feet don't work great at the hot corner, and he fits best at first, despite his plus arm. He'll need to work on his concentration and footwork defensively. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
27. Trey Williams, 3b, Valencia HS, Santa Clarita, Calif.
Williams has been a hot name for the 2012 draft for a while for similar reasons to McCullers: special talent and a big league dad. Williams was a shortstop early in his high school career, but has filled out and now plays third base. His tools profile at the hot corner. He has tremendous strength and bat speed, though he can sometimes look overmatched against quality breaking balls. His line-drive home run to the right-center gap off of a 90 mph fastball at the Perfect Game National Showcase stands out as one of the most impressive round-trippers on the summer circuit. Defensively, Williams is a good athlete with solid arm strength. He is an average runner. A Pepperdine commit, Williams missed several other showcases this summer retaking classes in summer school. Williams' dad, Eddie, was the fourth-overall pick in the 1983 draft and had a 20-year professional career, with 10 of those years spent in the big leagues. While Trey doesn't project to go that high, he certainly could become another first-rounder. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
28. Kyle Zimmer, rhp, San Francisco
After throwing just five innings as a freshman in 2011, Zimmer blossomed into San Francisco's ace down the stretch in 2011, capped by a four-hit, 11-strikeout shutout against UCLA to beat Gerrit Cole in regionals. He followed up his spring with a solid Cape season, posting a 3.38 ERA and a 37-14 K-BB mark in 48 innings. The 6-foot-3, 210-pound Zimmer is a power pitcher with a fastball that sits comfortably at 92-94 and touches 95. His curveball can be a hammer in the low 80s with sharp tilt, but sometimes he leaves it up in the zone when he should bury it. Still, it projects as a plus pitch when he learns to stay on top of it more consistently. He made progress with his changeup this summer, but it still has a ways to go. "He had plenty of arm and had a hard curveball—a really good curveball," a second NL scouting director said. "He had a good sense what he was going, and was aggressive. The arm and delivery work—it's not an effort deal—and it looks like he'll be a starter. It was a pretty impressive package." —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
29. Kenny Diekroeger, ss, Stanford
Diekroeger instantly became one of the best incoming freshmen in the country when he spurned Tampa Bay, which had drafted him in the second round in 2009, in favor of the Cardinal. In high school, he emerged as a major prospect by posting an 85.96 score on the Nike SPARQ athletics test during the 2008 Area Code Games, including a nearly 35-inch vertical leap. He largely lived up to the hype as a freshman, leading Stanford in hitting with a .356/.391/.491 line in 216 at-bats, on his way to garnering first-team freshman All-America honors. His talent was on display in the summer of 2010, as New England Collegiate League coaches almost unanimously chose Diekroeger as the circuit's best pro prospect after he hit .324/.354/.446 in 139 at-bats with the Newport Gulls. A physical 6-foot-2, 200 pounder, Diekroeger showed gap-to-gap power to go along with advanced plate discipline and good, quick hands that made it hard for pitchers to fool him. After playing primarily third base at Stanford as a freshman, Diekroeger split his time between shortstop and third base with the Gulls, and some coaches weren't convinced he could stick at shortstop. He has average speed and range to go along with good infield actions and a strong arm. There were questions about his maturity and work ethic down the stretch and he was even benched for part of the postseason, during which he managed only one hit in 15 at-bats. But his athleticism, bat speed and approach suggest he has a bright future as an offensive shortstop or third baseman down the road. Diekroger struggled as a sophomore for Stanford with just 11 extra-base hits with the BBCOR bats, then didn't play during the summer, instead working out on campus. Diekroeger was being challenged by Lonnie Kauppila for the shortstop job as a junior and could move to second base. —John Manuel (Jan. 2012)
30. Tyler Naquin, of, Texas A&M
Naquin was a catalyst for both Texas A&M's College World Series squad and Team USA, though scouts are still trying to determine if he's going to be a big league regular or more of a tweener. He has a good approach, lets pitches travel deep and has some bat speed and ability to impart backspin on the ball. But he also fouls off too many hittable pitches, and the lefthanded hitter is going to have to add strength to his 6-foot-2, 175-pound frame in order to profile as a right fielder. His bat might fit better in center field, but he hasn't played their much because the Aggies have speedster Krey Bratsen and the U.S. national team had Lorenzen. Naquin might have the speed and instincts to handle center, and his well above-average arm is definitely suited for right. —2011 Team USA Top 20
31. Adam Brett Walker, of/1b, Jacksonville
Walker, the son of a former Minnesota Vikings running back of the same name, ranked as the top prospect in the Great Lakes League a year ago, and he captured second-team All-America honors this spring after hitting .409/.486/.682 with 13 homers, 75 RBIs and 14 steals. But Walker struggled against premier pitching this summer, hitting just .216/.269/.336 with four homers and a ghastly 8-56 BB-K mark in 134 at-bats. Walker is a physical specimen at 6-foot-5, 225 pounds, and scouting directors agreed that he had as much raw power as any player in the Cape, rating it as a 70 or 80 tool on the 20-80 scouting scale. "When he figures it out—if he does—it's going to be really special," Hyannis coach Chad Gassman said. "He'll put on a show in BP, and it barely looks like he's swinging. He's like a three-tool guy; the hit tool's got to come, and the arm is fringy, but he can run really well for his size, and he can defend it at first or in right field." Scouts agree that Walker is athletic enough to handle an outfield spot, and if he hits enough to unlock his massive righthanded power potential, he could be an impact big leaguer. He struggled against better fastballs from the waist up this summer, and he simply could not lay off breaking balls out of the zone. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
32. Luke Sims, rhp, Brookwood HS, Snellville, Ga.
Sims has a nice, athletic frame at 6-foot-2 and 195 pounds. His athleticism leads to a balanced delivery and he uses his strong legs well. He gets good angle on his 90-93 mph fastball that tops out at 95 and the pitch has good life. He's not afraid to pitch inside and throws a lot of strikes. Sims also spins one of the best curveballs in the class, a 74-77 mph downer with sharp, late break and mixes in a 82-84 mph changeup, giving him the chance for three plus pitches. Sims' Brookwood team will participate in USA Baseball's inaugural National High School Invitational, presented by Baseball America. He is committed to Clemson. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
33. Duane Underwood, rhp, Pope HS, Marietta, Ga.
Underwood has a solid pitcher's frame, standing 6-foot-2 and 205 pounds, and the stuff to match. His fastball sits in the 92-94 mph range and he's touched 95. His curveball is solid average now in the 73-75 mph range and could be a plus pitch someday. He throws a straight changeup occasionally, but mostly works with his fastball-curveball combination. Underwood works quickly and he has a smooth, easy delivery. He throws on a good downward angle with a quick arm, but there are still a few things to work on. He stabs and sweeps in the back of his arm swing and has a stiff, closed landing. Underwood's youth—he won't turn 18 until after the signing deadline—and his loose athleticism should allow him to smooth things out. He is committed to Georgia. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
34. Rio Ruiz, 3b/rhp, Bishop Amat HS, La Puente, Calif.
Ruiz is a physical third baseman with big hands and present strength. He has a knack for making good contact and figures to develop good power with his frame. He won't be a Gold Glove candidate at third base, but can hold the position down. If he does end up needing to switch positions, he would fit in right field with his plus arm. He dabbles in pitching and sits 90-93 mph with a nasty low-80s slider. He is committed to Southern California. He is a star quarterback as well and would probably get a chance to play as a safety or defensive back for the Trojans if he makes it to school. —Nathan Rode (Jan. 2012)
35. Branden Kline, rhp, Virginia
Kline didn't sign despite being the Red Sox's sixth-round pick in 2009 out of high school. He was the closer for Virginia's 2011 College World Series team, going 4-1, 1.88 with 56 strikeouts in 43 innings. He's expected to move into the rotation as a junior. Kline mostly used his 90-93 mph fastball and power slider as a closer but will also incorporate a curveball and changeup in a starting role. "If you told me draw a 6-foot-3 righthanded pitcher, I'd probably draw his body. He's tall, he's lean, he's athletic, he's got a power arm. He's what you want." —John Manuel (Jan. 2012)
36. C.J. Hinojosa, ss, Klein Collins HS, Spring, Texas
Hinojosa planned to graduate high school early, skipping the draft all together to enroll early at Texas, but he couldn't finish all the classes he needed to take. With that not working out, it will be interesting to see what his signability is like this summer. On talent, he's one of the most intriguing players in the class. While he's not a lock to stay at shortstop, Hinojosa shows smooth actions, quick hands and solid arm strength. He's a solid-average runner. At the plate, he drives the ball to all field with authority. He has no problem with velocity, shows great plate coverage and a strong understanding of the strike zone. Hinojosa has very good bat speed and surprising pull power for his 5-foot-11, 185-pound size. He's also a gamer on the field and stands out for his baseball I.Q. and toughness. Hinojosa is young for the class and won't turn 18 until July 15. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
37. Addison Russell, ss, Pace (Fla.) HS
Russell was one of two players to play in the Under Armour All-America Game as an underclassman in 2010 (with the other being Lance McCullers). Russell has explosive athleticism and was seen doing backflips on the field before a game at USA Baseball's Tournament of Stars. Russell is a streaky hitter, but hit well for Team USA in November, hitting .364/.481/.614 with four doubles, two triples and a home run. Russell's swing can sometimes get a long and draws comparisons to Juan Uribe. He has some noise to his swing and swings out of his shoes at times, but Russell frequently hits the ball on the screws and shows impressive power, especially to his pull side. Defensively, Russell shows quick hands at shortstop, but not the quickest feet. He has a thicker build and is just an average runner, meaning he may be better suited at third base or second base. He has choppy actions, but the ball always sticks in his glove and he has above-average arm strength. Russell is committed to Auburn. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
38. Courtney Hawkins, of/rhp, Carroll HS, Corpus Christi, Texas
Few players improved their stock this summer as much as Hawkins. He looked overmatched early in the summer, but really found his groove later on and was one of only two players to hit a home run at the Area Code Games in spacious Blair Field. Hawkins has a muscular, 6-foot-3, 215-pound frame. He has some things to smooth out at the plate—he has a lot of pre-swing movement and changes his eye level a lot during his swing—but keeps his nose on the ball and his strong wrists and forearms give him the ability to drive the ball to all fields. Hawkins has a very aggressive approach at the plate and struggles against offspeed, but showed the ability to turn around velocity. Hawkins is an above-average runner now and fits best defensively in right field with his strong arm. He also pitches and throws in the 88-91 mph range, but struggles to control his offspeed offerings. Hawkins' high school team will play in the USA/Baseball America National High School Invitational this spring and he is committed to Texas. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
39. Freddy Avis, rhp, Menlo School, Atherton, Calif.
Avis attends the same high school that produced Stanford infielder Kenny Diekroeger and is set to also attend Stanford, which is just 10 minutes away from their high school campus. Avis has a well-proportioned build and an athletic, balanced delivery. He shows very good arm speed and throws a fastball in the 90-92 mph range from a three-quarter arm slot. Avis mixes in a 72-74 curveball that shows potential, but needs more consistency an an occasional 83-84 mph changeup. In addition to being a talented pitcher, Avis is also a talented musician. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
40. Hunter Virant, lhp, Camarillo (Calif.) HS
Though Virant has only been pitching seriously for one year, you wouldn't be able to tell by watching him. He has a clean delivery that resembles that of Cliff Lee with the way he sits on a bent back leg at his balance point and with his effortless arm flow. Virant has a 6-foot-3, 175-pound frame with room for added strength. His fastball sits in the 88-92 mph range, but also mixes in an 86-87 mph two-seamer with natural cutting action. Virant also has an array of secondary pitches, including a high-70s slider, a curveball in the low 70s and a 78-79 mph changeup. Virant shows good control of all four pitches, though scouts would like to see the UCLA commit show a little more toughness. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
41. Ty Hensley, rhp, Santa Fe HS, Edmond, Okla.
Hensley comes from a baseball family. His father, Mike, was a second-round pick by the Cardinals in 1988 out of Oklahoma. He spent three years in the minors, but his time was cut short due to arm problems, so he moved on to coaching, spending two seasons at Oral Roberts before spending eight years at Kansas State. The younger Hensley has a big, physical presence on the mound—6-foot-5 and 220 pounds—and it's not hard to envision him becoming a workhorse in the middle of a big league rotation. Hensley shows good body control and an in-line delivery. This summer, his fastball was 91-94 mph and he touched 95. He also throws a quality 12-to-6 curveball between 74-78 mph and flashes a 79-80 mph changeup. His secondary stuff still needs better consistency. Hensley is a hard worker with outstanding maturity and makeup. Like his summer ball teammates, Gavin Cecchini and Stryker Trahan, Hensley is committed to Mississippi. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
42. Nick Williams, of, Ball HS, Galveston, Texas
Williams is an enigma, and the type of player who will be polarizing to scouts—even scouts within the same organization. He's loaded with tools and can put on a show in a workout but is still extremely rough around the edges during games. He shows very good speed, running a 6.47-second 60-yard dash at the Perfect Game National Showcase. He also shows impressive power to all fields, thanks to his lightning-quick bat speed. Williams has very fast hands and stays inside the ball well, but his feet move a lot in his swing, which gives him problems against breaking balls and makes him look silly in some at-bats. Williams is aloof at times during games. He takes poor routes to balls in the outfield and usually slides back into first base feet-first on pickoff throws. His raw tools and explosiveness can't be taught, but he'll have to add some serious polish to succeed at Texas or in the low minors. —Conor Glassey (Jan. 2012)
43. Nolan Sanburn, rhp, Arkansas
The Tigers drafted Sanburn as an outfielder in the 34th round of the 2010 draft out of Kokomo (Ind.) High, but it's clear that his future is on the mound. Sanburn pitched well as Arkansas' closer as a freshman and took things up a notch this summer. He can overpower hitters with a fastball that sits in the 91-94 mph range and gets as high as 98. Sanburn was used as a starter this summer to help develop his slider and changeup, and both showed improvement during his 19 innings of work, in which he struck out 24 and walked nine while going 0-1, 2.33. The slider showed flashes of being an above-average pitch in the 81-85 mph range. Sanburn repeats his athletic delivery well and shows a lot of confidence on the mound. Sanburn, a draft-eligible sophomore this year, is slated to remain in the Razorbacks' bullpen this spring, but should get a shot to start in pro ball. —2011 Northwoods League Top 20
44. J.T. Chargois, rhp, Rice
After Chargois showed premium arm strength in the fall and early spring, Rice expected him to be its starting first baseman and a key bullpen arm in 2011. He wound up starting all 63 games and hitting .299, but made just seven appearances off the mound, posting a 13.50 ERA. So Brewster expected to use him primarily as a hitter, but early in the summer the Whitecaps were short on arms, so they asked Chargois to throw a bullpen. "I said, 'Are you kidding me? He's got to pitch,' " Whitecaps coach Tom Myers said. "We put him in a setup role for a week and a half, and he dominated. Then we moved him into the closer role and never looked back. He's got that aggressive mentality—he attacked." Chargois allowed only one run all summer (0.43 ERA), striking out 20 and walking four in 21 innings while racking up seven saves. He went after hitters with a sinking fastball in the 92-96 range and a plus power curveball that ranged from 78-83. During his longest outing—a five-inning stint in a 15-inning game against Harwich—he even started mixing in a serviceable changeup the second time through the order. His delivery has some violence, and he profiles as a reliever all the way, but he has filthy, back-of-the-bullpen stuff. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
45. Andrew Heaney, lhp, Oklahoma State
Heaney showed advanced feel for pitching and good command this summer, prompting one coach to predict that he will be the first player from this list to reach the big leagues. He went 4-3, 3.38 with 46 strikeouts and 14 walks in 45 innings for Falmouth, and he ably held down a starter's workload. Durabilty is the primary concern with Heaney; he needs to add strength to his wiry 6-foot-2, 174-pound frame to prove to scouts that he can hold up pitching every five days over the course of a pro season. Still, scouts regard him as a safe college lefty with solid stuff and good competitiveness. Heaney works mostly in the 88-90 range and bumps 91-92 from a three-quarters arm slot, and he often employs a lower slot against lefties, giving them fits. "He's like the kid who just came in from playground—he'll drop down, change arm angles, throw breaking balls from different speeds," Trundy said. "It's like he's pitching at a Wiffle ball game. He's fun to watch." Because Heaney varies his delivery, he has a tendency to run into one bumpy inning per start, but he has the stuff to get himself out of trouble. He effectively mixes a sharp, quick curveball, a decent cutter and a good changeup with tumbling action down in the zone. He's a hard worker and a selfless teammate. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
46. Josh Conway, rhp, Coastal Carolina
The athletic Conway made 18 starts for the Chanticleers at third base and in the outfield this spring, when injuries left them shorthanded. But even while juggling the added responsibility, he put up a strong sophomore season on the mound, going 8-2, 2.69 as the Saturday starter. He followed that up with a strong Cape season, going 2-0, 1.88 with a 28-10 K-BB mark in 29 innings. Like with Heaney, durability is a concern with the wiry 6-foot-1, 175-pound Conway, but he has a quick arm and a fairly easy delivery for his size. He attacks the strike zone with an 88-93 mph fastball with average life, and his 84-86 slider rates as a solid-average to plus pitch. He also mixes in a solid-average 83-84 changeup with sink and fade. He has a starter's repertoire and command—the only question is whether he will have a starter's durability. —2011 Cape Cod Top 30
47. R.J. Alvarez, rhp, Florida Atlantic
Alvarez has worked as a starter at Florida Atlantic and is 9-7, 5.17 in two seasons. He's been much more exciting in the Cape Cod League as areliever the last two summers. In 2011, Alvarez provided impressive setup work in the Cape All-Star Game at Fenway Park; in the eighth inning, he worked around a walk and an error by getting two strikeouts and a flyout. He pumped 95 mph fastballs and got one of his strikeouts on an 82 mph changeup. Alvarez has a lot of effort in his delivery and throws across his body, but the result is a consistent 90-94 mph fastball out of the bullpen with a lot of armside run. Hitters struggle to pick up his pitches, which also include a hard slurve and an effective changeup. —2010 Cape Cod Top 30 Prospects, 2011 College Blog
48. Lex Rutledge, lhp, Samford
The biggest name on Samford's pitching staff is sophomore lefthander Lex Rutledge, a potential first-round pick for the 2012 draft. Rutledge racked up 12 saves and posted a 1.71 ERA as a closer last year, but he struggled early on in a starting role as a sophomore, and Samford coach Casey Dunn eventually moved him back to the bullpen. He was electric as a reliever in 2010, sitting 92-93 and reaching the mid-90s at times, but his heater dialed back to 89-92 as a starter, and he struggled with his command, walking 45 in 63 innings. He was overpowering in relief in the Cape Cod League in 2010, reaching 90-94 mph regularly and showcasing a hard slider. Location was an issue then as well. In high school, Rutledge reached 90 mph early in his senior season and was the state's most notable pop-up guy (he wasn't a showcase player in the past), but he didn't maintain his fast start and failed to sign as a 26th-round pick. —John Manuel (Jan. 2012)
49. Nathan Kirby, lhp, James River HS, Midlothian, Va.
Somewhat overshadowed by the likes of Matt Smoral and Max Fried, Kirby is one of the top lefthanders in the draft class. He has a nice, projectable frame and his fastball ranges from 88-91, touching 92. His changeup has good fade, but his best secondary pitch is a 77-79 curveball with hard downward break. He is committed to Virginia. —Nathan Rode (Jan. 2012)
50. Jesse Winker, of, Olympia HS, Orlando
Teammates with righthander Walker Weickel, Winker is one of the better bats in the 2012 class. He has a sweet swing and generates big power from a strong base. Evaluators are confident in his bat, which will have to carry him since he is likely a first baseman or left fielder down the line. He is a below-average runner and his arm is average at best. He has great makeup and takes every opportunity to soak up as much knowledge as possible. He is committed to Florida and has a brother, Joey, that plays in the Dodgers organization. —Nathan Rode (Jan. 2012)